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The top story in Colorado politics in 2020 — and what to expect in 2021 – The Colorado Sun

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If you enjoy politics, 2020 didn’t disappoint. And if you don’t, it probably left your head spinning.

The year started with talk about the impeachment of President Donald Trump, the Democratic presidential primary and the battle for a U.S. Senate seat in Colorado. Then, the pandemic quickly upended the political landscape — and the conversation.

The politics of public health soon came to dominate the discussion in top-of-the-ticket races and at the state Capitol, where Gov. Jared Polis and other Democratic leaders found themselves confronting a once-in-a-generation challenge a year after assuming complete control in Colorado.

To look back on the big political stories in 2020, The Colorado Sun reached out to experts and readers for their thoughts on the year in politics — and what to expect in the new year. More than three dozen answered the annual survey. Here’s a look at the results.

The top story in Colorado politics in 2020

Colorado Gov. Jared Polis delivers an address from the governor’s mansion in Denver on April 6, 2020. Polis said then that the state of Colorado would extend a statewide stay-at-home order from April 11 through April 26 due to coronavirus. (Pool photo by AAron Ontiveroz, The Denver Post)

The state’s response to COVID-19 emerged as the top story in Colorado politics — but it had stiff competition.

Colorado’s governor made himself the face of the state’s response to the pandemic, and it didn’t take long for the public health crisis to become a political one.

COVID-19 IN COLORADO

The latest from the coronavirus outbreak in Colorado:

  • LIVE BLOG: The latest on closures, restrictions and other major updates.
  • MAP: Cases and deaths in Colorado.
  • TESTING: Here’s where to find a community testing site. The state is now encouraging anyone with symptoms to get tested.
  • STORY: Coloradans have been giving generously during coronavirus. But some nonprofits worry it won’t be enough.

>> FULL COVERAGE

Polis won early praise for his response, but big questions and criticism from Republicans began to mount. His delayed — and politically difficult — decisions to issue a lockdown order and mask mandate marked big moments, as did his presidential-style statewide address at the start.

Polis became the chief promoter of social distancing and masks, even appearing in television commercials, but COVID-19 became all too real for him at the end of the year when he and his partner contracted the virus. His partner, Marlon Reis, experienced complications that led the governor to drive him to the hospital in early December.

Democratic challenger and former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper participate in the final debate with Republican U.S. Sen. Cory Gardner in the 2020 race for Colorado’s U.S. Senate seat at Colorado State University in Fort Collins on Oct. 13, 2020. (Bethany Baker, The Coloradoan/Pool photo)

The runner-up: John Hickenlooper’s win in the U.S. Senate race. 

All the attention on COVID-19 didn’t distract from Hickenlooper’s big win over U.S. Sen Cory Gardner, who was once hailed as the future of the Republican Party. The political winds in Colorado foreshadowed the former Democratic governor’s victory, and at the end, the race wasn’t even close.

The other big storylines included Republican Lauren Boebert’s upset win over U.S. Rep. Scott Tipton in the party primary and her victory in November over Democrat Diane Mitsch Bush. The presidential election consumed all the attention at the national level, but finished more distant in the minds of Colorado political watchers.

MORE: How the Cardboard Cory protest in Colorado helped Democrats defeat Gardner in the U.S. Senate race

The predictions for biggest political story in 2021

Colorado Gov. Jared Polis signs the state’s budget into law on June 23, 2020, while surrounded by Democratic members of the Joint Budget Committee. (Jesse Paul, The Colorado Sun)

Looking ahead to 2021, the coronavirus remains front of mind for political observers. But the survey found the top story to watch in the new year is the state budget.

Each year, Colorado lawmakers wrestle with a series of competing priorities when it comes to spending the roughly $11 billion in discretionary money available. But it’s even more difficult now amid the pandemic and dire needs across the state.

MORE: Colorado’s fiscal future looks brighter. Now lawmakers must decide how to spend the unexpected windfall.

Sara Chatfield, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Denver, put it succinctly. She says the challenges include “how to balance the budget given what will likely be limited federal support.”

Right now, the fiscal picture doesn’t look too dismal. But tough decisions loom as the lawmakers crafting the annual budget decide how to allocate money to three key areas:

  • Restoring money to programs that took deep cuts in the current fiscal year
  • Accommodating growth in demand for state services amid an uncertain outlook
  • Demands for major government spending to stimulate the local economy

The governor is pushing for the later. He put forward a $1.3 billion stimulus package he says will create 10,000 to 15,000 jobs.

The sign at the movie theater in downtown Greeley on April 24, 2020, which closed amid the coronavirus outbreak. (John Frank, The Colorado Sun)

The runner-up: The state’s recovery from the pandemic. 

The coronavirus won’t disappear overnight, and the state has months to go when it comes to addressing the crisis, not to mention a years-long recovery. So how the Polis administration manages the pandemic response in the next year is something many are watching.

MORE: Colorado isn’t changing its vaccine priority plan for now, despite new federal recommendations

The other topics expected to make big headlines in the new year include the rollout of the vaccine in Colorado, the debut of the state’s new redistricting commissions and the battle for the soul of the Republican Party, which elects a new chairman after suffering major losses in the prior two elections.

The name to watch in Colorado politics in 2021

Lauren Boebert, right, won Colorado’s 3rd District election in November 2020. Ahead of the election, she attended a rally and took a selfie with Mike Pinnt in Grand Junction on Nov. 2, 2020. (Barton Glasser, Special to The Colorado Sun)

Lauren Boebert is quickly becoming the face of the Republican Party in Colorado, and she’s the one that political observers are watching in 2021.

The first-time candidate and gun-slinging restaurant owner managed to defeat a decade-long incumbent in the GOP primary by running as a more Trumpian conservative. In the general election, she fended off national Democratic attacks and major questions about her prior remarks about the Qanon conspiracy theory to win the 3rd Congressional District seat.

MORE: 3 numbers that explain Republican Lauren Boebert’s victory in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District

Democrats are even speculating about whether she will run for U.S. Senate against Democratic incumbent Michael Bennet. “She’s shown that she has strong support from the base and would be a frontrunner to win the Republican primary if she wants it,” says Dan Baer, a former Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate.

Even as a newcomer, she is now the most notable Republican in the state party and her allegiance to Trump and brand of bomb-throwing politics are sure to set the tone for the next year.

Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, left, makes a few remarks to the media as he watches Gina Harper, clinical coordinator with pharmacy, reconstitute a dose of the COVID-19 vaccine before it is administered to the first patients in Colorado at UC Health Poudre Valley Hospital on Dec. 14, 2020 in Fort Collins. (Helen H. Richardson/The Denver Post, Pool)

The runner-up: Jared Polis

The Democratic governor will confront two challenges simultaneously starting in 2021 — the continued fallout from the coronavirus and his 2022 reelection bid. The twin pressures will keep his name in the headlines and the critics vocal

The other organizations and names to watch include the Democratic-led legislature as it navigates policy amid the pandemic and Hickenlooper, who will need to define his approach as an incoming U.S. senator.

Rising Sun

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Review finds no case for formal probe of Beijing’s activities under elections law

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OTTAWA – The federal agency that investigates election infractions found insufficient evidence to support suggestions Beijing wielded undue influence against the Conservatives in the Vancouver area during the 2021 general election.

The Commissioner of Canada Elections’ recently completed review of the lingering issue was tabled Tuesday at a federal inquiry into foreign interference.

The review focused on the unsuccessful campaign of Conservative candidate Kenny Chiu in the riding of Steveston-Richmond East and the party’s larger efforts in the Vancouver area.

It says the evidence uncovered did not trigger the threshold to initiate a formal investigation under the Canada Elections Act.

Investigators therefore recommended that the review be concluded.

A summary of the review results was shared with the Canadian Security Intelligence Service and the RCMP. The review says both agencies indicated the election commissioner’s findings were consistent with their own understanding of the situation.

During the exercise, the commissioner’s investigators met with Chinese Canadian residents of Chiu’s riding and surrounding ones.

They were told of an extensive network of Chinese Canadian associations, businesses and media organizations that offers the diaspora a lifestyle that mirrors that of China in many ways.

“Further, this diaspora has continuing and extensive commercial, social and familial relations with China,” the review says.

Some interviewees reported that this “has created aspects of a parallel society involving many Chinese Canadians in the Lower Mainland area, which includes concerted support, direction and control by individuals from or involved with China’s Vancouver consulate and the United Front Work Department (UFWD) in China.”

Investigators were also made aware of members of three Chinese Canadian associations, as well as others, who were alleged to have used their positions to influence the choice of Chinese Canadian voters during the 2021 election in a direction favourable to the interests of Beijing, the review says.

These efforts were sparked by elements of the Conservative party’s election platform and by actions and statements by Chiu “that were leveraged to bolster claims that both the platform and Chiu were anti-China and were encouraging anti-Chinese discrimination and racism.”

These messages were amplified through repetition in social media, chat groups and posts, as well as in Chinese in online, print and radio media throughout the Vancouver area.

Upon examination, the messages “were found to not be in contravention” of the Canada Elections Act, says the review, citing the Supreme Court of Canada’s position that the concept of uninhibited speech permeates all truly democratic societies and institutions.

The review says the effectiveness of the anti-Conservative, anti-Chiu campaigns was enhanced by circumstances “unique to the Chinese diaspora and the assertive nature of Chinese government interests.”

It notes the election was prefaced by statements from China’s ambassador to Canada and the Vancouver consul general as well as articles published or broadcast in Beijing-controlled Chinese Canadian media entities.

“According to Chinese Canadian interview subjects, this invoked a widespread fear amongst electors, described as a fear of retributive measures from Chinese authorities should a (Conservative) government be elected.”

This included the possibility that Chinese authorities could interfere with travel to and from China, as well as measures being taken against family members or business interests in China, the review says.

“Several Chinese Canadian interview subjects were of the view that Chinese authorities could exercise such retributive measures, and that this fear was most acute with Chinese Canadian electors from mainland China. One said ‘everybody understands’ the need to only say nice things about China.”

However, no interview subject was willing to name electors who were directly affected by the anti-Tory campaign, nor community leaders who claimed to speak on a voter’s behalf.

Several weeks of public inquiry hearings will focus on the capacity of federal agencies to detect, deter and counter foreign meddling.

In other testimony Tuesday, Conservative MP Garnett Genuis told the inquiry that parliamentarians who were targeted by Chinese hackers could have taken immediate protective steps if they had been informed sooner.

It emerged earlier this year that in 2021 some MPs and senators faced cyberattacks from the hackers because of their involvement with the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, which pushes for accountability from Beijing.

In 2022, U.S. authorities apparently informed the Canadian government of the attacks, and it in turn advised parliamentary IT officials — but not individual MPs.

Genuis, a Canadian co-chair of the inter-parliamentary alliance, told the inquiry Tuesday that it remains mysterious to him why he wasn’t informed about the attacks sooner.

Liberal MP John McKay, also a Canadian co-chair of the alliance, said there should be a clear protocol for advising parliamentarians of cyberthreats.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

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NDP beat Conservatives in federal byelection in Winnipeg

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WINNIPEG – The federal New Democrats have kept a longtime stronghold in the Elmwood-Transcona riding in Winnipeg.

The NDP’s Leila Dance won a close battle over Conservative candidate Colin Reynolds, and says the community has spoken in favour of priorities such as health care and the cost of living.

Elmwood-Transcona has elected a New Democrat in every election except one since the riding was formed in 1988.

The seat became open after three-term member of Parliament Daniel Blaikie resigned in March to take a job with the Manitoba government.

A political analyst the NDP is likely relieved to have kept the seat in what has been one of their strongest urban areas.

Christopher Adams, an adjunct professor of political studies at the University of Manitoba, says NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh worked hard to keep the seat in a tight race.

“He made a number of visits to Winnipeg, so if they had lost this riding it would have been disastrous for the NDP,” Adams said.

The strong Conservative showing should put wind in that party’s sails, Adams added, as their percentage of the popular vote in Elmwood-Transcona jumped sharply from the 2021 election.

“Even though the Conservatives lost this (byelection), they should walk away from it feeling pretty good.”

Dance told reporters Monday night she wants to focus on issues such as the cost of living while working in Ottawa.

“We used to be able to buy a cart of groceries for a hundred dollars and now it’s two small bags. That is something that will affect everyone in this riding,” Dance said.

Liberal candidate Ian MacIntyre placed a distant third,

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trudeau says ‘all sorts of reflections’ for Liberals after loss of second stronghold

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OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau say the Liberals have “all sorts of reflections” to make after losing a second stronghold in a byelection in Montreal Monday night.

His comments come as the Liberal cabinet gathers for its first regularly scheduled meeting of the fall sitting of Parliament, which began Monday.

Trudeau’s Liberals were hopeful they could retain the Montreal riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun, but those hopes were dashed after the Bloc Québécois won it in an extremely tight three-way race with the NDP.

Louis-Philippe Sauvé, an administrator at the Institute for Research in Contemporary Economics, beat Liberal candidate Laura Palestini by less than 250 votes. The NDP finished about 600 votes back of the winner.

It is the second time in three months that Trudeau’s party lost a stronghold in a byelection. In June, the Conservatives defeated the Liberals narrowly in Toronto-St. Paul’s.

The Liberals won every seat in Toronto and almost every seat on the Island of Montreal in the last election, and losing a seat in both places has laid bare just how low the party has fallen in the polls.

“Obviously, it would have been nicer to be able to win and hold (the Montreal riding), but there’s more work to do and we’re going to stay focused on doing it,” Trudeau told reporters ahead of this morning’s cabinet meeting.

When asked what went wrong for his party, Trudeau responded “I think there’s all sorts of reflections to take on that.”

In French, he would not say if this result puts his leadership in question, instead saying his team has lots of work to do.

Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet will hold a press conference this morning, but has already said the results are significant for his party.

“The victory is historic and all of Quebec will speak with a stronger voice in Ottawa,” Blanchet wrote on X, shortly after the winner was declared.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and his party had hoped to ride to a win in Montreal on the popularity of their candidate, city councillor Craig Sauvé, and use it to further their goal of replacing the Liberals as the chief alternative to the Conservatives.

The NDP did hold on to a seat in Winnipeg in a tight race with the Conservatives, but the results in Elmwood-Transcona Monday were far tighter than in the last several elections. NDP candidate Leila Dance defeated Conservative Colin Reynolds by about 1,200 votes.

Singh called it a “big victory.”

“Our movement is growing — and we’re going to keep working for Canadians and building that movement to stop Conservative cuts before they start,” he said on social media.

“Big corporations have had their governments. It’s the people’s time.”

New Democrats recently pulled out of their political pact with the government in a bid to distance themselves from the Liberals, making the prospects of a snap election far more likely.

Trudeau attempted to calm his caucus at their fall retreat in Nanaimo, B.C, last week, and brought former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney on as an economic adviser in a bid to shore up some credibility with voters.

The latest byelection loss will put more pressure on him as leader, with many polls suggesting voter anger is more directed at Trudeau himself than at Liberal policies.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

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