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Saying no to cryptocurrency was a glorious moment for Canada’s investment advisers

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Making the right call in investing sometimes requires you to look excruciatingly wrong for a while.

The investment advisers who declined to board the cryptocurrency hype train understand this well. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies took off in 2020 and didn’t peak until roughly 12 months ago. Anti-crypto advisers and money managers must have hated those days of saying no to something that made so much money for anyone bold enough to dive in.

They’re over it now, though. With cryptocurrency prices collapsing, everyone in the investment advice industry who declined to trust crypto with client money is vindicated. Kudos to all for being willing to look bad in the near term so they could be right later on about what’s good for investors.

Crypto is still in its infancy and may yet turn out to be a reliable financial asset we commonly invest in or use for making payments. What advisers got right was the idea of staying away during a speculative frenzy that could only end badly. The price of bitcoin, ethereum and other coins is down by half to two-thirds or more this year. FTX, a once-celebrated crypto exchange, has filed for bankruptcy protection with debts in the billions of dollars.

Advisers saw this coming, even while others in the investment industry viewed crypto as an opportunity. The investing app Wealthsimple Trade made crypto trading simple and accessible for individuals. A TSX-listed exchange-traded fund called the Purpose Bitcoin ETF (BTCC-T) was the first of its type in the world, and it sparked a bunch of competitors. The global giant Fidelity Investments added a tiny amount of crypto to its TSX-listed asset allocation ETFs, which are aimed at middle-of-the-road investors. The most shocking crypto foray by Canada’s investing establishment has to be an investment by the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan in FTX that will result in a US$95-million loss.

For the most part, though, crypto has mostly been a story of individual investors buying in on their own while advisers and money managers mainly watched from the sidelines. Back in March, 2021, I wrote a piece with the headline Why Your Investment Adviser Hates Bitcoin. I surveyed advisers on LinkedIn and found a stern resistance to incorporating it into client portfolios on the basis that it was hard to value and thus too risky.

There wasn’t even much take-up on an idea that seemed crafted specifically for advisers – that cryptocurrency would improve the diversification of portfolios by adding a component to complement stocks and bonds. In 2022, crypto’s the classic “diworsification” asset: However much your stocks and bonds are down, crypto is worse.

Resisting crypto at its peak took some conviction because prices were rising so fast. Bitcoin pretty much quadrupled from November, 2020, to the same month last year, and other cryptocurrencies soared as well. To stand against crypto as an adviser was to risk coming off like an apologist for an outdated and decaying financial system – just the sort of thing crypto investors saw themselves as rebelling against.

The pressure on advisers to accept crypto must have been intense, given how much faith individual Canadians put in the sector. “Polls seem to indicate that Canadians are more likely to be invested in crypto than American, Australian, or British households,” says a recent report from the independent analysis company Morningstar.

Recent analysis from TD Securities said the launch of crypto ETFs helped increase the level of retail investor trading in the non-core “alternative ETF” category to almost 80 per cent of total volumes from 40 per cent early last year.

The Purpose Bitcoin ETF hit $1-billion in assets in March, 2021, a phenomenal achievement for an investment product just one month old. The latest numbers show the fund lost about 70 per cent for the 12 months to Oct. 31, with assets down from March, 2021 levels by half. Thank an adviser today if they saved you from getting caught up in this decline.

Did you roll the dice and invest in crypto during the pandemic? We want to hear how your thoughts on crypto have changed – or stayed the same. E-mail Globe reporter Salmaan Farooqui at sfarooqui@globeandmail.com to share your story.

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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