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Jack Knox: Among the glumness of another COVID extension, signs of hope – Times Colonist

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You might recall a December column in which I urged weary readers to maintain COVID discipline, keep their Christmas celebrations small and hang on for what I assured them would be the best Family Day ever.

This, of course, was a typographical error.

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What I meant to say was “waiting for this pandemic to ease is like waiting for the Canucks to win the Stanley Cup.”

Or, as you used to say to your dad on those interminable nobody’s-stopping-to-pee road trips (remember road trips?) to Broken Dreams, Sask., “Are we there yet?”

No, no we are not. And we’re feeling more than a little like Alice in Wonderland, chasing a goal that never gets closer no matter how fast we run.

Nobody was really surprised Friday when Dr. Bonnie Henry extended — again — the no-gathering rules introduced in mid-November. We need to buy time, she said, to get B.C.’s immunization program back on track and to get a handle on those scary variants that, while rare here, we really don’t want to take root.

Besides, opening the doors to social gatherings in the run-up to Super Bowl Sunday, the Lunar New Year, Valentine’s Day and Family Day would have been like lowering the drinking age the week before spring break. (Speaking of spring break: don’t.)

Still, even though Friday’s extension was expected, it was discouraging.

There’s a stand-up comedian who has a joke about meteorologists who habitually forecast a sunny day at the end of a week of rain, just to keep people’s hopes up. After a few weeks of no sun, hope fades. That’s what if felt like.

Except here’s the deal: the mountain of information released by Henry and Health Minister Adrian Dix actually included plenty of reasons for cautious optimism. Indicators are pointing in the right direction.

Among the positives:

• If we continue to buckle down, we could see the return of our safe-six bubbles, religious ­services and youth sports by the end of the month. “It’s not going to be ‘yay, we’re out of this, we’re back to ­normal,’ ” Henry said. It will be a slow re-entry into the world that was.

• After peaking in November, then blipping up after the holidays, the daily case count is going in the right direction. “We have now flattened and slowly started to decrease.”

• The flow of vaccines to B.C. might be disappointing, but the effects of the shots that have been administered are beginning to show. Henry said there has been a “dramatic and sustained” decrease in cases among the elderly and those who are most vulnerable to severe illness.

Dix said the number of outbreaks in long-term care, assisted-living and independent-living homes fell from 49 on Jan. 15 to 24 as of Friday. Not only that, but outbreaks in the past two weeks have been smaller in scope.

• The return to classrooms did not bring the spike in cases that some had feared. “We’re not seeing accelerated transmission in school-age children,” Henry said.

• The all-important R number — the average number of people infected by an infected person — has dropped below one. That’s critical.

• Of the 145,567 British ­Columbians who have received vaccines, only 205 have reported adverse side effects. That includes 55 who had serious reactions such as anaphylaxis. “That’s not ­unexpected,” Henry said.

• More vaccines are in the approval process.

“We are seeing some encour aging signs here in B.C,” Henry summarized. The collective efforts are working.

It all came with a note of caution, though.

Henry and Dix repeatedly said how easy it would be to undo all the progress. All it would take for the virus to take off would be one or two superspreader events, or even a slight increase in our contacts. Seeing one more friend, or going to a birthday party is all it might take, Henry said.

And that brings us to the bottom line.

It wasn’t really Dr. Bonnie who was responsible for extending the restrictions Friday. It was COVID.

Nor will it be up to Henry to ease the limits on our lives. It will be up to us. If we keep doing the right things — staying apart, staying put, washing hands, wearing masks — we’ll create our own hope.

jknox@timescolonist.com

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Canada to donate up to 200,000 vaccine doses to combat mpox outbreaks in Africa

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The Canadian government says it will donate up to 200,000 vaccine doses to fight the mpox outbreak in Congo and other African countries.

It says the donated doses of Imvamune will come from Canada’s existing supply and will not affect the country’s preparedness for mpox cases in this country.

Minister of Health Mark Holland says the donation “will help to protect those in the most affected regions of Africa and will help prevent further spread of the virus.”

Dr. Madhukar Pai, Canada research chair in epidemiology and global health, says although the donation is welcome, it is a very small portion of the estimated 10 million vaccine doses needed to control the outbreak.

Vaccine donations from wealthier countries have only recently started arriving in Africa, almost a month after the World Health Organization declared the mpox outbreak a public health emergency of international concern.

A few days after the declaration in August, Global Affairs Canada announced a contribution of $1 million for mpox surveillance, diagnostic tools, research and community awareness in Africa.

On Thursday, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention said mpox is still on the rise and that testing rates are “insufficient” across the continent.

Jason Kindrachuk, Canada research chair in emerging viruses at the University of Manitoba, said donating vaccines, in addition to supporting surveillance and diagnostic tests, is “massively important.”

But Kindrachuk, who has worked on the ground in Congo during the epidemic, also said that the international response to the mpox outbreak is “better late than never (but) better never late.”

“It would have been fantastic for us globally to not be in this position by having provided doses a much, much longer time prior than when we are,” he said, noting that the outbreak of clade I mpox in Congo started in early 2023.

Clade II mpox, endemic in regions of West Africa, came to the world’s attention even earlier — in 2022 — as that strain of virus spread to other countries, including Canada.

Two doses are recommended for mpox vaccination, so the donation may only benefit 100,000 people, Pai said.

Pai questioned whether Canada is contributing enough, as the federal government hasn’t said what percentage of its mpox vaccine stockpile it is donating.

“Small donations are simply not going to help end this crisis. We need to show greater solidarity and support,” he said in an email.

“That is the biggest lesson from the COVID-19 pandemic — our collective safety is tied with that of other nations.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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How many Nova Scotians are on the doctor wait-list? Number hit 160,000 in June

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HALIFAX – The Nova Scotia government says it could be months before it reveals how many people are on the wait-list for a family doctor.

The head of the province’s health authority told reporters Wednesday that the government won’t release updated data until the 160,000 people who were on the wait-list in June are contacted to verify whether they still need primary care.

Karen Oldfield said Nova Scotia Health is working on validating the primary care wait-list data before posting new numbers, and that work may take a matter of months. The most recent public wait-list figures are from June 1, when 160,234 people, or about 16 per cent of the population, were on it.

“It’s going to take time to make 160,000 calls,” Oldfield said. “We are not talking weeks, we are talking months.”

The interim CEO and president of Nova Scotia Health said people on the list are being asked where they live, whether they still need a family doctor, and to give an update on their health.

A spokesperson with the province’s Health Department says the government and its health authority are “working hard” to turn the wait-list registry into a useful tool, adding that the data will be shared once it is validated.

Nova Scotia’s NDP are calling on Premier Tim Houston to immediately release statistics on how many people are looking for a family doctor. On Tuesday, the NDP introduced a bill that would require the health minister to make the number public every month.

“It is unacceptable for the list to be more than three months out of date,” NDP Leader Claudia Chender said Tuesday.

Chender said releasing this data regularly is vital so Nova Scotians can track the government’s progress on its main 2021 campaign promise: fixing health care.

The number of people in need of a family doctor has more than doubled between the 2021 summer election campaign and June 2024. Since September 2021 about 300 doctors have been added to the provincial health system, the Health Department said.

“We’ll know if Tim Houston is keeping his 2021 election promise to fix health care when Nova Scotians are attached to primary care,” Chender said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

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Newfoundland and Labrador monitoring rise in whooping cough cases: medical officer

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ST. JOHN’S, N.L. – Newfoundland and Labrador‘s chief medical officer is monitoring the rise of whooping cough infections across the province as cases of the highly contagious disease continue to grow across Canada.

Dr. Janice Fitzgerald says that so far this year, the province has recorded 230 confirmed cases of the vaccine-preventable respiratory tract infection, also known as pertussis.

Late last month, Quebec reported more than 11,000 cases during the same time period, while Ontario counted 470 cases, well above the five-year average of 98. In Quebec, the majority of patients are between the ages of 10 and 14.

Meanwhile, New Brunswick has declared a whooping cough outbreak across the province. A total of 141 cases were reported by last month, exceeding the five-year average of 34.

The disease can lead to severe complications among vulnerable populations including infants, who are at the highest risk of suffering from complications like pneumonia and seizures. Symptoms may start with a runny nose, mild fever and cough, then progress to severe coughing accompanied by a distinctive “whooping” sound during inhalation.

“The public, especially pregnant people and those in close contact with infants, are encouraged to be aware of symptoms related to pertussis and to ensure vaccinations are up to date,” Newfoundland and Labrador’s Health Department said in a statement.

Whooping cough can be treated with antibiotics, but vaccination is the most effective way to control the spread of the disease. As a result, the province has expanded immunization efforts this school year. While booster doses are already offered in Grade 9, the vaccine is now being offered to Grade 8 students as well.

Public health officials say whooping cough is a cyclical disease that increases every two to five or six years.

Meanwhile, New Brunswick’s acting chief medical officer of health expects the current case count to get worse before tapering off.

A rise in whooping cough cases has also been reported in the United States and elsewhere. The Pan American Health Organization issued an alert in July encouraging countries to ramp up their surveillance and vaccination coverage.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 10, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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