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The Ice and Fire of Toronto’s Real Estate Market amidst Global Uncertainty

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Indeed, the current real estate climate in Toronto is a bewildering mixture of contrasts. On one side, there are areas witnessing a dearth of inventory, forcing prices to climb or at least remain steady. On the other side, an influx of newly completed pre-construction homes prompts homeowners, unable to close due to soaring interest rates, to put their properties on the market. It is this distinct and divergent ‘ice and fire’ state of affairs that is creating a dynamically volatile environment.

One of the critical influences behind this flux is the exodus of many Chinese investors from the market. The spike in interest rates has prompted these investors to divest, rapidly unloading their property assets. Alan Zheng, a renowned Chinese Real Estate Agent with Remax, has been in the thick of this trend, witnessing the various elements triggering the retreat of Chinese investors.

Firstly, China’s stumbling economy is a considerable instigator. Confronted with economic uncertainties, numerous investors are feeling the pressure to liquidate their foreign investments, such as those in Toronto’s real estate market, to safeguard their financial position.

Secondly, the tight monetary control policies in China are another significant driving force. These restrictions have made it notably difficult for Chinese investors to transfer additional funds from China to Canada. This issue becomes particularly acute as the elevated interest rates in Canada are causing negative cash flows for their property investments. Consequently, many investors are unable to cover the losses incurred, leading to an increasing financial strain. In such a scenario, many Chinese investors find themselves with no other option but to sell their properties in an attempt to mitigate the ongoing fiscal pressure.

Lastly, the prevailing global uncertainty, including the conflict in Ukraine, a shift away from globalization, and other geopolitical tensions, is creating a far from ideal environment for stable investments. Investors, whether Chinese or not, typically shy away from uncertainty, making the current global situation a potent deterrent.

Indeed, a prime example of this market instability can be seen in Stouffville. Numerous properties that were purchased at the market’s zenith for $2 million are now being assigned at a discounted rate of $1.7 million. Confronted with escalating interest rates and a multitude of other fiscal pressures, homeowners have found themselves in a tight spot, leading to the painful decision to sell. This scenario, all too common in the current climate, is a testament to the unprecedented volatility influencing the Toronto real estate market.

Amidst the maelstrom, however, certain areas in Toronto are still seeing a shortage in inventory. This dearth continues to put upward pressure on prices in these pockets, or at the very least, helps to maintain them. The outcome is a market where the laws of supply and demand are in constant flux, fostering an unpredictable landscape for both investors and homeowners.

The current Toronto real estate market resembles a game of thrones, where the only constant is the unpredictable. It’s a harsh reality where only the most informed and adaptable can navigate the ‘ice and fire’ terrain. Yet, within these dynamic market shifts, lie opportunities for both buyers and sellers, making it an intriguing period for the city’s real estate.

 

Real eState

Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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