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Shell’s Dividend Cut Shows This Time is Different for Big Oil – Yahoo Canada Finance

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Shell’s Dividend Cut Shows This Time is Different for Big Oil

(Bloomberg) — When the boss of Royal Dutch Shell Plc slashed his dividend on Thursday, he didn’t just shock investors. He tore up the industry’s financial playbook.

For decades Big Oil has used the strength of a large balance sheet to borrow money when the going gets tough and keep investors sweet until the next upward cycle.

As the coronavirus pandemic potentially causes lasting damage to energy demand, Europe’s largest oil company asked whether this strategy is sustainable.

“I would say no,” said Shell Chief Executive Officer Ben van Beurden. “It’s also not wise and prudent, nor even responsible, to pay out a dividend if you know for sure you have to borrow for it.”

Oil majors had no problem borrowing to pay shareholders during previous downturns. Over the years, Shell has weathered recessions, wars, nationalizations, and deep price slumps.

So why is this time different?

Lasting Damage

The coronavirus pandemic has delivered an unprecedented hit to demand through global lockdowns and it’s hard to say if it will ever return to 2019 levels. Shell doesn’t expect a recovery in consumption or oil prices in the medium term, the 62-year-old Dutchman said in a Bloomberg TV interview.

“I think a crisis like this has the potential to catalyze society into a different way of thinking,” van Beurden said.

It is a view that was shared by his BP Plc counterpart, Bernard Looney, earlier this week. As business travel is replaced by video conferences and employees work remotely, some shifts in behavior may stick for longer, Looney said.

The long-term trends in energy consumption that determine company’s financial decisions — such as air travel — may change permanently and put many other oil majors’ dividends in doubt.

“Shell’s cut will also put pressure on other majors to revisit distributions,” Redburn said in a note. BP’s decision earlier this week to ride out the downturn with the usual spending cuts and debt increases “now risks being cast in an imprudent light.”

Debt Burden

Shell can’t put all the blame on the virus. While van Beurden said the dividend cut was an unavoidable decision due to an unforeseen pandemic, his critics have long warned that the company had been over leveraged since its 2016 acquisition of BG Group, a big natural gas producer. The board approved a $25 billion share buy back in July 2018 that further strained the company’s balance sheet.

“The problems have been building for a while,” said Alastair Syme, oil analyst at Citigroup. “All roads lead back to the high price paid for BG and the burden that this acquisition put on the company’s financial structure.”

BP’s ratio of net debt to equity is even higher than Shell’s. Looney said this week that the company’s board would review the payout on a quarterly basis, potentially opening the door for a cut later this year. Exxon Mobil Corp. has just frozen its dividend for the first time in 13 years as its financial underpinnings feel the strain of the downturn.

Energy Transition

Shell’s CEO said again and again on Thursday what a tough decision it was to cut the dividend, but it could make sense in the longer term.

European oil majors have promised to slash their carbon emissions over the next 30 years, requiring big increases in spending on renewables. Even before the pandemic, many analysts and shareholders were questioning whether Shell and BP could maintain their generous payouts, while also investing enough in both their core oil and gas businesses and clean energy.

The dividend cut gives Shell “the ability to allocate incremental capital to high-value barrels as demand recovers and accelerate its energy transition agenda to net zero carbon by 2050,” said Christyan Malek, head of oil and gas research at JP Morgan.

Shell made no promises about how it will spend the $10 billion a year removed from the dividend. Van Beurden said he would update the market on plans in the second half of the year.

“We will have to see what the response of our investors is going to be” to those plans, Van Beurden said.

Their verdict on Thursday, as shares dropped 11% in London, was clear: Sell.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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