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U.S. stocks climb in volatile Federal Reserve day – BNN Bloomberg

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Stocks saw some wild swings, with traders overwhelmed by the many headlines that followed the Federal Reserve decision and ended up signaling at least one thing: policy will remain aggressively tight — making the odds of a soft landing look increasingly elusive.

The S&P 500 ended near session lows, pushing its slide from a January record to more than 20 per cent. The gauge whipsawed in the aftermath of the Fed announcement, climbing as much as 1.3 per cent at one point. Treasury two-year yields topped 4 per cent, piercing that mark for the first time since 2007. The dollar rallied.

Jerome Powell vowed officials would crush inflation after they raised interest rates by 75 basis points for a third straight time and signaled even more aggressive hikes ahead than investors had expected. Powell said his main message was that officials were “strongly resolved” to bring inflation down to the Fed’s 2 per cent goal and added that “we will keep at it until the job is done.” The phrase invoked the title of former Fed chief Paul Volcker’s memoir “Keeping at It.”

“Jerome Powell almost channeled his inner Paul Volcker today, talking about the forceful and rapid steps the Fed has taken, and is likely to continue taking, as it attempts to stamp out painful inflation pressures and ward off an even worse scenario later down the line,” said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Global Investors. “With the new rate projections, the Fed is engineering a hard landing — a soft landing is almost out of the question.”

Officials forecast that rates would reach 4.4 per cent by the end of this year and 4.6 per cent in 2023, a more hawkish shift in their so-called dot plot than expected. That implies a fourth-straight 75-basis-point hike could be on the table for the next gathering in November — about a week before the US midterm elections.

More Comments:

  • “We do think that markets, and consequently the economy, will become ‘Fed up’ with too much tightening, if growth (and employment) are tangibly slowing alongside of these tighter policy moves,” said Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s chief investment officer of global fixed income.
  • “Today’s Fed action, combined with ongoing rollercoaster-like market volatility, underscore the unease of investors amid the magnified economic and market uncertainties driven by high inflation, corporate earnings warnings, geopolitical concerns and other factors weighing heavily on both Wall Street and Main Street,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments.
  • “They have a brief window to act aggressively, and they seem eager to use it,” said Jan Szilagyi, co-founder of Toggle AI, an investment research firm.
  • “The first set of Fed releases from the September meeting are unambiguously hawkish,” said Krishna Guha at Evercore. “The macro projections signal increased risk of a harder landing.”
  • “The Fed was late to recognize inflation, late to start raising interest rates, and late to start unwinding bond purchases,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. “They’ve been playing catch-up ever since. And they’re not done yet.”

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Key events this week:

  • Bank of Japan monetary policy decision, Thursday
  • The Bank of England interest rate decision, Thursday
  • US Conference Board leading index, initial jobless claims, Thursday

Here are some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The S&P 500 fell 1.7 per cent as of 4 p.m. New York time
  • The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.8 per cent
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.7 per cent
  • The MSCI World index fell 1.5 per cent

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.7 per cent
  • The euro fell 1.2 per cent to US$0.9847
  • The British pound fell 0.9 per cent to US$1.1281
  • The Japanese yen was little changed at 143.88 per dollar

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined six basis points to 3.51 per cent
  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to 1.89 per cent
  • Britain’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 3.31 per cent

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.7 per cent to US$83.34 a barrel
  • Gold futures rose 0.6 per cent to US$1,681.40 an ounce

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Porsche Is Going Public At €82.50 A Share, Valuing Company At €75 Billion – CarScoops

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Porsche is going public this week and shares will each be available for €82.50 ($79.89), priced at the top of the company’s targeted price range.

The initial public offering (IPO) will see the Volkswagen Group sell 12.5 per cent of the company’s non-voting shares in a move that will raise approximately €9.4 billion ($9.1 billion) and value the automaker at €75.2 billion ($72.8 billion). This will make it Germany’s second-largest listing ever.

No less than 911 million shares will be sold in Porsche and approximately half of the proceeds generated by the listing on Frankfurt’s stock exchange will be distributed to shareholders. The rest of the funds will be used to help fund VW’s transition to all-electric vehicles.

Read More: VW Banking On Porsche IPO To Fund Future Electrification Plans

“In the event of a successful IPO, Volkswagen AG will convene an extraordinary general meeting in December 2022, at which it will propose to its shareholders to distribute in the beginning of 2023 a special dividend of 49 % of the total gross proceeds from the placement of the preferred shares and the sale of the ordinary shares,” the Volkswagen Group described in a statement.

The IPO is going ahead despite the current volatile state of the stock market and widespread economic concerns.

“This [IPO] is a key element for the group, especially because the possible proceeds would give us more flexibility to further accelerate the transformation,” Porsche CFO Arno Antlitz added in a statement earlier this month.

Speaking with the media last week, the head of VW’s works council, Daniela Cavallo, noted that the carmaker could sell more Porsche shares in the future in order to raise additional funds.

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Canada's economy grew by 0.1% in July, bucking expectations it would shrink – CBC News

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Canada’s gross domestic product expanded by 0.1 per cent in July, besting expectations of an imminent decline, as growth in mining, agriculture and the oil and gas sector offset shrinkage in manufacturing.

Statistics Canada reported Thursday that economic output from the oilsands sector increased sharply, by 5.1 per cent during the month. That was a change in direction after two straight months of decline, which brought second-quarter growth to 4.2 per cent thus far. 

The agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting sector led growth with 3.2 per cent. Unlike the United States and Europe, both of which are facing drought conditions, Canada has had a good year for crop production said Scotiabank economist Derek Holt. 

On the downside, the manufacturing sector shrank by 0.5 per cent, its third decline in four months. Canada’s export market with the United States has softened and global supply chain issues linger, said Holt. The latter are gradually easing, which could create a better picture for the sector in the second half of the quarter. 

Wholesale trade shrank by 0.7 per cent, and the retail sector declined by 1.9 per cent. That’s the smallest output for retail since December. 

“What happened this summer was a big rotation away from goods spending towards services spending,” Holt said. Activities like haircuts, travel or outings to the theatre, made popular with the lifting of pandemic restrictions, leave out retail.

While the economy eked out slight growth in July, the data agency’s early look at August’s numbers shows no growth.

“The economy fared better than anticipated this summer, but the showing still wasn’t much to write home about,” said economist Royce Mendes with Desjardins. “While the data did beat expectations today, the numbers didn’t move the needle enough to see a material market reaction.”

The performance of Canada’s economy throughout the fiscal year — 3.6 per cent growth in Q1 and 4.2 per cent thus far in Q2 — remains one of the best in the world, Holt said. 

Mendes said he expects growth will stay under one per cent this year: half of the Bank of Canada’s two per cent prediction and a third of the growth seen in the first two quarters. 

“We’re definitely slowing, and more of that is coming in a lagged response to higher interest rates and all the challenges of the world economy,” Holt said. “But relative to the rest of the world, for the year as a whole, Canada has been in a sweet spot.”

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Employers and Your Ego Are Constantly at Odds Over Your Value

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When considering the value of an item from a holistic perspective and through the philosophical lenses of existentialism, you realize an item has no value until someone is willing to pay for it, whether it’s a Porsche 911 GT3, a 26th-floor condo in Vancouver, a cup of Starbucks coffee or pair of Levi’s jeans.

Have you ever bought an item, a leather jacket, for example, for $400 and then a month later, it was on sale for $250? The retailer reduced the price of the leather jacket because the number of customers willing to pay $400 had dwindled to the point where it wasn’t selling. Taking this analogy further, the jackets that ended up not selling had no value.

Value doesn’t simply exist. Value is assigned by supply and demand—demand being the keyword. The value of your skills and experience on the job market is determined by how much employers are willing to pay for them, which constantly fluctuates.

It’s no secret most employees feel underpaid. The perception is mostly personal, based on:

  • Your assessment of your worth, which is highly subjective, and
  • The amount of money you need for the lifestyle you created.

 

Neither is relevant.

In general, compensation isn’t arbitrary. A job’s value is determined by:

  • Job-specific educational requirements
  • Skillset required
  • Experience level
  • Responsibilities
  • Location

 

Additionally, those who criticize what employers are offering them never think about the scenario that the employer may have ten employees currently earning $65,000, whereas you want $75,000. It would cause turmoil to hire you at your asking salary.

“Getting paid what you’re worth!” has become a popular sentiment. In reality, though, the value you place on yourself and the value employers in your region are willing to pay you are two entirely different perspectives.

Recently, someone asked me if I felt underpaid. “Nope,” I replied, “I’m getting paid the amount I agreed to when I joined my employer.” I have never understood nor empathized with people who accept jobs and then complain about the pay.

Your ego and sense of entitlement may have convinced you that you deserve $75,000, but you may find that employers disagree with your value assessment. Anyone with a slight sense of business acumen understands an employee’s compensation needs to correlate with the value they bring to their employer.

Hiring involves taking a candidate’s words at face value, especially regarding their work ethic, past results, and ability to work well with others. Gut feel plays a significant role during interviews. Skills and aptitude can be tested, but only to a certain extent.

A hiring manager can only do so much due diligence (multiple interviews, testing, reference checks). Work ethic, ability to achieve results, having the skills they claimed, and being a team player are only proven or disproven after a new hire starts. Most of the tension between job seekers and employers results from job seekers expecting employers to pay them “their value” for abilities that they haven’t actually proven. In contrast, an employer’s best interest is to mitigate hiring risks by starting new hires at the low end of their budgeted salary range.

There’re 2 types of candidates:

  1. Unemployed
  2. Employed

 

Those employed should not accept a starting salary less than 20% higher than their current salary. Unless your motivation is other than money, it’s not worth the stress of starting a new job and reproving yourself for your current salary.

On the other hand, if you’re jobless, your income is $0. Unless the compensation offered is insultingly low, I don’t suggest you try and negotiate for the starting salary (WARNING: Brutal truth ahead.) you made up based on what you think of yourself. Financially and emotionally, having no job and, therefore, no income is a worst-case scenario for many.

I know you’re now asking, “But Nick, how will I get the compensation I feel I deserve if I accept what I’m offered?” Whether employed or not, you need to prove your worth, which requires the following:

 

  1. Getting the job (Proving your worth is impossible without a job.), and
  2. Negotiate and get in writing that upon achieving specific metrics, milestones, revenue targets, or whatever else you can think of, within your first six months, you’ll get a 15% salary increase or whatever percentage you feel appropriate.

 

IMPORTANT: I can’t stress enough to be sure your employment offer letter includes everything you and the hiring manager discussed and agreed to.

 

Number two makes it much easier for an employer to say “Yes” to you since they aren’t taking all the risks of hiring you at a salary you want and then finding out you can’t deliver. Offering this option demonstrates you’re confident in your skills and abilities and aren’t afraid to prove them.

 

Who would you choose if you had two more-or-less equally qualified candidates to choose from and one of the candidates offered you the option of proving their worth before getting the salary they feel they deserve?

______________________________________________________________

 

Nick Kossovan, a well-seasoned veteran of the corporate landscape, offers advice on searching for a job. You can send Nick your questions at artoffindingwork@gmail.com.

 

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