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On Politics: The Economy’s Biggest Threat Is … – The New York Times

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Good morning and welcome to On Politics, a daily political analysis of the 2020 elections based on reporting by New York Times journalists.

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  • What’s the bigger threat to the economy: a lack of government action to shore it up, or lockdowns that keep businesses closed? The Senate Banking Committee heard two different arguments from two different sources on Tuesday, when Steven Mnuchin, the Treasury secretary, and Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, testified in a joint appearance. Mnuchin warned of “permanent damage” to the economy if businesses weren’t allowed to reopen soon. Powell, on the other hand, has suggested repeatedly that Congress may need to spend more to confront the coronavirus’s effects; speaking to the committee, he emphasized the dangers of reopening too hastily. “The No. 1 thing, of course, is people believing that it’s safe to go back to work,” Powell said. “And that’s about having a sensible, thoughtful reopening of the economy.”

  • Bringing things back into operation mid-pandemic can be a halting process — especially when many major decisions about how and when to reopen aren’t being made at the federal level. Colleges and universities are deciding whether to hold in-person classes next fall, and students are waiting with bated breath, some of them wondering if it’s worth it to enroll at all. Meanwhile, some churches that had resumed in-person gatherings are developing a case of reopener’s remorse. Holy Ghost Catholic Church in Houston, for instance, closed again after a priest who had pneumonia died and five leaders tested positive last weekend for the coronavirus. At a single church in Arkansas, 35 of the 92 people who had attended over a six-day period later tested positive for the virus, and three died, according to a report released yesterday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

  • President Trump this week has turned up his criticism of the World Health Organization, continuing his attempts to blame the U.N. agency, along with China, for the spread of the virus, which has now killed over 90,000 Americans. Trump sent a letter on Monday night threatening to permanently cut off the United States’ funding for the group unless it committed to “major, substantive improvements” within 30 days. But yesterday, at the organization’s annual meeting in Geneva, the leaders of other member nations basically called Trump’s bluff, all but ignoring his demands and instead saying they would begin an “impartial, independent” investigation into the W.H.O.’s response to the pandemic. In any case, Trump would need Congress’s approval to withhold funding from the organization, and many analysts say that’s unlikely to happen. Chinese, Russian and European Union officials have reproached Trump for his comments, again leaving the United States to stand mostly alone on the world stage.

  • Joe Biden also has his eyes on foreign policy. Sooner or later, in his dance between the center and the left, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee knew he would have to confront the party’s evolving stance on the United States-Israel relationship. And that’s what he sought to do Tuesday on a call with donors, as he affirmed his support of Israel (“unshakable,” he said) but criticized Benjamin Netanyahu, the country’s conservative prime minister, a close ally of Trump’s. Biden said Netanyahu had moved “so, so far to the right,” and he called on the Israeli government to “stop the threat of annexation” of the West Bank territories, according to a pool report. “It’ll choke off any hope of peace,” Biden said. Criticizing the Israeli government on the campaign trail was basically verboten just a few years ago. But as Israel’s policies have moved generally rightward, the average Democratic voter has grown markedly more liberal — and views on Israel are no exception. When asked last year in a Gallup poll whether they had more sympathy for the situation of Israelis or Palestinians, liberal Democrats were almost evenly split. That was the first time on record this has been true.


Credit…Al Drago for The New York Times

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin’s testimony before a virtual hearing of the Senate Banking Committee was shown on televisions in the Capitol.


By

Eliot Engel, a 16-term Democratic congressman from New York, faces a primary challenge next month from Jamaal Bowman, a progressive educator.

Bowman faces an uphill battle, but he has received support from a number of national grass-roots groups ahead of the June 23 primary. Yet the Congressional Black Caucus PAC has decided to back Engel, who is white, over his black challenger — a move that has garnered some criticism. In a statement, Bowman called the decision “disappointing,” and allies said it was proof that the black caucus cared more about incumbency than increasing racial representation.

In a phone interview this week, Gregory Meeks, also a New York congressman and the chair of the black caucus’s political arm, defended the decision.

Gregory Meeks: Our criteria, when it comes to incumbents — it comes down to what they’ve done while they’re in Washington. How have they voted on issues that are important to the Congressional Black Caucus? What’s their relationship with African-Americans in their district?

Astead Herndon: And none of that calculus changes if the incumbent is facing a black challenger?

Just like I would if there was a black incumbent against a white challenger, we go by the merits of what they’ve done while they’re in Washington, D.C.

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So would it be fair to say that incumbency, in the eyes of the C.B.C. PAC, is a higher priority than the question of racial representation?

No. We want someone who is voting and listening to the African-American community, that’s what’s important. We look at the voting record, and if you’re an incumbent we can see that. Eliot Engel has voted in a way that’s beneficial to his African-American community.

I remember talking during the 2018 cycle, when the C.B.C. endorsed Representative Michael Capuano over Ayanna Pressley. You gave similar reasons at the time when, clearly, the people of color who voted in that race felt differently. Has any thought been given to these outcomes? Have you changed anything about the endorsement process now that more black challengers are running?

You pick one race. One race that went one way. But there’s many other races that went the other way and the incumbent won. When you looked at Michael Capuano’s record, he supported issues that were important to the Congressional Black Caucus. Otherwise, you’re telling members of Congress that even if they support issues that are important to the Congressional Black Caucus, we’ll have a blind eye to that.

We believe in trying to make sure that people of color have the best representation possible.

Is there anything a black challenger can do that would get the Congressional Black Caucus to endorse them or sit out the race? Or is it all about the incumbent?

It’s about the record of the person while they were in Congress. And the relationships they have with the African-Americans they represent. That’s what we think is important.

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Is there anything you think we’re missing? Anything you want to see more of? We’d love to hear from you. Email us at onpolitics@nytimes.com.

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Youri Chassin quits CAQ to sit as Independent, second member to leave this month

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Quebec legislature member Youri Chassin has announced he’s leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec government to sit as an Independent.

He announced the decision shortly after writing an open letter criticizing Premier François Legault’s government for abandoning its principles of smaller government.

In the letter published in Le Journal de Montréal and Le Journal de Québec, Chassin accused the party of falling back on what he called the old formula of throwing money at problems instead of looking to do things differently.

Chassin says public services are more fragile than ever, despite rising spending that pushed the province to a record $11-billion deficit projected in the last budget.

He is the second CAQ member to leave the party in a little more than one week, after economy and energy minister Pierre Fitzgibbon announced Sept. 4 he would leave because he lost motivation to do his job.

Chassin says he has no intention of joining another party and will instead sit as an Independent until the end of his term.

He has represented the Saint-Jérôme riding since the CAQ rose to power in 2018, but has not served in cabinet.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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‘I’m not going to listen to you’: Singh responds to Poilievre’s vote challenge

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MONTREAL – NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh says he will not be taking advice from Pierre Poilievre after the Conservative leader challenged him to bring down government.

“I say directly to Pierre Poilievre: I’m not going to listen to you,” said Singh on Wednesday, accusing Poilievre of wanting to take away dental-care coverage from Canadians, among other things.

“I’m not going to listen to your advice. You want to destroy people’s lives, I want to build up a brighter future.”

Earlier in the day, Poilievre challenged Singh to commit to voting non-confidence in the government, saying his party will force a vote in the House of Commons “at the earliest possibly opportunity.”

“I’m asking Jagmeet Singh and the NDP to commit unequivocally before Monday’s byelections: will they vote non-confidence to bring down the costly coalition and trigger a carbon tax election, or will Jagmeet Singh sell out Canadians again?” Poilievre said.

“It’s put up or shut up time for the NDP.”

While Singh rejected the idea he would ever listen to Poilievre, he did not say how the NDP would vote on a non-confidence motion.

“I’ve said on any vote, we’re going to look at the vote and we’ll make our decision. I’m not going to say our decision ahead of time,” he said.

Singh’s top adviser said on Tuesday the NDP leader is not particularly eager to trigger an election, even as the Conservatives challenge him to do just that.

Anne McGrath, Singh’s principal secretary, says there will be more volatility in Parliament and the odds of an early election have risen.

“I don’t think he is anxious to launch one, or chomping at the bit to have one, but it can happen,” she said in an interview.

New Democrat MPs are in a second day of meetings in Montreal as they nail down a plan for how to navigate the minority Parliament this fall.

The caucus retreat comes one week after Singh announced the party has left the supply-and-confidence agreement with the governing Liberals.

It’s also taking place in the very city where New Democrats are hoping to pick up a seat on Monday, when voters go to the polls in Montreal’s LaSalle—Émard—Verdun. A second byelection is being held that day in the Winnipeg riding of Elmwood—Transcona, where the NDP is hoping to hold onto a seat the Conservatives are also vying for.

While New Democrats are seeking to distance themselves from the Liberals, they don’t appear ready to trigger a general election.

Singh signalled on Tuesday that he will have more to say Wednesday about the party’s strategy for the upcoming sitting.

He is hoping to convince Canadians that his party can defeat the federal Conservatives, who have been riding high in the polls over the last year.

Singh has attacked Poilievre as someone who would bring back Harper-style cuts to programs that Canadians rely on, including the national dental-care program that was part of the supply-and-confidence agreement.

The Canadian Press has asked Poilievre’s office whether the Conservative leader intends to keep the program in place, if he forms government after the next election.

With the return of Parliament just days away, the NDP is also keeping in mind how other parties will look to capitalize on the new makeup of the House of Commons.

The Bloc Québécois has already indicated that it’s written up a list of demands for the Liberals in exchange for support on votes.

The next federal election must take place by October 2025 at the latest.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Social media comments blocked: Montreal mayor says she won’t accept vulgar slurs

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Montreal Mayor Valérie Plante is defending her decision to turn off comments on her social media accounts — with an announcement on social media.

She posted screenshots to X this morning of vulgar names she’s been called on the platform, and says comments on her posts for months have been dominated by insults, to the point that she decided to block them.

Montreal’s Opposition leader and the Canadian Civil Liberties Association have criticized Plante for limiting freedom of expression by restricting comments on her X and Instagram accounts.

They say elected officials who use social media should be willing to hear from constituents on those platforms.

However, Plante says some people may believe there is a fundamental right to call someone offensive names and to normalize violence online, but she disagrees.

Her statement on X is closed to comments.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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