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The Decade’s Digital Dystopia In Real Estate: What Is Next? – Forbes

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Changes that result from technological breakthroughs are not always positive. A couple of months ago, reading the article “Digital dystopia: how algorithms punish the poor,” which outlines technology’s ability to negatively impact the most vulnerable, made me reflect on the impact of technological innovations on the real estate industry.

With new accomplishments, there is often a wave of new problems that follow. Evolution gave humans morality as a default setting, but some individuals may display traits like greed and unethical behavior and engage in unique and creative fraud activities. When it comes to real estate, the risk of digital misbehavior becomes very real. For example, someone can steal your current property ownership; or, when you buy a house, your down payment can disappear. Everyone thinks that it will never happen to them until it does.

The Bright Side Of Tech Progress

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Innovation involves new ideas or creative thoughts, and the ultimate goal is an improvement. When entrepreneurs take steps of more considerable uncertainty, out-of-the-box thinking, and experimentation, the world gets introduced to outstanding products.

According to an article featuring an interview with tech investor Ramy Adeeb, real estate was previously largely ignored by entrepreneurs and investors, as it was one of the “more antiquated” and “unsexy” industries. However, Adeeb states that companies using technology to improve real estate might be part of the “third wave” of exits. Even though the innovation in real estate has been historically slow, certain changes have happened to the industry in the last decade.

For example, Gary Gold (Hilton & Hyland’s Executive Vice President, who participated in many interesting transactions, including the nation’s most expensive mansion), remarked that the real estate transaction process involved 3-4 pages just a decade ago; now, the transaction involves 3-4 inches of paperwork, most of which homebuyers do not even read. Gary Gold believes that the most significant breakthrough of the decade for real estate was DocuSign, as the e-signature solution allowed transaction parties to execute enormous amounts of paperwork more quickly. E-signature solutions like DocuSign are supported by the NAR (National Association of REALTORS), and these products have been adopted by industry participants (including brokers and agents) for electronic purchase agreements.

Digital signature technology has freed homebuyers from wasting precious time, paper, and energy on the completion of transaction documents. The U.S. is fortunate in this sense, as other countries such as Japan and Dubai still have not adopted e-signatures for completing real estate transactions.

Other Internet innovations have brought apparent advantages to the real estate industry. Platforms that allow people to browse for properties online, such as MLSs, Zillow in the U.S., Zoopla in the U.K., and SeLoger in France, have introduced more transparency to the local marketplace.

Has Digitalization Brought Increased Liquidity Or Housing Affordability To The Homebuyer?

A while ago, I discussed the potential market recession with Gino Blefari, who is the CEO of HomeServices of America and the Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices. During the discussion, Gino asked me, “Do you know how many homes were sold in 1998? It’s almost the same number as today, even though we added 20 million more homes in the last decade.” Thus, the volume of annual sales has been steady (at around 5 million homes), with a moderate increase due to population increase. Digitalization and innovation have not brought significant changes to the liquidity of the real estate asset class. The affordability of real estate has not increased, either. Currently, about 10% of a property’s price is still spent on transaction fees and the preparation of the home for sale (excluding renovation costs).

While digitalization has not positively affected the liquidity of real estate, it has offered hackers the ability to steal property ownership and payments more easily. For hackers, the $280 trillion real estate market has a lot of opportunities. The transparency of listings on MLSs and platforms like Zillow allows hackers to find the information that they need to target unsuspecting victims. The digitalization of transaction documents (including the utilization of e-signatures, Google Drive, and emails) has led to the opportunity for hacks and fraud, with millions of dollars lost.

Real Estate Scams, Fraud, And Bribery

Cyberfraud is, perhaps, the biggest issue in the modern digital world. According to the FBI’s Internet Crime Complaint Center, cybercrime is a billion-dollar problem that heavily impacts the real estate marketplace. Email wire fraud cost companies and homebuyers $26 billion since 2016. Additionally, this is just the tip of the iceberg, as the FBI estimates that only 12-15% of all wire fraud cases are reported.  A 1,100% increase in real estate scams from 2015 to 2017 shows us the extent of the vulnerability of real estate professionals and homebuyers.

A typical wire fraud scheme involves a hacker who gets ahold of a property’s agent email information from MLSs or Zillow. The bad actor monitors the progress of the transaction from the email communication or by browsing for public links of transaction data on Google Drive, Dropbox, and the like to get other details. Many people suspect that there are internal people in the industry feeding the data to hackers. On the day of the sale, the con artist mimics the closing agent or title company and uses a fake email address to send an email with wrong payment instructions. Sometimes, the hackers send the instructions to agents, and agents send these instructions to their customers. The money gets wired somewhere else. 

Another case is title fraud, which is not covered by title insurance in 99% of the cases. Real estate is becoming a digital asset where proof of ownership is evidenced in the form of a database record instead of a physical document or a physical occupancy of a dwelling. Thus, the current framework provides an opportunity for hackers to get access to property ownership digitally. Some cases even involve the illegal transfer of ownership on a title registry level. In the U.S., if a hacker aims for a change of property ownership for an individual who is deceased and does not have heirs, then the change will typically be unnoticed. In developing countries, one can bribe an IT specialist and obtain full access to property registries. From there, property ownership can be transferred. For example, the Bulgarian registry stopped working in 2019; as per the official sources, some data was presumably altered, and there were no backups. Unfortunately, cases like the ones mentioned are hard to detect and fight in court. Although some individuals manage to obtain justice, the majority of these cases, especially those involving deceased individuals, are often left undetected.

Furthermore, attacks on the U.S. counties’ operation systems, which store sensitive data, are becoming a new norm. The recent Baltimore ransomware attack is just one example that highlights imperfections in the modern digital framework. 

In 2019, I asked a number of tech-driven brokerages in the U.S. on whether they feel worried about cyberattacks. Unsurprisingly, the majority of them responded, “Yes.”

Privacy Issue In Real Estate

The abuse of consumer data by corporations is nothing new. In real estate, both realtors and consumers complain about the issue. Some real estate agents criticize data ownership by companies like Zillow. There are homeowners whose information is publicly traded on sites such as infoUSA.

It is frightening that anyone in the U.S. can find information such as your name, your phone number, and your email address by merely looking up your home address on some websites. While such search algorithms can be useful for realtors for lead generation, publicly exposing private information is a privacy violation.

Hopefully, with the California Consumer Privacy Act, consumers will have more control over their data. If so, the market dynamics will change. In one of my previous articles, I shared some thoughts on how data can be controlled and how data verification and storage can become additional income sources for real estate professionals in the future.

What’s Next?

Due to the risk of fraud, the NAR strongly recommends that its 1.4 million members choose very secure technological solutions and avoid using emails for closing transactions. In fact, the organization’s website directs readers to “never trust wiring instructions sent via email.”

The situation with cyber risk might improve. An increasing number of market participants, including the U.S. NAR, are starting to understand that new protocols are needed to address the digital dystopia that the current real estate industry faces. NAR’s CEO Bob Goldberg stated, ”NAR has a strong commitment to furthering technology that ensures the security of the real estate transaction, protecting all parties.”

Technological advancements such as blockchain and decentralized governance, AI-powered tools, object and voice recognition tech, VR, and AR will give rise to the next generation of changes in real estate. 

New decentralized methods of managing the Internet, online communities, and transactions will evolve. In the context of property ownership frameworks, distributed ledgers are proving their efficiency, as they are immutable records that are recognized in the courts of many U.S. states. Immutability is achieved with the decentralized nature of blockchain. According to Kuba Jewgieniew, the CEO of tech-driven brokerage Realty One Group, “Blockchain will provide a more streamlined and secure process to our industry, especially with title and settlement services.”

Despite all of the skepticism revolving around blockchain, no one can overlook the real use and real application of this technology in the real estate field. If you follow tech topics, a decentralized Internet was the topic of the last two seasons of HBO’s Silicon Valley. Additionally, decentralized governance is part of Mark Zuckerberg’s long-term focuses for 2020 and the following decade. During my conversation with proptech-focused venture capitalist Arnie Sriskandarajah at Round Hill Ventures based in the U.K., Sriskandarajah said, “Blockchain is still nascent, but we see the potential that it has on the industry, especially on how real estate is traded. It can advance leasing and sales transactions.”

Many real estate market participants believe that blockchain tech is one solution that can help the industry fill the cyber trust gap. The key to building something “trustable” is to use blockchain as a part of the algorithms and programming languages.

In addition to immutable records and automation using blockchain-based smart contracts, AI can add a level of automation to transactions. For example, machine learning can help with quickly finding errors in non-compliant documents in one transaction. Image recognition is used by some startups to evaluate homes’ prices. AI can determine what is inside a house, and algorithms can analyze property prices instantly; in fact, the tech-driven brokerage Compass is working on AI tools. Kuba Jewgieniew admits, “AI is a must-have.”

Whether these new advancements in emerging technology will bring new cyber problems to the real estate industry is questionable. On the positive side, as per Gino Blefari, “We are getting to a point where property buying will not be as stressful for homebuyers.” Ultimately, a home purchase is one of the most important transactions in an individual’s life, and there are plenty of tech-driven innovators that are eager to deliver a better consumer experience.

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Banks Believe They Are Well-Prepared for Commercial Real Estate Fallout – The Wall Street Journal

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Banks Believe They Are Well-Prepared for Commercial Real Estate Fallout  The Wall Street Journal

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Home buyer savings plans boost demand, not affordability – Financial Post

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Robert McLister: Tax shelters don’t make housing more affordable, but those with the cash would be foolish not to use them

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With housing unaffordability near its worst-ever level, our trusty leaders are on a quest to right their housing wrongs and get more young people into homes.

Part of Ottawa’s big strategy to “help” is promoting tax-sheltered savings accounts and pumping up their contribution limits. That, of course, stimulates real estate demand amidst Canada’s population and housing supply crises. But save that thought.

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First-time buyers now have three government piggy banks to stockpile cash for a down payment:

1. The 32-year-old RRSP Home Buyers’ Plan — which lets you deduct contributions from your income to defer taxes and then borrow from the account interest-free for your down payment (as long as you wait 90-plus days to withdraw any contributions);

2. The 15-year-old Tax-free Savings Account (TFSA) — which lets you save after-tax dollars, grow your money tax-free and withdraw it without the taxman taking a bite;

3. The one-year-old First Home Savings Account (FHSA) — which is a combination of an RRSP and TFSA. It lets you deduct contributions from income, compound it tax-free and never pay tax on withdrawals used to buy a home. You can even save the deduction for a year when you need it more — when you’re earning more money.

Assuming you have the funds and contribution room, these tax shelters can combine to help you amass a supersized down payment.

“Looking at the FHSA alone, with the max annual contribution room of $8,000 for 2023 and 2024, a potential first-time home buyer could have as much as $16,000 deposited in the account today for a down payment,” says Eric Larocque, chief mortgage operations officer at Questrade’s Community Trust Company.

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“If you also add in the cumulative contribution room of $95,000 for the TFSA, it amounts to $111,000 in potential funds available — and that’s before incorporating investment gains from either account.”

And it doesn’t stop there. RRSP, TFSA and FHSA savings limits keep increasing. If first-timers have enough contribution room, down payment savers in 2024 can sock away even more in these tax-sheltered troves.

“Factoring in the recent changes to the Home Buyers’ Plan, which now permits RRSP withdrawals of up to $60,000 — up from $35,000 — we land at a potential total of $171,000 in deposited funds that can be tapped for a first-time home buyer’s down payment,” Larocque adds.

That’s quite a wad — easily enough to cover the 20 per cent ($139,706) down payment required to avoid mandatory (and pricey) default insurance on the average home. Canada’s average abode is now worth $698,530 by the way, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association.

Here’s the rub: Canada’s living costs are sky-high, and real disposable income has trended downward. So, how’s an average first-time buyer household, raking in less than six figures, supposed to amass such a stash?

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Based on national averages, saving 10 per cent of one’s pre-tax income per year (who does that?) would take a young FTB couple over 15 years to sock away $140,000. History shows what would happen to home values if you waited 15 years — they’d jet off without you.

If you have no other resources and your bet is that historical appreciation rates continue — despite slower population growth, more building and potentially higher long-term rates — you’re better off saving less and buying sooner with a five per cent down insured mortgage.

So, does Big Brother really expect your typical first-time buyer to max out all these savings plans? Nope. But hey, throwing a buffet of options at you sure paints a pretty picture of government effort, doesn’t it?

Ottawa’s dirty little secret is that these nifty programs crank up demand, turning renters into buyers. So don’t bet on them making the home-owning dream any cheaper, for first-timers or anyone else.

Take advantage of them anyway.

The government sets limits on these tax shelters with well-off home buyers in mind. One lucky bunch who can make use of all three down payment savings plans is the first-timer with prosperous parents.

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Such buyers can make a withdrawal from their parental ATM (a living inheritance, some call it), deposit that cash in all three savings vehicles above and reap: hefty income tax savings or deferrals (thanks to the FHSA and RRSP deductions); tax-free/tax-deferred growth on the investments; and tax-free withdrawals if the money is used to buy a qualifying home (albeit, you’ll have to pay the RRSP HBP back over 15 years, starting five years after your withdrawal).

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The more opportunities it gives people to save for a down payment, the more Ottawa worsens the imbalance between purchase demand and supply. And that, of course, boosts real estate values skyward — which is dandy for existing owners but contradictory to the government’s affordability messaging.

But hey, these tax treats are ripe for the picking. Home shoppers with the means — especially those with deep-pocketed parents — might as well take advantage of all three accounts.

Robert McLister is a mortgage strategist, interest rate analyst and editor of MortgageLogic.news. You can follow him on X at @RobMcLister.

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$93 Billion Real Estate Giant Is Betting The Market Is About To Hit Rock Bottom – Yahoo Finance

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$93 Billion Real Estate Giant Is Betting The Market Is About To Hit Rock Bottom

$93 Billion Real Estate Giant Is Betting The Market Is About To Hit Rock Bottom

Successful real estate investors have long followed the adage: When there is blood in the street, buy property.

Historically, this approach has yielded dividends, and it explains the mindset behind a new venture from Hines, a real estate giant with over $93 billion in assets under management. Hines recently announced a new platform called Hines Private Wealth Solutions that seeks to capitalize on the recent troubles in the real estate industry.

The management at Hines has been carefully watching the real estate industry for decades, and they believe that today’s market presents the perfect opportunity for investors to buy distressed assets and sell them at a profit in the future. When you consider that nearly $4 trillion in commercial real estate loans are set to mature between now and 2027, it’s easy to see the logic behind Hines Private Wealth Solutions.

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The developers behind many of those projects took out loans assuming they would be able to refinance at pre-COVID interest rates. Considering that current interest rates are about double what they were before COVID-19, that assumption looks more like a losing bet every day. It also means there will be a lot of foreclosures that a well-positioned fund can snap up for pennies on the dollar.

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That’s where Hines Private Wealth Solutions seeks to step into the picture. It’s already contracted with investing heavyweight Paul Ferraro, former head of Carlyle Private Wealth Group, and raised $10 billion in funds for the new project. It will offer its clients a range of investment options, including:

In addition to these offerings, Hines will also give personal guidance to its investors on how to best manage their real estate assets. It is targeting investors who want to turn away from the traditional 60/40 investment model by channeling more money into real estate and away from other alternative investments. Hines is banking on the idea that high interest rates and high inflation will be around for a while.

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When that happens, it becomes more important for investors to hold inflation-resistant assets. That’s a big part of why Hines is betting that real estate is near the bottom after years of declining profits resulting from high interest rates and major losses in the commercial sector. Hines’s conclusion that now is the time to buy real estate is based on long-term company research showing that real estate typically declines after a 15- to 17-year-long growth period.

Its research shows that the decline normally lasts around two years, which is about the same length of time the real estate market has been suffering from high prices and high interest rates. Theoretically, that makes this the perfect time to make aggressive moves in the real estate market, and the Hines Private Wealth Fund was conceived to allow investors to take advantage of current market conditions.

Despite the deep troubles facing today’s real estate industry, it’s not hard to see the logic in Hines’s approach.

“This is a great vintage, it’s a great moment. This real estate correction began really over two years ago, right when the Fed started raising interest rates,” Hines global Chief Investment Officer David Steinbach told Fortune magazine. “So, we’re two years into a cycle, which means we’re near the end.”

If Hines is correct, real estate investors will have a lot of good bargains with high upside to choose from in the next 12 to 24 months. The good news is that even if you’re not wealthy enough to buy into the Hines Private Wealth Solution, there may still be plenty of opportunity for you to adopt their investment philosophy and start scouting for an undervalued, distressed asset to scoop up. Keep your eyes open and be ready.

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This article $93 Billion Real Estate Giant Is Betting The Market Is About To Hit Rock Bottom originally appeared on Benzinga.com

© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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