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Dow, S&P 500 Bears Re-Emerge: Is Another Major Sell-Off On the Way? – DailyFX

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Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Price Analysis:

  • The February-March sell-off had reverberations throughout global markets, with the Dow down by as much as 38.5%, the S&P 500 off by as much as 35.9% and the Nasdaq 100 giving back as much as 32.1%.
  • For almost a full month, buyers had control with US equities jumping-higher, aided by some massive government stimulus programs that helped to ease worries.
  • Yesterday’s carnage in oil markets continued for another day and with both the supply and demand sides of the equation remaining worrisome, there may be continued collateral effects as market confidence wanes.

Dow, S&P 500 Push Back Down After a Month of Rebound

It was almost a full month of calm after stocks bottomed around March 22nd; and in the time since the S&P 500 went on to gain as much as 32.6% from the March lows up to the April highs.

The driver for the prior bearish run was fairly obvious: Widespread shutdowns in the effort of flattening the curve and stemming the spread of the novel coronavirus. As this was happening, a few potentially problematic areas began to flare with risk aversion, key of which were US Treasuries and the US Dollar, which gained as much as 8.8% from the March low up to the March high.

It appeared, at the time, that the big fear was that an already highly-leveraged global economy may see collateral effects from the near-certain economic slowdown that would emanate from the coronavirus-related shutdowns, and with the mayhem in oil markets yesterday, that fear may be making a stark reappearance into the equation. And while a portion of yesterday’s mayhem in oil prices can be chalked up to futures market dynamics, as discussed by John Kicklighter, today brought more volatility into the mix as oil prices again sold-off. Our own Martin Essex discussed earlier this morning how that carnage in oil prices has already impacted sentiment; and the response in stocks has thus far been fairly pessimistic.

US stocks continued to trade-lower today, and in the S&P 500, this shows as a push below a rising wedge pattern that had built in the month since those lows were set in March. Today’s bearish push has brought not only a break below the support side of that wedge pattern, but the print of a fresh weekly low and a bit of resistance off of a prior support area showing in the approximate area of 2753, which had helped to hold the lows just last week.

S&P 500 Four-Hour Price Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; SPX500 on Tradingview

As discussed in webinars over the past month, amongst major US equity indices, it appears that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has been the laggard; getting hit a bit harder on the way down and then being a bit slower to rally on the way back-up. Resistance in the Dow showed up in a confluent area on the chart, as there are a couple of Fibonacci levels meshing with a trend-line projection that can be found the February 2016 swing low to the December 2018 swing low. For those looking at bearish strategies in US equities, the Dow may continue to hold some element of attraction.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average Weekly Price Chart

Dow Jones Weekly Price Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Dow Jones on Tradingview

While both the S&P 500 and the Dow got hit incredibly hard in the February-March sell-off, the Nasdaq 100 held up a bit better. The sell-off wasn’t quite as deep, and the corresponding rally appeared to show in a more clean manner. And a similarly drawn trendline on the Nasdaq 100, taking the 2015 low to the 2018 swing-low held during the sell-off; whereas the comparable trendline on the Dow Jones Industrial Average came in to show as resistance. For bullish US equity scenarios, the Nasdaq 100 may continue to be a bit more attractive than both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 given these recent dynamics.

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Nasdaq 100 Weekly Price Chart

Nasdaq 100 Weekly Price Chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; Nasdaq 100 on Tradingview

— Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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