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Tom Brady to Tampa Bay

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Tom Brady is a Tampa Bay Buccaneer. TB is headed to TB. The initials line up nicely, but it sounds weird. And judging by the photoshopped shots of Brady in pewter-and-orange it looks weird, too.

This whole thing might just end up as the answer to a weird trivia question (like Joe Namath on the Rams). What Hall-of-Fame quarterback signed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on March 17? Or it might be a lifeline that leads to some more productive and thrilling football moments (see Peyton Manning with the Denver Broncos).

“It is time for me to open a new stage in my life and career,” Brady wrote in a statement on social media. Fair enough. But that only explains the motivation for leaving New England. It doesn’t shed light on why he chose Tampa Bay. Or why Tampa Bay chose to throw the bag at a QB who will be 43 years old when play resumes.

Here are 10 reasons why Brady’s move to Florida is mutually beneficial for both parties.

1) GO WITH WHAT YOU KNOW

Bruce Arians and Byron Leftwich are two of the most well-liked and offensively imaginative coaches in the NFL, an appealing combination for any QB. But Brady also knows this staff well. He suited up against Leftwich many times during the offensive coordinator’s playing days, and also has history with defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, the former coach of the New York Jets. Changing teams and cities with limited time to prep for the season thanks to COVID-19 travel bans and social-distancing measures, Brady could do worse than a staff he’s already familiar with.

2) BRUCE ARIANS IS THE QB WHISPERER

Brady doesn’t know Arians as well as he does Leftwich and Bowles, but the coach’s resume speaks for itself. He was Peyton Manning’s QB coach in Indy from 1998 to 2000. He then coached Ben Roethlisberger as a Steelers assistant from 2004 to 2011. Next he had Andrew Luck while serving as the Colts OC and interim coach in 2012, and Carson Palmer as Cardinals head coach from 2013 to 2017. Sure, last season he was stuck with Jameis Winston and his 30 interceptions, but Winston did lead the league in passing yards and was second, league-wide, in TD passes. Arians has proven able to adapt his offence and his message to all types of star QBs. He should have no problem clicking with TB12.

3) TOM BRADY IS NOT JAMEIS WINSTON

Sure, I pointed out some of Winston’s positive stats from last season, but you can still easily argue that any other starting QB is an upgrade for Tampa Bay. The former first-overall pick ended his time with the Bucs by throwing a pick-six to set the record for pick-sixes in a season. Those 30 interceptions from 2019 I mentioned above? That’s one more than Brady has thrown over the past four seasons combined. Going from one of the most careless QBs in league history to one of the most careful raises the ceiling on everything the Bucs’ offence can be.

4) DON’T BET AGAINST BRADY, EVEN AT 43

Brady has led the NFL in passing TDs four times and passing yards three times. He won a Super Bowl in his first season as a starter, was the first player to throw for 50 TDs in a single season and won his third career MVP in 2017. His greatest trait is his consistency.

5) THE BUCS ARE BETTER… AND THE PATS MIGHT BE WORSE

It possible that a factor in Brady’s departure from Foxborough is he no longer considered the Patriots a contender after losing in the wild card. Last year was first season since 2010 Brady failed to win a playoff game. Remove the quarterback position from the equation and you can still make an argument Tampa’s roster is considerably better than New England’s. The Patriots have lost valuable contributors like Jamie Collins and Kyle Van Noy via free agency. Meanwhile, the Bucs franchise-tagged Shaq Barrett, re-signed Jason Pierre-Paul and still have cap room to play with even after bringing in Brady.

6) BRADY IS A WINNER AND THE BUCS HAVE BEEN LOSERS

Tampa Bay is 150 games under .500 over the course of the ream’s all-time history. Among active franchises in the NFL, NBA, NHL or MLB the Buccaneers’ .387 win percentage is the all-time worst. They will have to go 10-6 for the next 40 years to get back to .500. Who better to break that cycle than the winningest player in NFL history? Brady has five times as many playoff wins, six times as many Super Bowl wins and seven times as many 30-TD seasons as every other QB in the team’s history put together. Meanwhile the Buccaneers have missed the playoffs in each of the last 12 years, the second-longest drought in the NFL. Having someone who has won and expects to keep winning has the potential to change the culture of the entire organization.

7) THE BUCS’ RECEIVERS ARE BEASTS

Having thrown to the worst receiving group in the league last season, Brady will now line up with the NFL’s best receiver duo in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Both have a huge catch radius, which should negate some of the accuracy issues Brady has shown in recent years. Both are also complete receivers who run the entire route tree. New England has long prioritized small, smart receivers who win in the slot. Now Brady has big, physical targets who dominate on the perimeter. That means clean reads and much more wiggle room when he makes an error. Evans is six-foot-five and 230 pounds; Godwin is six-foot-one and 210 pounds. Brady’s top receiver in New England, Julian Edelman, checks in at five-foot-10, 195 pounds. Instead of being forced to deliver balls in small windows time and time again, Brady will play with receivers who both can create separation and routinely catch contested balls for the first time since throwing to Randy Moss.

8) MUST-SEE TV

Get ready to see the battleship in Tampa Bay firing cannons in primetime. The Bucs’ schedule will bless us with Brady against Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees twice. Not to mention two match-ups against the Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers, franchises he turned down before choosing Tampa Bay. With his signing, the Bucs are a hot TV property. Don’t be surprised if they’re a top choice for HBO’s Hard Knocks in the coming years.

9) DON’T GO WEST, OLD MAN

Neither Vegas nor Los Angeles made geographic sense for Brady, whose business interests and family are tied to Massachusetts and New York. A 90-minute flight from Florida sounds a lot better than the cross-country haul from Nevada or California.

10) NOTHING TO LOSE AND NO EXPECTATIONS

Brady is the first player to head for a new franchise after 20 seasons with one team but that won’t be held against him. Sports fans in New England couldn’t possibly ask for anything more than he’s given them. If the next step goes well it will enhance his legacy. Think Ray Bourque going to Colorado. If it doesn’t, nobody will much care. Michael Jordan’s last NBA game was a 6-for-15, 15-point performance in a 20-point loss for a below-.500 Washington Wizards team. We still remember the six rings first and foremost. The same will be true for the QB with six rings. The Tampa Bay years are extra credit, and kind of a run-of-the-mill move for a great QB. Montana, Favre, Manning and McNabb all wore a random uniform or two before they retired. Why should things be any different for the greatest QB of all-time?

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Schneider: 'Everything is on the table' for struggling Kikuchi – TSN

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Toronto Blue Jays interim manager John Schneider said Monday the team is weighing their options when it comes to struggling starter Yusei Kikuchi.

Kikuchi saw his record drop to 4-7 on the season with Monday’s 7-3 loss to the Baltimore Orioles, in which he allowed six runs – three earned – in 3 1/3 innings of work. The 31-year-old is winless in his past three starts and has a 5.25 ERA through 20 games this season.

“Everything’s on the table right now,” Schneider said, per MLB.com. “We just want him to continue to focus on the things he’s working on. But having options and having other guys that can step into roles is a good thing. And we’ll figure that out in the next couple days.”

Kikuchi spent three weeks on the injured list last month with a neck strain. He delivered a strong outing in his return in July 28 against the Tigers, allowing one run and two hits over five innings, and held the Tampa Bay Rays to two runs in four innings on Aug. 3, but has allowed 11 runs over his past two starts.

“There are a few things that we’ve been working on, trying to figure out what’s good and what’s bad,” Kikuchi said through an interpreter after Monday’s loss. “I feel like we’re just caught in between the ups and downs right now.”

Schneider was non-committal on what changes the team could make to help Kikuchi find his way.

“There’s always a scenario for everything,” Schneider said. “Off-days play into it; performance plays into it. It’s a welcome addition to have (Ross) Stripling back and I love what Mitch White has done as well. You can go a variety of different ways. We’re just going to continue to keep our options open.”

The Blue Jays dropped to 61-53 with Monday’s loss and now sit tied with the Tampa Bay Rays for the second wild-card spot, a game and a half ahead of the Orioles, who they will play again on Tuesday and Wednesday.

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A one-liner for each BMW Championship participant – PGA TOUR

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Player One-liner 1. Will Zalatoris Opened Playoffs with first PGA TOUR win to take top spot in the FedExCup. 2. Scottie Scheffler Masters champ MC’d in Playoffs opener, but still in FedExCup race after stellar Regular Season. 3. Cameron Smith Hip pain will keep him out of BMW, but Open, PLAYERS, Sentry champion is expected to return and will still have shot at FedExCup. 4. Sam Burns Highly-touted prospect broke out with 3 wins after winning once in his first three TOUR seasons. 5. Tony Finau Has two wins and a T5 at FedEx in his last three starts. 6. Xander Schauffele His 3-win season included back-to-back wins at Travelers and Genesis Scottish Open. 7. Patrick Cantlay Defending FedExCup champ has 10 top-10 finishes, including win with Schauffele in New Orleans. 8. Sepp Straka Tough playoff loss to Zalatoris but clinched TOUR Championship debut as he broke streak of 6 MCs. 9. Rory McIlroy MC at FedEx was a tough start to his bid for unprecedented third FedExCup title. 10. Justin Thomas PGA Championship winner competed as an amateur at this week’s venue, but much has changed. 11. Sungjae Im Solid 12th-place finish at FedEx followed consecutive runners-up to end Regular Season. 12. Matt Fitzpatrick On pace for TOUR Championship debut after nine top-10s, including U.S. Open win, and now returns to NE. 13. Cameron Young Rookie of the Year favorite has 7 top-3 finishes, including 2nd at The Open and T3 at PGA. 14. Jon Rahm Moved up 2 spots after T5 at FedEx, keeping alive of his streak of 6 straight TOUR Championships. 15. Hideki Matsuyama WD from FedEx with neck injury but still on pace for 9th straight TOUR Championship start. 16. Max Homa In good shape to make TOUR Championship debut after winning twice this season. 17. Jordan Spieth MC at FedEx came on the heels of back-to-back top-10s in Scotland (Genesis Scottish Open, The Open). 18. Viktor Hovland Returned from Norway to finish T20 at FedEx and move up a spot as he seeks third straight East Lake start. 19. Joaquin Niemann A T13 at FedEx helped 23-year-old’s quest for 3rd TOUR Championship start. 20. Collin Morikawa Winless this season but 8 top-10s, including T5 at FedEx, has him on verge of East Lake. 21. Tom Hoge Rallied with second-round 66 but MC’d at FedEx as he seeks TOUR Championship debut. 22. Billy Horschel Memorial winner MC’d in Memphis as he seeks 4th East Lake start in last 5 seasons. 23. Brian Harman Making 8th BMW appearance in last 9 years but seeking 1st TOUR Championship start since 2017. 24. J.T. Poston Seeking East Lake debut after T2 at Travelers, John Deere win in consecutive summer starts. 25. Joohyung Kim Wyndham winner was T13 at FedEx St. Jude to crack top 30. 26. Davis Riley Playoff loss to Burns at Valspar was followed by a streak of 6 straight top-15s from April-June. 27. Sahith Theegala Cracked top 30 after T13 at FedEx St. Jude as he looks to add East Lake to impressive rookie season. 28. Kevin Kisner Georgia alum seeking 6th TOUR Championship appearance in last 8 seasons. 29. Corey Conners On the bubble as he seeks 3rd TOUR Championship start in last 4 years. 30. J.J. Spaun Could’ve locked up East Lake spot last week, but St. Jude’s 54-hole leader shot 78 to finish T42. 31. Aaron Wise Former Rookie of the Year having resurgent season, seeking first East Lake start since breakout 2018. 32. Maverick McNealy Coming off final-round 65 for T31 finish at FedEx St. Jude. Would be higher on this list absent Saturday 75. 33. K.H. Lee Made the most of his lone top-10, successfully defending his AT&T Byron Nelson title. 34. Lucas Glover Coming in hot after final-round 66 and season-best T3 finish at FedEx St. Jude. 35. Denny McCarthy Flashes of brilliance in Memphis (66-65 start, T20) as he seeks first TOUR Championship start in fifth season. 36. Seamus Power A year after first win, posted a career-high 5 top-10s, including T3 at Sony Open and T9 at PGA. 37. Shane Lowry Runner-up at Honda and consecutive T3s at Masters and RBC Heritage have him on-pace for best FedExCup finish. 38. Keith Mitchell Career-high 6 top-10s this season could lead to first TOUR Championship berth in fifth TOUR season. 39. Cameron Tringale Eight years after lone East Lake appearance, is in position for return after career-high 5 top-10s (including T2 at ZOZO). 40. Trey Mullinax Justin Thomas’ Alabama teammate earned 1st win at Barbasol and finished T5 at FedEx St. Jude. 41. Mito Pereira Rookie was one hole away from winning the PGA Championship; also finished 3rd at season-opening Fortinet. 42. Luke List At age 37 and after more than 200 TOUR starts, earned his first TOUR win in playoff over Zalatoris at Farmers. 43. Russell Henley Georgia alum closed Regular Season with T10 at Rocket Mortgage and fifth at Wyndham. 44. Keegan Bradley His 6 top-10s — including T2 at Wells Fargo, 5th at PLAYERS and T7 at hometown U.S. Open — match his most since 2013. 45. Adam Scott Registered fourth top-10 of season with final-round 66 and T5 at FedEx St. Jude. 46. Scott Stallings His 6 top-10s this season were 2 more than his previous career-high; will make 1st BMW start since 2013. 47. Andrew Putnam Four rounds in the 60s at TPC Southwind moved him up 40 places and within reach of first TOUR Championship. 48. Kurt Kitayama Made the most of his 3 top-10s, finishing 2nd at Mexico and Scottish opens and 3rd at Honda Classic. 49. Sebastián Muñoz Had pair of 3rd-place finishes where he opened with 60, making him 1st man to shoot 60 or lower twice in same season. 50. Tyrrell Hatton Runner-up at Bay Hill — where he won 2 years ago — was one of 3 top-10s, along with T8 at Wyndham. 51. Cam Davis In his fourth season, had a career-high 5 top-10s, including T3 at RBC Heritage. 52. Mackenzie Hughes Two of his 3 top-10s came in the fall, a runner-up at RSM and T4 at ZOZO, as he makes his 3rd straight BMW appearance. 53. Si Woo Kim His 10 top-25s were his most since 2016 season, and opened FedEx St. Jude (T42) with a 62. 54. Lucas Herbert In 1st season as a member, won in his 3rd start (Bermuda) and had top-15s at 2 majors (PGA, The Open). 55. Emiliano Grillo Endured stretch of 10 missed cuts in 12 starts, but rallied with T2 finishes at 3M Open and John Deere Classic. 56. Tommy Fleetwood Nine top-25s this season include T14 at the Masters, T5 at PGA and T4 at The Open, but has opted to sit out Playoffs. 57. Troy Merritt Opened with a pair of 65s at FedEx St. Jude, but faded on the weekend (T28). 58. Chez Reavie Barracuda victory was third of his career, along with 2019 Travelers and 2008 RBC Canadian Open. 59. Adam Hadwin Made 19 cuts, including T7 at U.S. Open, T9 at THE PLAYERS, and hole-in-one celebration of the year at Memorial. 60. Christiaan Bezuidenhout First full TOUR season was highlighted by runner-up at John Deere Classic. 61. Chris Kirk After finishing 199th and 194th in 2019 and 2020 FedExCups, will make his 2nd straight BMW appearance. 62. Taylor Moore Rookie had top-10s in final two events of Regular Season (6th, Rocket Mortgage; T5, Wyndham). 63. Matt Kuchar Finished T2-T3 in consecutive starts to keep alive his streak of making Playoffs in every FedExCup season. 64. Brendan Steele Making 10th Playoffs appearance in last 11 years, but still seeking first TOUR Championship start. 65. Harold Varner III Finished in the top 25 in nearly half his starts this season, including T3 at RBC Heritage and T6 at THE PLAYERS. 66. Alex Noren Would’ve gotten in The Open if he didn’t leave for Barracuda, but his runner-up there was best finish since 2018. 67. Taylor Pendrith Injuries sidelined long-hitting rookie for 4 months, but still made Playoffs thanks to a pair of top-5s. 68. Marc Leishman All three of his top-10s came by January, including a T4-T3 start to his season. 69. Alex Smalley Korn Ferry Tour Finals grad’s successful rookie season included T2 in Dominican and T6 at Mexico Open. 70. Wyndham Clark Four-for-4 in making Playoffs, with a T7 at the RBC Canadian Open the best of 3 top-10s.

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Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds, Picks, & Predictions Today — Zero Value on Blue Birds – Covers

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The Orioles have been a thorn in the Blue Jays’ sides all season. As such, even with Alek Manoah on the mound, Toronto at -235 is simply too steep to offer any value. We’re pivoting to focus more on the total in what could be a low-scoring clash.

The Baltimore Orioles moved to 9-4 in the month of August with a 7-3 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday night.

In Tuesday night’s matchup, Toronto looks for revenge as Alek Manoah battles Dean Kremer on the mound.

This is an important series in a crowded AL playoff race. Toronto is currently tied with the Tampa Bay Rays for the second Wild Card, leaving Baltimore 1.5 games back. 

Check out our MLB picks and predictions for the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday, August 16.

Orioles vs Blue Jays odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Blue Jays opened -215, but money has come on them and widened the line, which currently resides between -213 and -235, with most books closer to the latter. As for the total, both 8.5 and 9 are available at the time of this writing.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Orioles vs Blue Jays predictions

Picks made on 8/16/2022 at 8:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Orioles vs Blue Jays game info

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
TV: MASN, Sportsnet

Orioles vs Blue Jays betting preview

Starting pitchers

Dean Kremer (4-4, 3.70 ERA): In Kremer’s first extended stay in the show, he compiled an ugly 7.55 ERA across 13 starts in 2021. It’s safe to say things have gone better for the right-hander this go around as indicated by his 3.69 ERA. His 4.87 xERA is a concern and his 6.4% barrel rate is too high to trust considering he pitches to contact.

Alek Manoah (12-5, 2.56 ERA)Toronto found a good one in Manoah. Despite being just 24 years old, he’s been one of the better pitchers in MLB this season. His 2.56 ERA is fantastic, although his 3.44 xERA does indicate that some regression might be incoming. His strikeout rate (22.4%) is down over five percentage points from last season, but he’s countered that by lowering his walk rate by three percentage points to 5.6%. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Betting trend to know

Toronto is 9-2 in its last 11 games on astroturf. Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Blue Jays

Orioles vs Blue Jays picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

With these teams so close in the AL East and Wild Card standings, it’s fair to question whether or not this line is too wide. After all, these divisional foes have played seven times this season and Baltimore has won five times — yet the Orioles are a significant +195 underdog at most books.

The pitching discrepancy is the most likely answer. Manoah has been fantastic, compiling a 2.56 ERA, while Kremer’s 4.87 xERA and 6.4% barrel rate don’t instill much confidence. 

Still, Manoah has faced the Orioles twice in 2022 and his team is 1-1 during those games. He tossed a beautiful one-hit, seven-strikeout, blanking of the Orioles back on June 13, but allowed three earned on eight hits across only five innings in a no-decision in his most recent outing, which Toronto lost 6-5.

Ultimately, it’s hard to not give Toronto a significant edge in starting pitching. The Blue Jays are 13-9 in Manoah’s starts this season, which includes a 6-2 record at home.

As for the lineups, Toronto ranks fifth in wRC+ this season while Baltimore checks in at 20th. The roles have been almost perfectly reversed in the month of August, however, as Baltimore ranks fifth in wRC+ and Toronto ranks 21st. 

The Orioles have been hot, going 25-11 in their last 36 games overall. This seems like a favorable spot for them as they’ve had success against Toronto this season and are 9-2 in their last 11 during Game 2 of a series and 5-0 in their last five Tuesday games. 

The Blue Jays have been cold, going 1-5 in their last six overall. The line is not justified in my opinion, so I’ll side with the Orioles against the moneyline as it represents better value.

Prediction: Orioles moneyline (+195 at bet365)

Covers MLB betting analysis

Over/Under analysis

If you played the Under in every game that these two starting pitchers appeared in during the 2022 season, you would’ve made a nice profit. The Orioles are 8-4 to the Under in Kremer’s 12 starts while the Blue Jays are 14-8 to the Under when Manoah is on the bump.

Baltimore has been hot at the plate, ranking fifth in both wOBA and wRC+ since the calendar flipped to June. Manoah has been fantastic this season, and it’s difficult to project the Orioles for an offensive explosion when facing a pitcher who has allowed just a 3.8% barrel rate this season.

Toronto’s lineup has gone through hot and cold stretches this season. It’s a potent lineup that can look very dangerous when things are clicking. The Blue Jays are in the midst of a cold spell, however, ranking 19th in wOBA and 21st in wRC+ in August.

Toronto is 9-2 to the Under in its last 11 games on astroturf and the Under has been a good play at the Rogers Centre during this cold spell, cashing in seven of the Blue Jays’ last nine home games. 

Both of these starting pitchers have trended toward the Under this season, and I’ll bet on that to continue Tuesday night.

Prediction: Under 9 (-120 at DraftKings)

Best bet

I’m rocking with the Under as Tuesday’s Best Bet between the Orioles and Blue Jays. 

Baltimore’s bats have been hot, but a matchup against Manoah is nothing to scoff at. The youngster has been terrific this season, posting a 2.56 ERA and 3.8% barrel rate. Toronto is 14-8 to the Under in games that he starts.

Meanwhile, Toronto’s lineup has gone cold, and though Kremer may not be a household name, the Orioles have gone 8-4 to the Under across his 12 starts.

Some books are posting a total of 8.5 but 9 is available in a few spots, so I’m grabbing that number and riding with Under 9 as the best bet.

PickUnder 9 (-120 at DraftKings)

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Orioles vs. Blue Jays picks, you could win $44.08 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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