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MARKET CRASH 2.0: The Terrible Market Sell-Off

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The Canadian stock market turned negative on Thursday — erasing all its gains seen in the first two days of September. At 11:30 AM ET, the TSX Composite Index was down by 1.5% for the day. This could just be the start of another big market crash in 2020 — the nightmare that I’ve been warning about for many weeks.

The key U.S. indexes were trading with massive losses today — possibly culminating their five-month-long sharp recovery. At the time of writing, Dow Jones Industrial Average was down by over 2% for the session, while the S&P 500 Index — which posted its all-time high yesterday — was trading at a nearly 3% loss.

Market crash 2.0 is here

In February, the global spread of coronavirus started taking a toll on global investors’ sentiments. In the following month, fears about slowing economic growth — due to the pandemic led closures — triggered the worst stock market sell-off since the 2008 recession.

At the time, no expert was predicting the kind of sharp recovery that the market has witnessed in the last few months.

In many of my recent articles, I’ve argued that the recent market recovery doesn’t necessarily reflect the real picture of the global economy. In contrast, such a recovery could make the situation worse by creating a stock market bubble that might burst anytime. And my nightmare about another big market crash in 2020 seems to be coming true.

Why are stocks falling?

Multiple factors might have caused today’s massive stock market losses. To begin with, the COVID-19 crisis is still lurking around, and a recent rise in new cases in many Canadian provinces and in many U.S. states proves that it’s still far from over.  It could play a big role in another big stock market sell-off.

The prolonged pandemic is likely to hurt sectors across Canada, including banking, retail, and consumer discretionary. For example, top banks such as Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM)(NYSE:CM) and Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY) — which released their quarterly reports in the final week of August  — gave a very grim outlook for the economy.

In its latest quarterly earnings report, RBC — the largest Canadian bank — forecasted that “weak business and consumer confidence is expected to keep GDP well-below year-ago levels by the end of the calendar year.” CIBC also gave a similar weak economic outlook in its report.

While RBC reported a nearly 12% YoY increase in its latest quarterly revenue, it was mainly driven by a rise in its capital market segment volume. In contrast, both RBC’s and Canadian Imperial Bank’s core banking operations disappointed and didn’t showcase any sign of a near-term strong recovery.  The total revenue of CIBC fell by 0.5% YoY in Q3, and its adjusted earnings fell by nearly 13%. Despite a rise in the bank’s capital market segment, its core banking segment performed as badly as RBC’s personal and commercial banking segments.

The shares of both these banks are trading with over 3.5% year-to-date losses. Now, the prolonged pandemic could send their stocks spiraling even lower — adding fuel to the broader market turmoil.

Don’t get trapped in the market turmoil

If you’re one of those investors who have been ignoring the real underlying weakness in most companies’ fundamentals, then you should start diversifying your stock portfolio right now. This is high time when you should consider including some stocks in your investment portfolio that didn’t rally much, despite a sharp market recovery in the last few months.

Many such undervalued stocks might not be as affected by the second market crash in 2020, as other stocks that rallied in the last few months without any major improvement in their fundamentals.

Here’s a FREE LIST OF SUCH CHEAP STOCKS to help you diversify:

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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