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Canadians need to cut contacts by 25 per cent to curb second COVID-19 wave: modelling – CTV News

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OTTAWA —
Based on the current projections, Canadians need to decrease their current rate of contacts by 25 per cent in order to get the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic under control in this country.

According to new national modelling released on Friday, despite additional restrictions being re-imposed in regions where the virus’ spread has ramped up in recent months, the current epidemic curve does not appear to be flattening.

After surpassing the previous round of projected maximum cases and deaths, cases continue to increase and Canada is on track to see thousands of new cases and hundreds of new deaths by Nov. 8. 

If we maintain our current rate of contacts, the epidemic is forecast to resurge, and a decrease of 25 per cent would mean that the spread would come under control “in most locations,” according to the presentation delivered by Chief Public Health Officer Dr. Theresa Tam and Deputy Public Health Officer Dr. Howard Njoo.

Tam is calling on people to avoid gatherings with people outside of their “consistent, trusted contacts” and to take all other social interactions virtual, limit non-essential outings as much as possible, and in scenarios where physical distancing can’t be maintained with people outside of your household, wear a mask. She also suggested some workplaces have more to do to ensure their employees who may have come back into workspaces over the last few months have enough safeguards in place to protect staff. 

“Right now, our most powerful tool remains social distancing… In communities where cases are rising quickly, we need to keep our contacts as limited as possible. This is what it will take to slow the spread of the virus,” said Prime Minister Justin Trudeau during the press conference. “So when you’re thinking of seeing people outside your household, ask yourself: ‘Is this absolutely necessary?’ I know the situation is frustrating. I know it’s hard, but it is temporary. If we work together, cases will go down again.” 

Asked whether it’s time for more widespread closures to get the second wave under control, Trudeau said that despite the increase in cases, some regions are seeing the spread slow due to more targeted measures, negating a large-scale shutdown. 

“It takes time… but it is going to take weeks and months,” he said. 

As of the modelling being released there have been a total of 228,542 confirmed cases nationwide over the course of the pandemic, and by the end of next week that number is on track to increase to between 251,800 and 262,000 cases. 

There have been a total of 10,074 deaths recorded due to COVID-19, and that metric is also on track to grow considerably in the next several days, with the new figures projecting between 10,285 and 10,400 deaths by Nov. 8. 

As has been the case throughout the health crisis, the incidence rate varies across provinces and territories, but generally over the last two weeks higher rates of infection are being reported, COVID-19 patients are being hospitalized at higher rate than was seen over the summer, and deaths are “gradually” increasing. 

Over the past week, Canada has seen an average of 30 deaths per day. The current average age of death for people dying due to COVID-19-related illness is 84 years old in Canada, but ranges from ages 19 to 107.

Currently, the average test positivity rate is approaching 4 per cent nationally, and the number of health regions reporting more than 50 cases per 100,000 have nearly doubled in last few weeks, with 34 regions currently experiencing this rate.

Rates of Canadians under the age of 40 contracting the virus remain the highest, but an increase in new cases is occurring across age groups. Outbreaks are also continuing to be reported in the highest rates at long-term care and retirement residences; at schools and child-care centres; and as a result of social gatherings such as weddings, funerals and informal family or community celebrations. 

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COVID-19 cases in Canada remain on troubling course, Tam says, amid rising numbers – CTV News

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Canada remains on a troubling path for new COVID-19 infections as case counts continue to mount, the country’s top doctor said Saturday.

The most recent infection rates indicate Canada is on track to hit as many as 10,000 new cases a day by next month, Dr. Theresa Tam said.

“If we continue on the current pace, our longer range models continue to forecast significant increases in daily case counts and estimate that there could be up to 10,000 cases reported daily by mid-December,” Tam said in a written statement.

“Right now, we have a window of opportunity to act collectively together with public health authorities to bring the infection rate down to a safer trajectory.”

Canada is currently recording caseloads at about half that level, with the most recent seven-day average standing at 5,335 between Nov. 20 and Nov. 26.

Tam said Canada is also averaging 76 deaths a day and more than 2,100 people in hospital.

People 80 years and older are experiencing Canada’s highest COVID-19 death rate, and there are now more and larger outbreaks in long-term care facilities, hospitals, group living settings, Indigenous communities and remote areas, she said.

“Those developments are deeply concerning as they put countless Canadians at risk of life-threatening illness, cause serious disruptions to health services and present significant challenges for areas not adequately equipped to manage complex medical emergencies,” Tam said.

Her assessment came as case counts continued to soar in numerous provinces.

Quebec set a new single-day record with 1,480 new infections Saturday as the provincial death toll crossed the 7,000 threshold.

Ontario logged case numbers just shy of Friday’s one-day record as it reported 1,822 new diagnoses in the past 24 hours.

Case numbers also jumped sharply in Manitoba, where officials recorded 487 new infections and 10 new deaths.

Among those who died was a boy under the age of 10, officials said, though they offered no other details.

Saskatchewan reported 197 COVID-19 cases and one death Saturday.

The province ordered the suspension of team sports earlier this week until Dec. 17 after confirmed COVID-19 cases among several minor and recreational hockey teams.

The Saskatchewan suspension applies to hockey and curling leagues and dance studios.

The Saskatchewan Health Authority posted notices Saturday of COVID-19 exposure risks at curling and recreation centres at Christopher Lake and Shellbrook. Those curling or socializing at either of the two facilities last month must self-isolate for 14 days, the health authority said.

In British Columbia, Fraser Health announced the closure of an elementary school in Surrey after confirming 16 COVID-19 cases.

Newton Elementary School will close for two weeks, said Fraser Health.

B.C. reported a daily record of 911 COVID-19 cases Friday. The province will update its numbers Monday.

People must continue to practise physical distancing, frequent hand washing and staying home as much as possible, said a newly appointed member of B.C. Premier John Horgan’s cabinet.

“I just think it’s important for us to be thoughtful and caring, but at the same time it’s critical that people follow the rules because it’s vital to be able to keep our schools open and keep as many of our business open as possible,” said Ravi Kahlon, whose ministry includes economic recovery.

Figures from New Brunswick and Newfoundland and Labrador show more modest increases of four and two cases, respectively.

Prince Edward Island reported two new COVID-19 cases, but they involved young males aged 10 and 19.

There were 14 new cases in Nova Scotia and five COVID-19 cases in Nunavut.

Tam redoubled her calls for Canadians to heed public health advice, limit their social interactions and practice physical distancing in a bid to bring surging case counts under control.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 28, 2020.

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Which nationalities want to move to Canada? – Canada Immigration News

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Published on November 28th, 2020 at 04:00am EST

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Since many of us are in lockdown, there has been a surge in Google searches for all sorts of search terms: “sourdough bread,” “yoga mats,” “how to make McDonald’s chicken nuggets,” and “how to immigrate to…” insert dream destination.

A new report suggests that the most popular destination where people are looking to move abroad is Canada. The new study by Remitly analyzed the search volume of phrases related to moving abroad and immigration in over 100 countries.

Canada topped the list with a whopping 29 countries who wish to immigrate to the North American nation. To put that into perspective, Japan held second place with just 13 countries.

Spain came in third, followed by Germany, Qatar and Australia. The United States was ninth.

Find out if you’re eligible for Canadian immigration

With over 100 immigration options, low unemployment rates and free universal healthcare, it is understandable that Canada is popular among those who wish to move abroad. After all, Canada is one of the most peaceful countries in the world as per the Global Peace Index, where Canada is ranked sixth.

So, which countries want to move to Canada?

Countries in Asia that are seemingly interested in moving to Canada include the following:

  • Azerbaijan
  • India
  • Pakistan
  • Qatar

It may come as no surprise that India is included on the list. Indian nationals make up around a quarter of all immigrants to Canada.

Between European countries, the most popular destination was Germany, with Canada second. The following countries are those that are most interested in moving to Canada:

  • Belgium
  • France
  • Ireland
  • United Kingdom

Among North American nations, there were eight countries showing interest in immigrating to Canada:

  • Antigua and Barbuda
  • Bahamas
  • Barbados
  • Belize
  • Dominican Republic
  • Grenada
  • Jamaica
  • Mexico

The continent that is most interested in moving to Canada was Africa, with a total of 13 countries. Find them below:

  • Botswana
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Madagascar
  • Mauritius
  • Namibia
  • Nigeria
  • Seychelles
  • South Africa
  • Tanzania
  • Tunisia
  • Zambia
  • Zimbabwe

How Remitly came up with the results

Remitly used Google search data to find out the monthly search volume, in every country in the world, of terms that would likely be used by those who wish to move abroad. For example, ‘move to [destination], ‘work in [destination] and live in [destination] were used. It is important to note that Remitly considered search data in all languages.

The most searched for destination was considered to be the most desired destination for that country.

Canada offers over 100 different immigration programs and has been inviting record levels of successful immigration candidates throughout the coronavirus pandemic to help its economic recovery following the pandemic.

Find out if you’re eligible for Canadian immigration

© 2020 CIC News All Rights Reserved

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Ontario reports 1,822 new COVID-19 cases, 29 more deaths – CBC.ca

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Ontario reported another 1,822 cases of COVID-19 and 29 more deaths linked to the illness on Saturday.

The new cases include 566 in Toronto, 516 in Peel Region and 145 in York Region. Hamilton and Waterloo saw 105 and 102 additional cases, respectively.

Other public health units that saw double-digit increases were:

  • Halton: 68.
  • Windsor-Essex: 57.
  • Durham Region: 48.
  • Ottawa: 46.
  • Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 25.
  • Niagara Region: 21.
  • Simcoe Muskoka: 21.
  • Middlesex-London: 20.
  • Eastern Ontario: 13.
  • Huron Perth: 11.
  • Grey Bruce: 10.
  • Thunder Bay: 10.

(Note: All of the figures used in this story are found on the Ontario health ministry’s COVID-19 dashboard or in its daily epidemiologic summary. The number of cases for any region may differ from what is reported by the local public health unit because local units report figures at different times.)

The newly confirmed infections push the seven-day average up to 1,523, the highest it has been since the outbreak began in late January. The numbers come after the province set a single-day record for new cases on Friday.

There are currently 13,538 confirmed, active cases of COVID-19 provincewide, a number that is also a new record high. 

Meanwhile, Ontario’s network of labs processed 55,086 test samples for the novel coronavirus and reported a test positivity rate of 3.4 per cent. More than 56,000 tests were added to the queue to be completed. Public health officials said recently that they hope to build capacity in the system for up to 100,000 tests daily.

The number of people in Ontario hospitals with confirmed cases of the illness jumped 54, up to 595 — nearly double the number one month ago. Those being treated in intensive care increased by four to 155, while those on ventilators dropped slightly to 99.

The additional deaths in Saturday’s update push the official toll to 3,624. So far this month, 479 people with COVID-19 have died in the province.

5 regions moving into more restrictive zones

The provincial government announced yesterday that five more regions will move into more restrictive zones starting at 12:01 a.m. Monday:

  • Red-Control
    • Windsor-Essex County Health Unit
  • Orange-Restrict
    • Haldimand-Norfolk Health Unit
  • Yellow-Protect
    • Hastings Prince Edward Public Health
    • Lambton Public Health
    • Northwestern Health Unit

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