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What You Should Know About Toronto Real Estate

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Is the Toronto real estate market still one of the most expensive housing segments in Canada and the world? Yes.

Is the Toronto real estate market coming down from its record highs achieved during the coronavirus pandemic? Yes.

Before the once-in-a-century event, the Toronto housing market recorded exceptional gains, from single-detached residential properties to condominium units. Housing affordability was the talk of the town before February 2020. But, when the COVID-19 public health crisis decimated the global economy, it transformed into a situation of “you ain’t seen nothin’ yet.”

North America’s fourth-largest city enjoyed unprecedented gains on every front, be it sales activity or property valuations. The major urban centre skyrocketed amid falling interest rates, changing homebuyer trends, and fiscal and monetary expansion. Although the condo sector weakened in the first year of the pandemic, conditions started improving in the summer of 2021.

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Now that the economy is on the other side of the pandemic, which means higher interest rates, the Toronto real estate market is adapting to this new landscape. This, of course, equates to some stabilization in housing sector.

So, how is the Toronto housing market performing as of late?

What You Need to Know About the Current Toronto Housing Market

According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), home sales plummeted 34.2 per cent year-over-year in August, totalling a little more than 5,600 transactions. Demand has considerably eased as prospective homebuyers weigh current conditions, whether higher interest rates or falling prices.

Price growth has slowed down at a notable pace. Association data show that the average selling price of all homes combined edged up just 0.9 per cent from the same time a year ago, rising to $1,079,500.

But TRREB added an important point: “The average selling price was also up slightly month-over-month, while the HPI [home price index] Composite was lower compared to July. Monthly growth in the average price versus a dip in the HPI Composite suggests a greater share of more expensive home types sold in August.”

Here is a breakdown of different property types based on sales and price year-over-year:

Detached

  • Sales: -26% to 511 units
  • Average Price: -1.7% to $1,648,209

Semi-Detached

  • Sales: -29.6% to 159 units
  • Average Price: -7.3% to $1,127,429

Townhouse

  • Sales: -44% to 182 units
  • Average Price: +0.4% to $913,410

Condo

  • Sales: -40.6% to 1,028 units
  • Average Price: +2.6% to $736,940

Supply has been mixed. New residential listings slipped 0.7 per cent, totalling 10,537 units in August. But active listings soared more than 62 per cent to 13,305 units. New housing construction activity has also been robust in the Toronto real estate market, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data show. In August, housing starts climbed 12.55 per cent to 4,535 units. Year-to-date, there have been more than 27,000 units under construction, up nearly 4.5 per cent from the first eight months of 2021.

Mortgage Rates Weighing on Toronto Housing Market

Mortgage rates are north of five per cent – and climbing. The Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to keep raising interest rates until inflation decreases significantly. This is expected to keep lifting the cost to service a mortgage during its amortization period.

While higher borrowing costs have impacted home purchase decisions, existing homeowners nearing mortgage renewal are also facing higher costs,” said TRREB President Kevin Crigger in a statement. “There is room for the federal government to provide for greater housing affordability for existing homeowners by removing the stress test when existing mortgages are switched to a new lender, allowing for greater competition in the mortgage market. Further, allowing for longer amortization periods on mortgage renewals would assist current homeowners in an inflationary environment where everyday costs have risen dramatically.”

In other words, a rising-rate environment could leave new homeowners vulnerable to higher mortgages. The polls already confirm a concerning trend is forming in the mortgage market: Households have taken on too much debt, and they are not taking their mortgages seriously.

Experts contend that the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) should think about weighing on the present stress test and determine if it continues to be applicable throughout the market correction.

“Is it reasonable to test home buyers at two percentage points above the current elevated rates, or should a more flexible test be applied that follows the interest rate cycle?” asked TRREB CEO John DiMichele. “In addition, OSFI should consider removing the stress test for existing mortgage holders who want to shop for the best possible rate at renewal rather than forcing them to stay with their existing lender to avoid the stress test.”

The mortgage stress test was designed to determine if homeowners could withstand a potential rate shock, which is typically about two per cent higher than the current rate. In June 2021, the minimum qualifying rate was revised: the rate offered by your mortgage lender plus two per cent or 5.25 per cent – whichever is higher.

A recent IG Wealth Management survey learned that more than half of Canadians are anxious about being able to afford their mortgage payments as interest rates increase. According to the online poll of 1,590 adults, just 39 per cent of respondents include mortgages in their monthly budgets.

“In many cases, monthly mortgage payments, along with taxes, account for one of the largest monthly expenses Canadians face,” stated Alana Riley, head of mortgage, insurance and banking at IG Wealth Management, in a news release. “So, while it is encouraging that so many reported having a monthly budget, it’s only providing a partial snapshot of their overall cashflow situation if they don’t factor in their mortgage.”

Meanwhile, with higher rates potentially extending the decline in prices heading into 2023, affordability will continue to play an important role in the broader Ontario real estate market.

“There are other issues beyond borrowing costs impacting housing affordability in the Greater Golden Horseshoe. The ability to bring on more supply is the longer-term challenge,” added TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

How much higher will mortgage rates go? Will the Toronto real estate market continue easing? Can homeowners withstand the current inflationary and rising-rate climate? While 2022 might have been the start of the latest downturn, next year could be the more interesting time for buyers, sellers, analysts, and public policymakers.

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Former HGTV star slapped with $10 million fine and jail time for real estate fraud – Fortune

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Back when mortgage rates and home prices were more reasonable and manageable, homeowners invested in fixer-upper properties and made them their own. Now these types of projects aren’t as popular. But in the early-to-mid-2010s, HGTV shows including Fixer Upper, Love It or List It, and Flip It to Win It were all the rage as viewers binge-watched dilapidated homes transform into dream properties.

But as it turns out, one former HGTV star’s house-flipping show was masking major real estate fraud. On Tuesday, Charles “Todd” Hill, was sentenced to four years in jail and ordered to pay back nearly $10 million to his victims following his conviction. Los Gatos, Calif.–based Hill, 58, was the star of HGTV show Flip It to Win It, which aired in 2013 and featured Hill and his team purchasing dilapidated homes and fixing them up. Hill then sold them for a profit.

“Some see the huge amount of money in Silicon Valley real estate as a business opportunity,” Santa Clara County District Attorney Jeff Rosen said in a statement. “Others, unfortunately, see it as a criminal opportunity—and we will hold those people strictly accountable.”

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What did Hill do?

According to the indictment shared with Fortune, the accusations against Hill happened between 2012 and 2014, around the time his show (which lasted just one season) began. The indictment shows 10 counts of grand theft of personal property exceeding $950,000; three counts of embezzlement; and one count of diversion of construction funds. Hill could not be reached by Fortune to comment on the indictment, conviction, or sentencing.

Hill was convicted last year of the multiple fraud schemes, including scams that happened before his show aired. This included a Ponzi scheme with evidence showing that Hill had spent laundered money on a rented apartment in San Francisco, hotels, vacations, and luxury cars, according to a press release from the Santa Clara County District Attorney’s Office. HGTV did not respond to requests for comment from Fortune ahead of publication.

“To hide the theft, he created false balance sheets and got loans using fraudulent information,” according to the district attorney’s office. In another case, Hill diverted construction money for personal use. But one of the strangest accounts came from an investor who had poured $250,000 into a property he wanted Hill to remodel. 

Instead, during a tour of the home, the investor “found it to be a burnt-down shell with no work done on it.”

After the district attorney’s investigation, Hill was indicted in November 2019 and in September 2023 admitted his guilt and was convicted by plea of grand theft against all of his victims. He’ll have to pay restitution of more than $9.4 million and serve 10 years on probation.

Victims who spoke at Tuesday’s hearing said they’re still reeling from the financial and professional damages from the fraud, according to the district attorney’s office.

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Botched home sale costs Winnipeg man his right to sell real estate in Manitoba – CBC.ca

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A Winnipeg man’s registration as a real estate salesman has been cancelled after a family vacated their home on a tight deadline for a sale that never went through, then changed brokerages and, months later, got $60,000 less for their house than what they expected when they moved out.

A Manitoba Securities Commission panel found Reginald Wayne Kehler engaged in professional misconduct and conduct unbecoming a registrant when he signed a document on behalf of sellers without their knowledge, reduced the listing price of a home without their approval, and didn’t tell them for nearly a month that a potential buyer hadn’t paid a promised $100,000 deposit.

The sellers, identified as D.R. and P.R. in the panel decision released Wednesday, were awarded $10,394 from the real estate reimbursement fund. Kehler was ordered to pay $12,075 to cover costs of the investigation and hearing.

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The sellers were a military family who had to move in 2020 after the husband was posted to Ottawa.

They chose Kehler as their listing agent, because he had helped them find the home when they moved to Winnipeg in 2018, and they had a good relationship with him, the panel’s decision says.

They  listed their house in May and on June 15, 2020, accepted an offer of $570,000 with possession on July 15. A deposit of $100,000 was to be paid within 72 hours of acceptance of the offer.

Kehler was the salesperson for both the buyer and the sellers — but the sellers say he never told them that.

A form that indicated the sellers knew he was also representing the buyer, dated June 15, 2020, was filed.

While it appeared to be signed with the sellers’ names, they said they didn’t see it until March 2021. One of the two wasn’t even in Winnipeg on June 15.

“Kehler, in his interview with commission staff, acknowledges that the sellers never signed this document — we note that the purported signatures on the form look nothing like the actual signatures of the sellers on other documents,” the decision says.

Kehler told commission staff he’d been authorized to sign on the sellers’ behalf, which they denied. The panel found them more believable.

Once the deal was made, the sellers, believing they had just a month before the buyer would take possession of their home, quickly packed up and prepared to move with their two young children.

Buyer never made deposit

Meanwhile, the buyer hadn’t made the $100,000 deposit before the deadline — but Kehler didn’t tell the sellers.

Kehler told commission staff that was because he thought the deposit was still coming, and he didn’t want to cause more stress for the sellers.

On July 10, just five days before the buyer was to take possession and the day before the family was leaving Winnipeg, the sellers spoke to Kehler — but he still didn’t tell them the deposit hadn’t been paid.

Kehler “said everything was fine,” according to the decision.

It wasn’t until the evening of July 13, when the family arrived in Toronto on their way to Ottawa and just 36 hours before the scheduled closing, that Kehler told them he’d never received the deposit.

Eventually, they received $4,000 of the deposit, but the sale of the house never closed. The sellers scrambled to extend the insurance on their old home and make sure they continued to pay the utility bills, the decision says.

Home relisted

Kehler then recommended they relist the home, and it went back on the market at $574,900.

On Aug. 10, 2020, Kehler recommended the price be reduced to $569,900. Instead, the seller said he should reduce the price to $567,900.

But when the seller looked at the online listing on Aug. 22, it was listed at $564,900.

The sellers also asked Kehler about maintaining the property, since they were no longer in Winnipeg. He agreed he would, but friends ended up going and mowing the lawn, the decision says.

The sellers asked Kehler and his brokerage about what could be done to “make things right,” the decision says, but they never received any responses.

On Sept. 5, they hired a new brokerage to sell the home. Under the new real estate salesman, they accepted an offer on Dec. 13, and closed the deal Jan. 2, 2021, receiving $507,500 for the home.

Kehler’s actions were “contrary to the best interests of the public” and undermined “public confidence in the real estate industry,” the decision says.

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Dr. Phil left speechless after real estate agent claims that squatting is justified by colonization – New York Post

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Dr. Phil spoke with property owners about how squatters are using legal loopholes to occupy properties, but one real estate agent argued it can be justified because of a history of “colonization.”

Wednesday’s episode of “Dr. Phil Primetime” featured one guest named Kristine, a real estate agent who “doesn’t think adverse possession is immoral,” but believes that “people with no housing dying from the elements is immoral.” According to the Legal Information Institute, adverse possession is where a “person in possession of land owned by someone else may acquire valid title to it, so long as certain requirements are met, and the adverse possessor is in possession for a sufficient period of time.” The requirements and period of time vary by state and city.

In her introduction on the show, Kristine argued that there are “multi-million dollar projects, and they’re just abandoned.” She added that she believes the land of those abandoned projects can be reclaimed.

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She also noted she is working with a client who is “trying to occupy a property” that’s around 300 or 500 acres.

“It’s something that’s so large that you wouldn’t even notice what 2 acres is compared to how many acres are on there,” she said. “Adverse possession is a law that’s left over from both Spanish and English colonization, it is how they took the land from the native people, and it’s a process we can use to take that land back.”


Dr. Phil
Dr. Phil’s guest explained that adverse possession is a law that’s left over from colonization. Youtube/Merit Street Media

“You said that if I’ve got 100 acres or 1,000 acres and somebody goes and gets in a corner of it and adversely possesses 5 acres of it, I’m not gonna miss it, I’ve got 1,000 acres anyway?” Dr. Phil asked Kristine.

“Well, yeah,” she responded. “Can you tell me, if you’re looking at 1,000 acres, could you tell me what 5 acres was?”

Dr. Phil’s jaw dropped, and he said, “Hell yes.”


Real estate agent Kristine
The real estate agent asked Dr. Phil he could pick 5 acres out of 1000. Youtube/Merit Street Media

A landlord named Tony argued with Kristine about how she believes the manner in which people inherit property should be taken into account when it comes to adverse possession.

“We’re not in 1776, we’re in 2024,” Tony said, sparking a wave of applause from the audience.

“Do you think that a corporation that makes over a billion dollars a year is injured by someone taking 5 acres of land?,” Kristine argued.

Another guest quickly interjected with “somebody is.”

Another guest named Patti confronted Kristine by arguing she does not use her car 24-hours-a-day.

“Playing out your scenario, then theoretically anyone on the street should be able to boost your car and drive it, because that car is just sitting around unused,” Patti said, sparking applause from the audience.

“I don’t have a billion-dollar net worth,” Kristine argued, which made Barry ask if having a billion dollars is where Kristine draws the line.

Dr. Phil concluded the episode by commending Kristine for her willingness to defend her beliefs, but said he “100%” disagreed with her.

“It is a lawful thing to do if you do it in the right way, I 100% disagree with your philosophy, but your facts are correct,” he said. “She’s not suggesting people go squat in someone’s home when they go on vacation, she’s talking about something completely different, at another level, and if you’re not a billionaire, she isn’t targeting you.”

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