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Terence Corcoran: Keep politics out of Canada-China trade

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The political tensions between China and Canada — and between the United States and China — have produced justifiable concerns about growing risks of trade wars. Amid the daily barrage of China conflict issues, balloon shoot-downs, TikTok scares, political interference reports, imprisoned Canadians and expelled diplomats, a general sense is emerging that China is enemy territory, economically and ideologically. Voters are getting the message. But it is the wrong message.

Anti-China trade sentiment, already rising over the past year, appears to have gained even more traction over the past few months.  A new opinion survey by Maru Public Opinion found that 82 per cent of Canadians believe Canada should be working closer with American companies to reduce Canada’s reliance on importing Chinese goods. Even more Americans, 86 per cent, believe the United States should be working closer with Canadian companies to reduce America’s reliance on importing Chinese goods.

The Maru cross-border polling results are a troubling update on a Nanos Research poll last week that showed three in four Canadians view China negatively, which follows a Nanos survey finding last December that showed six in 10 Canadians think Canada should decrease trade with China, a sixteen-point increase compared with December 2020 when less than half of Canadians supported a decrease in China trade.

By extending the survey range to U.S. residents, the Maru poll captures the expanding negative mood of Canadians and Americans re China. On both sides of the border, there is a willingness to engage in risky economic and trade policy manoeuvres as an appropriate response to complicated and unrelated political issues.

The Maru survey also found that 71 per cent of Canadians believe Canada should “make it easier” for U.S. companies to export to Canada. On the U.S. side, 79 per cent of Americans think Canada should be included in the Biden administration’s “Buy America” regime.

The polls, in other words, idealize a cozy Canada-U.S. trade relationship that can and should be expanded at the expense of China. But cozy bilateralism is not the way the global trading system operates. It is dominated by inter-corporate competition.

Recent developments in world trade, especially China trade, point to the non-political economic reality behind the conflicts — realities that might change the views of Canadians. For example, last week Germany reported that China accounted for 28 per cent of imported electric cars. No made-in-China EVs arrive in Canada, but how would Canadians respond if they were asked this survey question: “Would you prefer a more expensive Detroit EV product to cheaper EV imports from China?”

Canada’s entire carbon transition is based on the idea of forming partnerships with countries that are seen as friends, especially the United States. But voters could get side-swiped in the fluctuating vicissitudes of U.S. trade policy.

When Joe Biden became president in 2021, he was in no rush to abandon tariffs and other aspects of the U.S.-China trade-war tactics initiated by Donald Trump. But times have changed. The latest developments between the two countries — and between China and other nations — suggest the global environment is not what Canadians think it is.

Fresh signs that economic realities are overtaking Canada’s beat-back-China movement are everywhere.

• Last week Chinese and U.S. officials met, in a demonstration that the two nations can come together on pragmatic issues — part of what one commentator described as a “hair-raising” course correction on the part of the Biden administration.

• U.S. climate envoy John Kerry recently told Reuters he will go to China in ”the near term” to work together to address climate change.

• The United Kingdom last month outlined a “new China policy,” calling for a constructive approach and opposing moves to isolate China. “No significant global problem — from climate change to pandemic prevention, from economic stability to nuclear proliferation — can be solved without China,” said British Foreign Secretary James Cleverly.

• Australia’s trade minister said last week he is “pleased” with recent trade talks with China. The news was another signal of the end to a years-long trade-war relationship between the two countries. There was even talk of the possibility of China joining the Trans-Pacific Partnership, of which Canada is a member. Three months ago experts claimed that the Aussie trade war with China showed no signs of abating.

• China last week signed a “free trade” agreement with Equador in South America, a pact that Equador says will allow it to export 99.6 per cent of its products to China without tariffs.

• In nearby Honduras, the Caribbean nation announced last week that it was entering free trade talks with China — after it had ceased to recognize Taiwan. Trade will focus on coffee and shrimp.728x90x4

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‘Disgraceful:’ N.S. Tory leader slams school’s request that military remove uniform

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says it’s “disgraceful and demeaning” that a Halifax-area school would request that service members not wear military uniforms to its Remembrance Day ceremony.

Houston’s comments were part of a chorus of criticism levelled at the school — Sackville Heights Elementary — whose administration decided to back away from the plan after the outcry.

A November newsletter from the school in Middle Sackville, N.S., invited Armed Forces members to attend its ceremony but asked that all attendees arrive in civilian attire to “maintain a welcoming environment for all.”

Houston, who is currently running for re-election, accused the school’s leaders of “disgracing themselves while demeaning the people who protect our country” in a post on the social media platform X Thursday night.

“If the people behind this decision had a shred of the courage that our veterans have, this cowardly and insulting idea would have been rejected immediately,” Houston’s post read. There were also several calls for resignations within the school’s administration attached to Houston’s post.

In an email to families Thursday night, the school’s principal, Rachael Webster, apologized and welcomed military family members to attend “in the attire that makes them most comfortable.”

“I recognize this request has caused harm and I am deeply sorry,” Webster’s email read, adding later that the school has the “utmost respect for what the uniform represents.”

Webster said the initial request was out of concern for some students who come from countries experiencing conflict and who she said expressed discomfort with images of war, including military uniforms.

Her email said any students who have concerns about seeing Armed Forces members in uniform can be accommodated in a way that makes them feel safe, but she provided no further details in the message.

Webster did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

At a news conference Friday, Houston said he’s glad the initial request was reversed but said he is still concerned.

“I can’t actually fathom how a decision like that was made,” Houston told reporters Friday, adding that he grew up moving between military bases around the country while his father was in the Armed Forces.

“My story of growing up in a military family is not unique in our province. The tradition of service is something so many of us share,” he said.

“Saying ‘lest we forget’ is a solemn promise to the fallen. It’s our commitment to those that continue to serve and our commitment that we will pass on our respects to the next generation.”

Liberal Leader Zach Churchill also said he’s happy with the school’s decision to allow uniformed Armed Forces members to attend the ceremony, but he said he didn’t think it was fair to question the intentions of those behind the original decision.

“We need to have them (uniforms) on display at Remembrance Day,” he said. “Not only are we celebrating (veterans) … we’re also commemorating our dead who gave the greatest sacrifice for our country and for the freedoms we have.”

NDP Leader Claudia Chender said that while Remembrance Day is an important occasion to honour veterans and current service members’ sacrifices, she said she hopes Houston wasn’t taking advantage of the decision to “play politics with this solemn occasion for his own political gain.”

“I hope Tim Houston reached out to the principal of the school before making a public statement,” she said in a statement.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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