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Aurora Cannabis (ACB) Stock Is a Buy, But Wait for a Better Entry Point – Yahoo Finance

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<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="With the stock collapsing following the reverse split, Aurora Cannabis (ACB) needed a strong quarter to change the trend. The Canadian cannabis company is in the middle of a transformational plan that doesn’t always work out as planned.” data-reactid=”12″>With the stock collapsing following the reverse split, Aurora Cannabis (ACB) needed a strong quarter to change the trend. The Canadian cannabis company is in the middle of a transformational plan that doesn’t always work out as planned.

The company delivered in spades. Not only did Aurora report crucial progress in cutting out of costs, but also the company smashed revenue estimates during the coronavirus outbreak. The stock has bounced strong off the lows and is likely headed higher now.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="According to TipRanks, the consensus on Wall Street is that Aurora Cannabis stock is a “hold” for investors. On one hand, TipRanks might as well have said “buy” — because analysts, on average, think the stock, currently at $10.44, could zoom ahead to $12.78, delivering about 20% profits to new investors. On the other hand, Aurora stock could present investors with better entry points than at $10.44 per share.” data-reactid=”14″>According to TipRanks, the consensus on Wall Street is that Aurora Cannabis stock is a “hold” for investors. On one hand, TipRanks might as well have said “buy” — because analysts, on average, think the stock, currently at $10.44, could zoom ahead to $12.78, delivering about 20% profits to new investors. On the other hand, Aurora stock could present investors with better entry points than at $10.44 per share.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Dazzling Quarter” data-reactid=”23″>Dazzling Quarter

While the company only guided to a modest sequential revenue increase from the prior quarter, Aurora Cannabis grew total revenues by over C$11.8 million to C$78.4 million. The company saw impressive growth in Canadian recreational cannabis sales due to the introduction of the value brand while international medical cannabis rebounded with Germany sales back online.

A big key here is that gross margins remained a healthy 54%. The value brand wasn’t destructive to margins setting Aurora on a path to reaching EBITDA profits for the first time in years.

Aurora cut SG&A expenses that swelled to C$99 million in FQ2 by C$24 million to C$75 million. More importantly, the company is on a SG&A run-rate of C$55 million currently and expects to reach the C$45 million goal by quarter end. The number is far more impressive considering R&D expenses were pushed into the C$45 million target while costs were over C$5 million in the last quarter.

The end result was a big C$34 million cut to the adjusted EBITDA loss. Another C$30 million cut in operating expenses in FQ4 gets the Canadian cannabis company close to EBITDA breakeven.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Cash Burn” data-reactid=”28″>Cash Burn

Some analysts had estimated that Aurora Cannabis burned up to C$200 million in cash during the March quarter, but the number only hit C$154 million. Similar to the cut in operating expense, the company expects to make a huge leap forward in the June quarter cash burn that is a game changer for building shareholder wealth.

The company ended the quarter with C$230 million in cash and is likely to reduce cash burn below C$50 million in the current quarter. First, the operating losses are likely reduced by at least C$30 million from the cash burn levels. Second, the capital spending is forecast to dip C$50 million from the prior quarter to below C$25 million in the current quarter.

While it took a long time, Aurora Cannabis finally has its fiscal house in order. The company should reach EBITDA positive in the September quarter with decent revenue growth in Canada from additional retail stores in Ontario and further expansion of Cannabis 2.0 products. Not to mention, the larger companies are likely beneficiaries of weaker players struggling in the current economic climate.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Takeaway” data-reactid=”32″>Takeaway

The key investor takeaway is that the valuation equation for Aurora Cannabis is far more interesting here as the market pushed the stock to post split lows of $5.30. Even at the $11 level following a big rally, the stock only has a market cap of $1.15 billion.

Investors should feel much more confident in the stock here with reasonable expectations for FY21 revenues topping $300 million and the company having limited funding going. The stock is likely to make a continued rally here, but investors should wait for a pullback first to buy here after the big rally.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="To find good ideas for cannabis stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.” data-reactid=”35″>To find good ideas for cannabis stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

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OPEC+ agrees to extend output cuts as cheats offer penance – BNNBloomberg.ca

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OPEC+ agreed to a one-month extension of its record output cuts and adopted more stringent methods to ensure members don’t break their production pledges.

The deal is a victory for Saudi Arabia and Russia, who spent a week cajoling Iraq, Nigeria and other laggards to fulfill their obligations. It’s a particular vindication for the kingdom’s Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, who has consistently pushed fellow members to stop cheating on their quotas since his appointment last year.

With the cartel’s video conference now under way, delegates said all nations have agreed to the new deal. The group will maintain its production cut of 9.7 million barrels a day to the end of July, instead of easing it to 7.7 million after this month as planned.

In addition, the meeting’s draft communique states that any member that doesn’t implement 100 per cent of its production cuts in May and June will make extra reductions from July to September to compensate for their failings.

Oil has just posted a sixth weekly gain in London, more than doubling to US$42.30 a barrel since April as traders anticipate tighter supplies as demand recovers from the coronavirus lockdowns. U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday hailed the cuts from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies for saving the American energy industry.

Daunting Challenge

“Despite the progress achieved to date, we cannot afford to rest on our laurels,” Mohamed Arkab, Algeria’s energy minister and current OPEC president, said at the start of the meeting. “The challenge that we face remains daunting.”

The group hopes to build on its success by pushing the market into a supply deficit next month, using a price structure called backwardation to start to chip away at the billion barrels of oil stockpiles that built up during the pandemic.

The cartel will meet again in the second half of June for another review of the oil market. Talks are scheduled on June 18 for the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, which could recommend a further extension if it’s deemed necessary, pushing the deep production cuts into August, a delegate said. The panel will meet every month until December, according to the draft communique.

Embedded Image

Cutting production is always painful for oil-dependent states. Iraq in particular needs every penny because it’s still rebuilding its economy following decades of war, sanctions and Islamist insurgency.

Iraq made less than half of its assigned cutbacks last month, so compensating fully would require it to slash production by a further 24 per cent to about 3.28 million barrels a day, according to Bloomberg calculations. Accepting such terms could risk a backlash from Iraqi parliamentarians and rival political parties for bowing to foreign pressure.

The traditional shirkers in OPEC+ have promised many times before to do better. Some analysts were skeptical that this occasion will be any different.

“Everyone saves face with this agreement,” Jan Stuart, global energy economist at Cornerstone Macro LLC, said on Friday after a tentative deal was in place. “But it begs the question: What is the enforcement mechanism? I’m very curious to see how the organization is going to elicit greater compliance from the cheaters.”

There’s also a risk that future OPEC+ curbs could be undermined by a return of Libyan oil. The civil war there halted more than 1 million barrels a day of production, helping OPEC+ rebalance the market, but a cease fire now opens the door for a gradual recovery of supply.

For now at least, members of OPEC+ can enjoy the price gains resulting from their deal. The recovery has eased pressure on the budgets of oil-rich nations, while also reviving the fortunes of energy companies from Exxon Mobil Corp. to shale drillers such as Parsley Energy Inc.

“The oil market is on its way to recovery. Supply has shifted dramatically already,” said Ann-Louise Hittle, oil analyst at consultant Wood Mackenzie Ltd. “At the same time, global demand is recovering with both May and June climbing from the low seen in April as the coronavirus-related shutdowns continue to ease.”

–With assistance from Julian Lee and Khalid Al-Ansary.

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B.C. has lost more than 353,000 jobs since pandemic began – CBC.ca

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B.C. Finance Minister Carole James said more than 353,000 jobs have been lost provincewide since the pandemic began, with more than 30 per cent of those losses affecting young people.

James said Friday the province’s youth unemployment rates reached roughly 28.7 per cent last month. The minister said young people have been “severely impacted” during the pandemic because they work in the industries hardest hit by the economic slowdown: accommodation, food service, wholesale and retail.

“Those sectors still continue to lead all other industries in job losses, making up 46 per cent of the total jobs lost,” James said Friday.

“We have to remember that those numbers are families. They’re individuals. They’re small businesses who have struggled and continue to struggle as we move into recovery.”

Around 115,000 of the 353,000 positions lost in B.C. in recent months were jobs held by young people.

B.C. Finance Minister Carole James during an announcement in Victoria on June 1. (Mike McArthur/CBC)

Statistics Canada said Friday unemployment rate in B.C. rose 1.9 percentage points to 13.4 per cent, up from 11.5 per cent in April.

B.C. did gain 43,300 jobs back in May, James said. The provincial government began easing public health restrictions last month, leading businesses to reopen and more people into the job hunt. 

“I think we see some glimmers of hope … when you see the number of jobs that actually were created. It doesn’t touch the loss of jobs, the huge number of loss of jobs over this time period, but I think it does show that you’re starting to see some confidence in the economy,” said James.

“In the coming months, we hope to see more positive results as our economic recovery starts to take shape.

Customers have their nails manicured through acrylic safety panels by an esthetician at Stanley’s Nail Salon in Burnaby, B.C., on May 19 — the day B.C. entered Phase 2 of its pandemic response. (Ben Nelms/CBC)

James noted more than 521,000 people have applied for B.C.’s Emergency Benefit for Workers since applications opened on May 1. The benefit provides a one-time payment of $1,000 for residents whose work has been impacted by the pandemic.

Statistics Canada said the national unemployment rate in May rose to 13.7 per cent, the highest level in more than 40 years of comparable data. The previous record of 13.1 per cent was set in December 1982.

The agency said Canada’s economy added 290,000 jobs in May, replacing about 10 per cent of the jobs it lost to COVID-19.

The monthly labour force survey showed that men gained back more jobs than women last month, resulting in a wider gender gap in employment losses as a result of COVID-19, and that the pandemic continued to disproportionately affect lower-wage workers.

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OPEC and allies reportedly agree to extend record production cut – CNBC

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An OPEC sign hangs outside the OPEC Secretariat in Vienna, Austria, on Nov. 29, 2017.

Akos Stiller | Bloomberg | Getty Images

OPEC and its oil-producing allies reportedly agreed to extend the historic 9.7 million barrels per day production cut that was set to expire at the end of June, according to two sources familiar with the matter.

The cut will be extended through the end of July, and the group is expected to confirm the agreement at its meeting on Saturday, which kicked off a little before 8:30 a.m. ET.

The closely watched meeting was initially scheduled for June 9-10, but was pulled forward after Iraq agreed to comply with its quota.

On Friday West Texas Intermediate jumped 5.72% to settle at $39.55, while international benchmark Brent crude gained 5.78% to settle at $42.30. It was each contract’s sixth straight week of gains, and the highest settle since March 6.

“OPEC+ looks set to formally announce a one-month deal extension at [Saturday’s] ministerial meeting,” said Helima Croft, RBC’s global head of commodities strategy. “Nevertheless, there could be some last minute theatrics at the virtual gathering and we suspect that some individual producer performance will still be less than perfect on a go-forward basis.”

Under the current agreement, which was set during an extraordinary multi-day meeting in April, the 23-member group cut production by 9.7 million bpd beginning May 1 and through the end of June. The cuts would then begin to taper. From July through the end of 2020, 7.7 million bpd would be taken offline, followed by 5.8 million bpd from January 2021 through April 2022.

The cut — the largest in history — came as oil demand fell off a cliff due to the coronavirus pandemic. The International Energy Agency estimates that about one quarter of demand was sapped in April as billions of people around the world stayed home in an effort to slow the spread of Covid-19. The hit to demand came as producers continued to pump oil, which sent WTI tumbling into negative territory for the first time on record, while Brent fell to a 20-year low.

Since then, prices have steadily climbed higher as economies begin to reopen and as producers further rein in output. In the U.S., production has fallen from a record 13.1 million bpd in March to 11.2 million bpd, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. WTI is still about 40% below its January high of $65.65, however.

“Although small in scale, this cut is however important in squaring the group’s strategy, which has this year alone swung from price focused cuts, to market-share recapture, to internal price war to finally a record large cut,” Goldman Sachs’ Damien Courvalin wrote in a note to clients Friday. 

– CNBC’s Brian Sullivan and Michael Bloom contributed reporting.

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