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Real estate industry needs to retool for the technological revolution ahead – Financial Post

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The future of work is uncertain. From blue-collar to white-collar to all the jobs in between, technological advances are likely to impact the nature and scope of careers.

The real estate sector, traditionally slow in adopting technology, is even starting to feel the effects of disruption.

Proptech, a term to describe advanced technologies in real estate, is beginning to emerge, with start-ups applying machine learning and artificial intelligence techniques to previously labour-intensive tasks to achieve higher productivity.

The mass deployment of such tools in the future is likely to generate greater profits. However, such advancement may come at a human cost.

A recent survey of real estate executives by the Altus Group, a Canadian commercial real estate services and software company, revealed that the real estate industry is “sitting at the cusp of realizing meaningful returns from technology investments.” The survey collected insights from 400 C-Suite executives in the commercial real estate (CRE) industry.

Almost 75 per cent of the executives surveyed believed that increased automation was likely to eliminate jobs. At the same time, 71 per cent thought that automation would introduce new types of jobs in the real estate industry, or “shift jobs towards higher value-added tasks.”

Realizing the potential of machine learning and AI, the Journal of Portfolio Management recently dedicated an entire issue to “the changes being brought to real estate investment by new technology.” While technology is affecting all aspects of the industry, from construction to financing to investments and beyond, the application of predictive analytics to financial outcomes have attracted the greatest attention.

Writing in the same journal, Chad Cowden and co-authors deployed advanced tools to predict the default rates for commercial real estate loans. They compared the predictive accuracy of the traditional statistical tools, such as regression models, with those relying on machine learning paradigms.

The findings of their comparative analysis are in line with what others have found: Machine learning tools, such as the “support vector machine technique for predicting defaults on commercial property loans significantly outperforms other methods.” Furthermore, such tools perform well even with imperfect data.

New predictive analytics algorithms are already being deployed for the valuation of real estate properties. Automated valuation (AV) models forecast valuations based on the structural characteristics and location of a property with little or no human intervention.

Such technical advancements are likely to create redundancies in the workforce.

One option to meet with this challenge for the real estate industry will be to explore ways to retrain and repurpose the existing workforce, which is uniquely advantaged because of its domain-specific knowledge and experience.

This is likely why Bridget Frey, chief technology officer (CTO) of Redfin, an innovative real estate brokerage based out of Seattle, is also not convinced that algorithms will completely replace human insights.

Speaking at in 2017, Frey observed the “algorithms work better when we leave a place for a human to be in the loop, and I think that’s where the direction needs to go.”

The Altus Group survey revealed that almost half of the real estate firms were spending two to three months in a year “managing and organizing data to drive decision-making.” This suggests the industry lacks ready access to data scientists who would help the industry reduce the time spent on managing and organizing data efficiently.

An earlier survey in 2015 reported 29 per cent of the industry leaders were of the view that the lack of internal expertise and capability was preventing their companies from collecting or utilizing data to drive decision-making. By 2020, a much lager proportion of 52 per cent highlighted a lack of internal expertise in data management and utilization.

The commercial real estate industry is poised for a significant change. The era of smart buildings is upon us. Using the latest tech, building managers can determine where users are in real-time to determine the intensity of space use over time.

Companies such as Innerspace use the unique digital signatures of ubiquitous smart devices to determine where people are within a building and how to optimize energy use and security and limit harmful emissions to improve sustainability and profitability. This will require a data-centric, analytics-oriented workforce, which currently does not exist.

The commercial real estate industry should make every effort to collaborate with different levels of government and institutes of higher learning to train the workforce needed for the data- and technology-centric real estate management industry of the future.

Murtaza Haider is a professor of Real Estate Management at Ryerson University. Stephen Moranis is a real estate industry veteran. They can be reached at www.hmbulletin.com.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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