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The Economic Implications of South America’s Growing Lithium Industry

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Known as the element that powers our smartphones, laptops, and, increasingly, our cars, lithium is in incredibly high demand.

While the market transitions to a low-carbon future, lithium-ion batteries are becoming more and more essential, with electric vehicles being one of the biggest drivers of demand. Luckily, South America looks to have us covered. In fact, South America holds around 75% of the world’s known reserves, with Argentina, Chile and Bolivia representing the so-called ‘lithium triangle’ of producers.

According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), as of 2021, Chile has the largest lithium reserves in the world, followed by Argentina and Bolivia.

The importance of South America in this is race is gaining momentum, so much so that governments around the world are moving to secure their supplies from the Lithium Triangle and other parts of South America for the future, knowing that China is seemingly way ahead of the rest of the pack, including these recent developments:

· Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz visited South America, calling for a ‘New Approach to the Lithium Rush

· Bolivia tapped Chinese battery giant CATL to help develop its lithium

· Argentina, Chile and Bolivia are in talks to unite in battery metal industry

· South Korea’s POSCO invested $4 billion into the Lithium Triangle

Chile has an estimated 8.6 million metric tons of lithium reserves, mostly located in the Salar de Atacama. The Salar de Atacama is home to some of the world’s largest lithium brine operations.

Argentina is one of the world’s major players in the lithium industry, and for good reason. It has an estimated 6.4 million metric tons of lithium reserves, primarily located in the Salinas Grandes and Hombre Muerto salt flats in the northwest of the country. The lithium brines found in the country are some of the highest grade in the world, with concentrations of lithium reaching up to 3,200 parts per million (ppm). In comparison, the average concentration of lithium in seawater is around 0.1 ppm.

 

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This high concentration of lithium in Argentina’s brines makes them particularly attractive to mining companies, as it means that the extraction process can be more efficient and cost-effective. It also means that the environmental impact of mining can be minimized, as less water is needed to extract the same amount of lithium as in other regions.

The Salar de Olaroz, located in the northwestern province of Jujuy, is one of the largest and highest-grade lithium brine deposits in the world. It is estimated to contain around 6.4 million tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent, which is around 9% of the world’s total known lithium resources.

Other major lithium deposits in Argentina include the Salar del Hombre Muerto and the Salar de Cauchari. Both of these deposits are also known for their high-grade lithium brines, and are being developed by major mining companies.

Bolivia has an estimated 5.4 million metric tons of lithium reserves, located primarily in the Salar de Uyuni. However, lithium mining in Bolivia has been slower to develop than in Chile and Argentina, and the country faces significant political and social challenges.

Brazil, which is not part of the Lithium Triangle, also has significant lithium resources. As of 2021, Brazil was the world’s seventh-largest producer of lithium, with an estimated 86,000 metric tons of reserves. The main lithium deposits in Brazil are located in the states of Minas Gerais and Ceará, with significant exploration activity taking place in other regions of the country as well. The Brazilian government has made lithium a priority mineral for development, with plans to develop a domestic lithium-ion battery industry, and a new mine is on schedule to produce in April 2023.

Overall, the Lithium Triangle and Brazil are important players in the global lithium market. With the growing demand for EVs and other clean energy technologies, the world will increasingly rely on these regions for their lithium resources.

The economic implications of South America’s growing lithium industry are far-reaching. One of the most immediate impacts is the creation of new jobs in the region. According to the World Bank, the lithium industry in South America is expected to create thousands of new jobs, particularly in Bolivia and Argentina, where the industry is still in its infancy. These jobs span a variety of skill levels, from mining and exploration to engineering and research and development, and have the potential to provide a significant boost to local economies.

The potential economic benefits of South America’s growing lithium industry are significant. The lithium industry is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by the increasing demand for lithium-ion batteries used in EVs and other technologies. As this industry grows, it has the potential to create new jobs, drive economic growth, and provide much-needed revenue for local governments.

Furthermore, the growing lithium industry has the potential to play a crucial role in the global transition to clean energy. The widespread adoption of EVs and renewable energy technologies will require a significant increase in the production of lithium-ion batteries, and the lithium reserves in South America are a key resource in meeting this demand.

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Minimum wage to hire higher-paid temporary foreign workers set to increase

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OTTAWA – The federal government is expected to boost the minimum hourly wage that must be paid to temporary foreign workers in the high-wage stream as a way to encourage employers to hire more Canadian staff.

Under the current program’s high-wage labour market impact assessment (LMIA) stream, an employer must pay at least the median income in their province to qualify for a permit. A government official, who The Canadian Press is not naming because they are not authorized to speak publicly about the change, said Employment Minister Randy Boissonnault will announce Tuesday that the threshold will increase to 20 per cent above the provincial median hourly wage.

The change is scheduled to come into force on Nov. 8.

As with previous changes to the Temporary Foreign Worker program, the government’s goal is to encourage employers to hire more Canadian workers. The Liberal government has faced criticism for increasing the number of temporary residents allowed into Canada, which many have linked to housing shortages and a higher cost of living.

The program has also come under fire for allegations of mistreatment of workers.

A LMIA is required for an employer to hire a temporary foreign worker, and is used to demonstrate there aren’t enough Canadian workers to fill the positions they are filling.

In Ontario, the median hourly wage is $28.39 for the high-wage bracket, so once the change takes effect an employer will need to pay at least $34.07 per hour.

The government official estimates this change will affect up to 34,000 workers under the LMIA high-wage stream. Existing work permits will not be affected, but the official said the planned change will affect their renewals.

According to public data from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, 183,820 temporary foreign worker permits became effective in 2023. That was up from 98,025 in 2019 — an 88 per cent increase.

The upcoming change is the latest in a series of moves to tighten eligibility rules in order to limit temporary residents, including international students and foreign workers. Those changes include imposing caps on the percentage of low-wage foreign workers in some sectors and ending permits in metropolitan areas with high unemployment rates.

Temporary foreign workers in the agriculture sector are not affected by past rule changes.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 21, 2024.

— With files from Nojoud Al Mallees

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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