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JIM VIBERT: Successful succession elusive at the top of party politics – TheChronicleHerald.ca

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A win, a tie, and three losses.

That’s the combined electoral record of the last three Nova Scotian premiers to reach the office by winning the leadership of the governing party, rather than by the more well-worn path of victory in a general election.

This obscure grain of political history is only relevant because in February Nova Scotia’s new premier – the province’s 29th, if you’re counting – will be the fourth in 50 years to take office, not after a general election win, but by party (s)election.

Over those five decades, the six premiers who arrived by general election governed for a combined 42 years. The three referenced above governed for eight.

The point, if not already made, is that successful succession at the top is a rare and elusive thing in politics, where success is measured in election victories.

Paul Martin replaced Jean Chretien as Liberal leader and prime minister in 2003 and won a minority government a year later. But, by 2006, the sponsorship scandal, a legacy of Chretien’s time, had devoured the Grits, and Stephen Harper’s Conservatives brought Martin’s political career to an early end.

Like Chretien, many politicians at the top of the game stay until the inevitable rot starts to show in their governments, leaving their successors a political boat that won’t float. (Even more stay longer, are defeated at the polls, then quit. Hence, most new leaders take over parties in opposition.)

Before Martin, Kim Campbell and John Turner became prime minister by winning the leadership of their respective governing parties.

Campbell succeeded Brian Mulroney in 1993 and was PM for about four months before Chretien’s Liberals all but erased the Tories from the national electoral map, mostly because Canadians had it up to here with Mulroney’s PCs.

Turner succeeded Pierre Trudeau in June 1984 but was out of work before the end of September when his government fell to Mulroney’s Tories. Canadians were OK with a Trudeau encore in 1980, but by ‘84 they’d had enough of the Liberals already.

Back home in Nova Scotia, Donald Cameron, Russell MacLellan and Rodney MacDonald all became premier by winning the leadership of their governing parties. Cameron and MacLellan were out of politics less than three years later. MacDonald lasted a few months longer.

Granted, Cameron and MacLellan faced daunting political challenges from the get-go. Both took over parties and governments that had fallen far from favour.

Cameron followed John Buchanan’s dozen years as premier, and the bloom was well off the Tory rose by the time he lost the only election he contested as premier.

MacLellan’s fate was similar, although slightly more protracted. He won the Liberal leadership and took over as premier following John Savage’s tumultuous four years in the office.

MacLellan’s Liberals battled the NDP to a tie – 19 seats apiece – in the 1998 election and retained a fragile minority for another year, until they were defeated by John Hamm’s Conservatives.

Rodney MacDonald won the provincial Conservative leadership and took over as premier when Hamm retired in 2006.

MacDonald’s government quickly brought down a voter-friendly budget, then sent Nova Scotians straight to the polls. He won a workable minority that lasted three years, until 2009 when Nova Scotians elected their first and, to date, only NDP government.

The three men running to succeed Stephen McNeil as Liberal leader and premier – Labi Kousoulis, Iain Rankin and Randy Delorey – are, no doubt somewhat familiar with the dismal political records of premiers who came to the office in the same way one of them will.

But the winner can take heart from the more promising political position he will inherit from McNeil.

Unlike Cameron and MacLellan, Nova Scotia’s next premier will take over a government that enjoys the approval of a solid majority of Nova Scotians, thanks to its handling of the COVID-19 crisis. Not coincidentally, the Liberals sit atop the public opinion polls.

The pandemic will set the political agenda for the foreseeable future, and how the Liberal government manages the health and economic crises after McNeil’s gone will go a long way in determining the future of his successor.

Don’t be surprised if the new premier draws from Rodney MacDonald’s playbook and, after putting his own stamp on the government in a throne speech and a budget, sends Nova Scotians to the polls.

If the virus is under control and vaccine is flowing this spring, the Liberals, who enter the fifth and final year of their mandate in May, won’t see a better time on the horizon.

Journalist and writer Jim Vibert has worked as a communications adviser to five Nova Scotia governments.

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‘Disgraceful:’ N.S. Tory leader slams school’s request that military remove uniform

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says it’s “disgraceful and demeaning” that a Halifax-area school would request that service members not wear military uniforms to its Remembrance Day ceremony.

Houston’s comments were part of a chorus of criticism levelled at the school — Sackville Heights Elementary — whose administration decided to back away from the plan after the outcry.

A November newsletter from the school in Middle Sackville, N.S., invited Armed Forces members to attend its ceremony but asked that all attendees arrive in civilian attire to “maintain a welcoming environment for all.”

Houston, who is currently running for re-election, accused the school’s leaders of “disgracing themselves while demeaning the people who protect our country” in a post on the social media platform X Thursday night.

“If the people behind this decision had a shred of the courage that our veterans have, this cowardly and insulting idea would have been rejected immediately,” Houston’s post read. There were also several calls for resignations within the school’s administration attached to Houston’s post.

In an email to families Thursday night, the school’s principal, Rachael Webster, apologized and welcomed military family members to attend “in the attire that makes them most comfortable.”

“I recognize this request has caused harm and I am deeply sorry,” Webster’s email read, adding later that the school has the “utmost respect for what the uniform represents.”

Webster said the initial request was out of concern for some students who come from countries experiencing conflict and who she said expressed discomfort with images of war, including military uniforms.

Her email said any students who have concerns about seeing Armed Forces members in uniform can be accommodated in a way that makes them feel safe, but she provided no further details in the message.

Webster did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

At a news conference Friday, Houston said he’s glad the initial request was reversed but said he is still concerned.

“I can’t actually fathom how a decision like that was made,” Houston told reporters Friday, adding that he grew up moving between military bases around the country while his father was in the Armed Forces.

“My story of growing up in a military family is not unique in our province. The tradition of service is something so many of us share,” he said.

“Saying ‘lest we forget’ is a solemn promise to the fallen. It’s our commitment to those that continue to serve and our commitment that we will pass on our respects to the next generation.”

Liberal Leader Zach Churchill also said he’s happy with the school’s decision to allow uniformed Armed Forces members to attend the ceremony, but he said he didn’t think it was fair to question the intentions of those behind the original decision.

“We need to have them (uniforms) on display at Remembrance Day,” he said. “Not only are we celebrating (veterans) … we’re also commemorating our dead who gave the greatest sacrifice for our country and for the freedoms we have.”

NDP Leader Claudia Chender said that while Remembrance Day is an important occasion to honour veterans and current service members’ sacrifices, she said she hopes Houston wasn’t taking advantage of the decision to “play politics with this solemn occasion for his own political gain.”

“I hope Tim Houston reached out to the principal of the school before making a public statement,” she said in a statement.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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