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Economy

Canadian dollar adds to weekly gain as economy grows

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The Canadian dollar CADUSD edged higher against its U.S. counterpart on Friday, adding to this week’s gains, as oil prices rose and domestic data showed the economy growing in line with expectations in October.

The gain for the loonie came as U.S. stock index futures seesawed following data that showed U.S. inflation cooling further but not enough to discourage the Federal Reserve from driving interest rates to higher levels next year.

The Canadian dollar was trading 0.2 per cent higher at 1.3625 to the greenback, or 73.39 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3576 to 1.3662.

For the week, the currency was on track to gain 0.6 per cent as mixed domestic inflation data left the door open to another interest rate hike by the Bank of Canada next month.

Money markets see a greater-than-50 per cent chance the central bank would tighten by 25 basis points at its next policy decision on Jan. 25.

The price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, added to its gains over the past two weeks on expectations of a drop in Russian crude supply. U.S. crude prices were up 2.5 per cent at $79.44 a barrel.

The Canadian economy grew by 0.1 per cent in October versus September, with another 0.1 per cent increase in GDP seen likely in November, Statistics Canada data showed.

Separate data showed that factory sales likely gained 0.6 per cent in November.

Canadian government bond yields were higher across the curve, tracking the move in U.S. Treasuries.

The 10-year touched its highest level since Nov. 15 at 3.176 per cent before dipping slightly to 3.166 per cent, up 8.5 basis points on the day.

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

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