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'A law unto itself': Limiting fallout of coronavirus will depend on countering public panic – Financial Post

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As the first North American case of the Wuhan coronavirus was identified in Washington state Tuesday, infectious disease researchers and veterans of the 2003 Toronto SARS outbreak said the social and economic fallout would depend largely on how well public officials can communicate and counter unnecessary panic.

Chinese officials confirmed Tuesday that the outbreak had taken six lives and could spread between humans, prompting memories of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) — an outbreak that killed nearly 800 people worldwide in 2002-03.

The Canadian experience with SARS resulted in 44 deaths over four months.

“This is not SARS and right now we are only talking about the potential of a local outbreak,” said Roger Keil, a professor at York University who has studied the economic, social and political impact of infectious diseases. “But people are worried and people are reacting. Obviously you don’t die from panic, but it is a law to itself. It has its own dynamic and it will impact people’s decisions to travel for instance.”

Unlike with SARS, public officials grappling with the coronavirus will have to contend with a population that is far more closely connected through social media networks, Keil added.

“People today create their own private panic on Twitter,” he said. “So the impact of all of this will depend on how well it is communicated and handled in the first instance.”

With the virus spreading just ahead of the Chinese New Year holiday, the S&P 1500 airlines index fell 2.6 per cent. Hotel and casino operators Las Vegas Sands Corp. and Wynn Resorts Ltd., both of which have large operations in China, dropped about four per cent.

It is too early to see any real impact of the illness on the Canadian economy or individual businesses, said Doug Porter, chief economist for BMO Financial Group.

Moreover, measuring the economic effect of infectious diseases isn’t straightforward. The Bank of Canada estimated that SARS cut growth by 0.6 per cent in the second quarter of 2003, with most of the damage landing on the tourism sector, particularly on Toronto, after the World Health Organization issued a travel advisory against travelling to the city.

“However, many estimates suggested that the economy recovered relatively quickly from the shocks, and that the overall net growth impact for the full year was modest, perhaps on the order of -0.1 per cent for SARS,” said Porter.

Employees are still the ones that drive profit and when they aren’t there profit suffers

Amin Mawani, professor, York University

Restaurants, airlines and travel-related businesses were among the businesses hardest hit as patrons and employees fearing infection stayed home. Indeed, the most significant impact of the illness on the Canadian economy came through employee absenteeism, said Amin Mawani, a professor in the Health Industry Management Program at York University.

“Employees are still the ones that drive profit and when they aren’t there profit suffers,” he said. “That said, coronavirus is nowhere near that scale right now.”

With the experience of SARS behind them, Canadian officials are expected to be better prepared to detect and isolate confirmed cases of the illness. And while social networks may have the ability to construct panic more quickly, “we certainly also have the ability to transmit accurate information much more quickly than we did,” said Kamran Khan, an infectious disease physician at St. Michael’s Hospital in Toronto and founder and CEO of BlueDot, an infectious disease surveillance company.

“We are now often aware of the threat before it shows up in hospitals, so we are more prepared,” said Khan, whose company advises the federal government and private businesses. “There will still be challenges but timely communication of information is so important.”

The newly identified coronavirus — it causes respiratory pneumonia and has been compared to SARS by health officials — originated in the central Chinese city of Wuhan before spreading to Beijing and Shanghai.

South Korea detected its first case over the weekend, following the spread of the virus to Japan and Thailand last week. A 30-year-old traveller in Seattle was confirmed as the first U.S. case Tuesday.

The World Health Organization, which will meet Wednesday to discuss whether this is an outbreak, said last week that it expected cases to be identified in other countries.

There have been no confirmed cases in Canada and health officials have stepped up public awareness and screening at hospitals and airports.

Financial Post, with files from wire services

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Canada to donate up to 200,000 vaccine doses to combat mpox outbreaks in Africa

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The Canadian government says it will donate up to 200,000 vaccine doses to fight the mpox outbreak in Congo and other African countries.

It says the donated doses of Imvamune will come from Canada’s existing supply and will not affect the country’s preparedness for mpox cases in this country.

Minister of Health Mark Holland says the donation “will help to protect those in the most affected regions of Africa and will help prevent further spread of the virus.”

Dr. Madhukar Pai, Canada research chair in epidemiology and global health, says although the donation is welcome, it is a very small portion of the estimated 10 million vaccine doses needed to control the outbreak.

Vaccine donations from wealthier countries have only recently started arriving in Africa, almost a month after the World Health Organization declared the mpox outbreak a public health emergency of international concern.

A few days after the declaration in August, Global Affairs Canada announced a contribution of $1 million for mpox surveillance, diagnostic tools, research and community awareness in Africa.

On Thursday, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention said mpox is still on the rise and that testing rates are “insufficient” across the continent.

Jason Kindrachuk, Canada research chair in emerging viruses at the University of Manitoba, said donating vaccines, in addition to supporting surveillance and diagnostic tests, is “massively important.”

But Kindrachuk, who has worked on the ground in Congo during the epidemic, also said that the international response to the mpox outbreak is “better late than never (but) better never late.”

“It would have been fantastic for us globally to not be in this position by having provided doses a much, much longer time prior than when we are,” he said, noting that the outbreak of clade I mpox in Congo started in early 2023.

Clade II mpox, endemic in regions of West Africa, came to the world’s attention even earlier — in 2022 — as that strain of virus spread to other countries, including Canada.

Two doses are recommended for mpox vaccination, so the donation may only benefit 100,000 people, Pai said.

Pai questioned whether Canada is contributing enough, as the federal government hasn’t said what percentage of its mpox vaccine stockpile it is donating.

“Small donations are simply not going to help end this crisis. We need to show greater solidarity and support,” he said in an email.

“That is the biggest lesson from the COVID-19 pandemic — our collective safety is tied with that of other nations.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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How many Nova Scotians are on the doctor wait-list? Number hit 160,000 in June

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HALIFAX – The Nova Scotia government says it could be months before it reveals how many people are on the wait-list for a family doctor.

The head of the province’s health authority told reporters Wednesday that the government won’t release updated data until the 160,000 people who were on the wait-list in June are contacted to verify whether they still need primary care.

Karen Oldfield said Nova Scotia Health is working on validating the primary care wait-list data before posting new numbers, and that work may take a matter of months. The most recent public wait-list figures are from June 1, when 160,234 people, or about 16 per cent of the population, were on it.

“It’s going to take time to make 160,000 calls,” Oldfield said. “We are not talking weeks, we are talking months.”

The interim CEO and president of Nova Scotia Health said people on the list are being asked where they live, whether they still need a family doctor, and to give an update on their health.

A spokesperson with the province’s Health Department says the government and its health authority are “working hard” to turn the wait-list registry into a useful tool, adding that the data will be shared once it is validated.

Nova Scotia’s NDP are calling on Premier Tim Houston to immediately release statistics on how many people are looking for a family doctor. On Tuesday, the NDP introduced a bill that would require the health minister to make the number public every month.

“It is unacceptable for the list to be more than three months out of date,” NDP Leader Claudia Chender said Tuesday.

Chender said releasing this data regularly is vital so Nova Scotians can track the government’s progress on its main 2021 campaign promise: fixing health care.

The number of people in need of a family doctor has more than doubled between the 2021 summer election campaign and June 2024. Since September 2021 about 300 doctors have been added to the provincial health system, the Health Department said.

“We’ll know if Tim Houston is keeping his 2021 election promise to fix health care when Nova Scotians are attached to primary care,” Chender said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

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Newfoundland and Labrador monitoring rise in whooping cough cases: medical officer

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ST. JOHN’S, N.L. – Newfoundland and Labrador‘s chief medical officer is monitoring the rise of whooping cough infections across the province as cases of the highly contagious disease continue to grow across Canada.

Dr. Janice Fitzgerald says that so far this year, the province has recorded 230 confirmed cases of the vaccine-preventable respiratory tract infection, also known as pertussis.

Late last month, Quebec reported more than 11,000 cases during the same time period, while Ontario counted 470 cases, well above the five-year average of 98. In Quebec, the majority of patients are between the ages of 10 and 14.

Meanwhile, New Brunswick has declared a whooping cough outbreak across the province. A total of 141 cases were reported by last month, exceeding the five-year average of 34.

The disease can lead to severe complications among vulnerable populations including infants, who are at the highest risk of suffering from complications like pneumonia and seizures. Symptoms may start with a runny nose, mild fever and cough, then progress to severe coughing accompanied by a distinctive “whooping” sound during inhalation.

“The public, especially pregnant people and those in close contact with infants, are encouraged to be aware of symptoms related to pertussis and to ensure vaccinations are up to date,” Newfoundland and Labrador’s Health Department said in a statement.

Whooping cough can be treated with antibiotics, but vaccination is the most effective way to control the spread of the disease. As a result, the province has expanded immunization efforts this school year. While booster doses are already offered in Grade 9, the vaccine is now being offered to Grade 8 students as well.

Public health officials say whooping cough is a cyclical disease that increases every two to five or six years.

Meanwhile, New Brunswick’s acting chief medical officer of health expects the current case count to get worse before tapering off.

A rise in whooping cough cases has also been reported in the United States and elsewhere. The Pan American Health Organization issued an alert in July encouraging countries to ramp up their surveillance and vaccination coverage.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 10, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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