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Real Estate Optimism Blows Past Pre-Virus Levels in Canada – Bloomberg

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Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.

Canadians are the most confident in more than three years that real estate prices will continue to rise, according to weekly telephone polling, a positive signal for the recovery.

About half of respondents, or 49.2%, see home prices climbing over the next six months, the highest share since May 2017. That helped lift the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index, a composite measure of financial health and economic expectations, to 55.1 last week, levels last seen in early March.

It’s been nine months since Canada first shut down its economy to contain the spread of Covid-19, leading to a record plunge in consumer confidence. The index began to recover over the summer but a second wave of virus cases put the brakes on that.

Real Estate Rally

Canadian consumers are the most optimistic on home values since 2017

Source: Bloomberg/Nanos Research

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However, the vaccine rollout that began this month in Canada is stirring hopes that the pandemic’s end is near even as case counts continue to rise. Two of the largest provinces, Ontario and Quebec, have tightened restrictions to try to control the spread.

Record-low interest rates and strong demand for more spacious accommodation are pushing Canadian home prices and sales to record highs this year. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government has pledged to keep the fiscal taps open to support the recovery, and the income support measures have left households flush with cash.

“Consumer confidence in Canada continues to gain strength with news on vaccines,” Nik Nanos, chief data scientist at Nanos Research, said in the report. “Forward perceptions on both the strength of the economy and the value of residential real estate gained a full five percentage points in the past four weeks of tracking.”

Every week, Nanos Research surveys 250 Canadians for their views on personal finances, job security, the economy and real estate prices. Bloomberg publishes four-week rolling averages of the 1,000 responses.

Key Highlights

  • Real estate optimism continued to climb, with only 12.7% of respondents saying they believe home prices in their neighborhood will decrease in the next six months, the lowest share since early March
  • Views on the economic outlook also improved. Some 23.7% of consumers expect the country’s economy to be stronger in the next six months, the largest share since June and up from 18.1% at the end of November
  • Views on personal finances were largely unchanged last week with 14.9% of Canadians saying they were better off compared with a year earlier, and 25.7% saying they were worse off
  • Measures of job security fell on the week but were still higher on the month
  • Sentiment rose in every province except Quebec, which is experiencing some of the strictest containment measures to lower virus cases

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    Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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    TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

    The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

    The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

    “While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

    “The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

    The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

    New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

    In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

    The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

    “I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

    “Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

    He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

    “The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

    “The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

    All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

    Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

    “Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

    “This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

    The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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    Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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    HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

    Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

    Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

    The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

    Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

    They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

    The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

    The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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    Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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    Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

    Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

    Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

    Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

    Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

    Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

    Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

    Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

    Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

    Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

    How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

    This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

    The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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