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Gold eyes $1620 in 2020 on global de-dollarization theme, geopolitical risks – ANZ – Kitco NEWS

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Editor’s Note: 2020 is expected to be another year of significant uncertainty and turmoil. But the question is what asset will emerge the victor when the dust settles from the global trade war, Brexit, recession threats, negative bond yields. It’s a showdown of global proportions, so don’t miss all our exclusive coverage on how these factors could impact your 2020 investment decisions.

(Kitco News) The precious metals sector is likely to outperform other commodities for the second year in a row in 2020, according to the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ), which is projecting for gold to rise above $1,600 next year.

“Precious metals look well positioned to outperform other sectors for the second consecutive year in 2020,” ANZ senior commodity strategist Daniel Hynes and commodity strategist Soni Kumari said in the bank’s 2020 outlook.

ANZ sees gold rising steadily throughout next year and peaking at $1,620 in December.

“Our gold model points to USD1,600/oz in 2020. Our model – based on real interest rates, USD and inflation expectations – shows gold’s value at USD1,470/oz. With a slightly weaker USD and only a tepid increase in bond yields, it forecasts gold will hit USD1,600/oz in 2020,” the strategists wrote.

Global themes of de-dollarization and geopolitical uncertainty are a few of the main drivers that will keep gold prices supported, ANZ’s outlook stated.

“Although the uncertainties related to US-China trade and Brexit peaked in 2019, we believe geopolitical and macroeconomic risks will remain elevated next year,” Hynes and Kumari said. “The ongoing theme of de-dollarization should see investor appetite for gold remain strong.”

The U.S. presidential election will be one of the risks to keep a close eye on as it directly impacts the financial markets. “With several possible outcomes, we see room for market volatility. This should set the stage for safe-haven assets to perform through 2020,” the strategists explained.

Also, the rise of populism around the world increases the case for holding gold in your portfolio, the outlook added. “The geopolitical trend toward division and populism will keep generating uncertainty, enhancing the safe-haven appeal of the sector.”

Lower interest rates environmental on a global scale also works in favor of the yellow metal next year. “A pause in Fed interest rate hikes should not diminish investor appetite … [as] steady-to-higher inflation keep[s] interest rate lower in 2020,” the strategists said.

Another part of the equation that leads to gold breaching the $1,600 an ounce level in 2020 is the weaker U.S. dollar, added ANZ.

“USD appreciation is likely to abate, with downside risks rising through 2020 … With a more stable policy setting, the USD is likely to stabilize and trade in a tight range. We expect the EUR to outperform the USD,” Hynes and Kumari wrote.

Asian gold demand will need to be closely watched as well after Indian gold imports fell 53% between July and October of this year amid record-high local prices.

“In 2020, higher investment demand will be required to clear the supply overhang left by weaker gold jewelry demand and leveling-off central bank purchases,” the strategists said.

One of the major risks to higher gold prices remains crowded investor positions, which could trigger a sell-off in 2020. “Elevated speculative positions leave risk of a price set-back,” the outlook highlighted.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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