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Top B.C. politics stories to watch for in 2020 – Global News

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The funny thing about big stories is they don’t know when the calendar flips.

That means a lot of the biggest political stories in British Columbia will carry over to become some of the biggest stories of 2020.

But what makes B.C. politics so interesting is the surprises. Meaning we will likely be sitting here next year looking back at some moments that surprised us all.

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Here are some of the biggest predictable stories for the upcoming year.

Supreme Court on reference case

Protesters attend a anti Trans Mountain Pipeline rally in downtown Vancouver, Monday, December, 16, 2019. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward

Protesters attend a anti Trans Mountain Pipeline rally in downtown Vancouver, Monday, December, 16, 2019. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward


THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward

The legal challenge at the centre of the pipeline spat between the Alberta and B.C. governments is set to hit the Supreme Court of Canada in 2020.

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The court is expected to hear arguments on B.C.’s reference case. The B.C. government, which lost the case at the provincial level, is asking the Supreme Court to determine whether it can pass legislation that would require companies to get permits from the provincial government before increasing the flow of bitumen through the province.

B.C. Premier John Horgan insists what is in the best interests of Canadians and British Columbians is far greater than the economic possibilities of the Trans Mountain Pipeline expansion project.

“Our government will continue to stand up for the right to protect B.C.’s environment, economy and coast,” Horgan said.

Horgan cabinet shuffle

Premier John Horgan arrives to deliver his speech during the BC NDP Convention at the Victoria Convention Centre in Victoria, Saturday, Nov. 23, 2019.

Premier John Horgan arrives to deliver his speech during the BC NDP Convention at the Victoria Convention Centre in Victoria, Saturday, Nov. 23, 2019.


THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chad Hipolito

One of the staples of Premier John Horgan’s government through the first two years has been stability. There have been some bumps, including the Tourism, Arts and Culture Minister Lisa Beare’s illness and the cabinet resignation of Citizens’ Services Jinny Sims.

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But 2020 is expected to be the first time Horgan shuffles the deck and puts some fresh faces into cabinet. The first step will be to see if the premier can get any commitments from ministers that they won’t run again in 2021, making it easier to shuffle them out of the cabinet.

Horgan has prided himself of the gender balance in cabinet, meaning if a woman if shuffled out, another women will be brought around the cabinet table in her place.


READ MORE:
Premier John Horgan expected to shuffle cabinet in the new year

The government must also consider regional balance, meaning if one of the three ministers from outside Metro Vancouver and Vancouver Island is shuffled out, then North Coast MLA Jennifer Rice has a good chance of being the beneficiary.

Horgan may be also looking for an injection of youth in cabinet, meaning Spencer Chandra Herbert, Ravi Kahlon or Bowinn Ma could get the call.

“I am going to take a look at this in the new year. We need to re-tool, we are at the halfway point. There will be some members who will probably not be running again. I need to have those conversations over the winter break,” Horgan said in December.

“There will probably be some changes in the new year and that’s appropriate.”

BCTF negotiations

BCTF supporters rally outside the BC NDP Convention at the Victoria Convention Centre on November 23, 2019.

BCTF supporters rally outside the BC NDP Convention at the Victoria Convention Centre on November 23, 2019.


Richard Zussman/Global News

British Columbia teachers have been working without a long term contract since the last deal expired in June. With more negotiations set up for the new year, it seems 2020 will be the time when the pressure ramps up.

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The biggest fear is another full blown teachers’ strike but the B.C. Teachers’ Federation (BCTF) knows keeping kids out of the classroom doesn’t look good on either side at the negotiating table.

The BCTF are still looking for higher wages and more teachers in the classroom. One of the problems has been the province’s ability to recruit new teachers, especially in rural areas.

“Low wages are definitely a problem for retaining teachers and attracting teachers as well,” said BCTF president Teri Mooring in October.

“If Ontario, due to their provincial government, ends up with a number of teachers who are out of work, it’s doubtful they would come all the way to B.C. when we have such a high cost of living and they would take such a significant pay cut.”

Budget Pressures – ICBC

Finance Minister Carole James introduces first-quarter financial numbers.

Finance Minister Carole James introduces first-quarter financial numbers.


Richard Zussman/Global News

The B.C. NDP inherited balanced budgets from the the BC Liberals and have so far kept the books in the black.

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But with global economic forces applying pressure to British Columbia and a bruised and a battled public auto insurer, the NDP are staring at their toughest financial year yet. Finance Minister Carole James is still expressing confidence the 2020 books will be balanced but there are factors that could change that.

The biggest internal challenge for the government is ICBC. The public insurer has lost more than a billion dollars in each of the last two years. The province has put in measures to address those challenges but a court loss around expert reports has blown a $400 million hole in the budget.

James is confident ICBC will not be enough to wipe out the surplus but B.C. has already been forced to dip into contingency funding to help stop the bleeding.


READ MORE:
ICBC losses, forestry downturn weaken B.C. provincial surplus

Global headwinds are also blowing leading to potentially more harm in the forestry sector and a general slowdown of Canada’s hottest economy. The government has already looked internally to address some of the issues.

“I asked ministers to take a look at their discretionary spending in their ministry,” James said in September.

“I have asked them to have a look to find savings so we have those dollars put aside for any risks that occur before the end of the fiscal year — forestry being one example where there are real challenges for those forestry communities.”

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ICBC rate increases

Attorney General David Eby speaks about the changes coming to ICBC during a press conference in the press gallery at Legislature in Victoria, B.C., on Tuesday February 6, 2018. 

Attorney General David Eby speaks about the changes coming to ICBC during a press conference in the press gallery at Legislature in Victoria, B.C., on Tuesday February 6, 2018. 


THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chad Hipolito

The B.C. government has asked ICBC to delay a decision on insurance rates for 2020 until February. Over the next few months the province will be assessing not just the current financial situation but how the changes made in 2019 have affected the public insurer.

Attorney General David Eby has set the goal to have rates go down for all British Columbians by 2021. But it is hard to believe the situation will resolve itself for the next rate hike.


READ MORE:
Provincial government delays ICBC rate application with losses growing

“After years of the previous government’s mismanagement of ICBC, British Columbians are paying too much for car insurance. We have much work ahead to get these costs down for families,” Eby said in Dceember.

“As a result, government has directed a delay in ICBC’s rate application until February in order to do the necessary financial analysis of two sets of planned reforms currently underway to help reduce costs, and by extension, car insurance rates.”

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Massey Tunnel and Pattullo bridge

The future of the Massey Tunnel will be a hot topic of discussion in 2020.

The future of the Massey Tunnel will be a hot topic of discussion in 2020.


Global News

The future of a pair of Metro Vancouver crossings could be set in 2020.

The new four-lane Pattullo Bridge is set to open in 2023 but there will be a better sense of cost in 2020. One of the big lingering questions is whether the Community Benefits Agreement will drive up the price tag.

The future of the Massey tunnel replacement is less clear. In November, Metro Vancouver’s board of directors voted to endorse an eight-lane immersed-tube tunnel as its replacement, following the recommendation by a task force last month.

The province is still grappling with the Massey suggestion and what sort of money will need to go into replacing the aging tunnel.

“We recognize how currently it is currently stopping the economic activity or slowing it down. People are very frustrated,” said board chair Sav Dhaliwal.

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“It has been on the list for a long time. We are really, really hoping the province will take this recommendation and start moving with the business case next year, and hopefully there’s consultation that will approve the eight lane tunnel and we will get on with the work.”

Public Inquiry Begins

Glasses rest on a copy of Peter German’s investigation report into money laundering in the B.C. real estate industry during a press conference in Victoria, B.C., on Thursday, May 9, 2019.

Glasses rest on a copy of Peter German’s investigation report into money laundering in the B.C. real estate industry during a press conference in Victoria, B.C., on Thursday, May 9, 2019.


THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chad Hipolito

The answers British Columbians have been looking for on the money laundering issue may be right around the corner.

Commissioner Austin Cullen will oversee the witness testimony in the much anticipated money laundering public inquiry in 2020.

One of the concerns expressed by Premier Horgan when debating whether to launch a public inquiry is that lawyers will be used to avoid witnesses providing testimony.






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Public input on BC Money Laundering Inquiry


Public input on BC Money Laundering Inquiry

But the public should anticipate to see high-ranking officials from the B.C. Lottery Corporation (BCLC), Great Canadian Gaming and the previous provincial government.

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Former gaming minister Rich Coleman has not officially been called to testify but the expectation is he will be asked to appear.

“I’m quite happy there is an inquiry,” said Coleman in May. “We can finally get past the innuendo and accusations and get down to the facts.”

New Green Party leader

Green Party MLA Adam Olsen speaks at the Legislature in Victoria, B.C., on November 2, 2017. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chad Hipolito

Green Party MLA Adam Olsen speaks at the Legislature in Victoria, B.C., on November 2, 2017. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chad Hipolito

The BC Greens are about to get a new face for their party. Adam Olsen is set to take over as the interim leader in January.

The party will select a new permanent leader in June tasked with replacing outgoing Leader Andrew Weaver. The Green leadership convention will take place in Nanaimo and Weaver says he has already heard from three people interested in running.

With Olsen tied to the part-time job, it is expected MLA Sonia Furstenau will run for the permanent spot. Former Green Party candidate in New Westminster and current deputy leader Jonina Campbell is also considering the opportunity.

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READ MORE:
Adam Olsen named BC Green Party interim leader

What makes the job especially interesting is the Confidence and Supply Agreement between the party and the NDP. A new leader does not have to continue honouring a deal, but Weaver says if the deal was broken there would likely be a caucus revolt.

“These relationships take time to build, they take trust,” Weaver said.

“Theoretically they could, but there would probably be a revolt within caucus. Hopefully things can just continue on.”

Forestry Strike/crisis

Softwood lumber is pictured at Tolko Industries in Heffley Creek, B.C., Sunday, April, 1, 2018.

Softwood lumber is pictured at Tolko Industries in Heffley Creek, B.C., Sunday, April, 1, 2018.


THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward

Premier Horgan was optimistic a deal would be done between Western Forest Products and the United Steelworkers before the end of 2019. But as the calendar turns over to a new year, workers are still on strike.

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The forestry strike on Vancouver Island has had a profound impact on the entire community. If the strike continues to drag out expect more rallies at the B.C. legislature as workers attempt to get their voices heard.

The strike is just a part of the continued forestry struggles. In the Interior, closures and curtailments have led to thousands of people without a pay check.

The province is working on figuring out how to spend $69 million earmarked for retraining and retirement funding for workers to breathe life into a struggling industry.

The long shot for the industry in 2020 is a softwood lumber deal. But with an election in the United States coming up that seems unlikely.

Surrey SkyTrain

The future of the SkyTrain to Surrey and Langley will be made clearer in 2020.

The future of the SkyTrain to Surrey and Langley will be made clearer in 2020.


TransLink

It’s the largest transit project in Surrey’ history. But the Surrey SkyTrain still doesn’t have the green light.

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In 2020, the region’s mayors plus the federal and provincial governments will review the new business case for Surrey rapid transit. Gone is the LRT. On the table now is an extension of SkyTrain.


READ MORE:
TransLink to move forward with Surrey SkyTrain extension, but getting to Langley remains in limbo

But big questions linger including whether there is enough money on the table to extend the line into Langley. Early projection shows building SkyTrain is more expensive that the LRT.

Project development is expected to be completed in the spring of 2020. Following this, a procurement process would take another 15 months.

Surrey Police Department decision

The city unveiled what a Surrey police cruiser might look like.

The city unveiled what a Surrey police cruiser might look like.


Chris Allard/Global News

There is no clear timeline yet on when Surrey will get all the approvals necessary to move to a regional police force but 2020 is shaping up to be an important year for the province’s second-largest city.

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The city’s transition team turned over a pair of reports on the move from the RCMP a few days before Christmas. One report landed on the desk of former attorney general and judge Wally Oppal, who chairs the joint municipal-provincial committee on the change.

The other report was raw data on public consultation on the switch. Councillors Brenda Locke and Jack Hundial were highly critical of the time of the report’s release, six months after consultations were completed.

Solicitor General Mike Farnworth must sign off on a transition to ensure the community remains safe.

Early Election?

A voting station in Vancouver’s West End neighbourhood.

A voting station in Vancouver’s West End neighbourhood.


Global News

It’s the topic Premier Horgan says no one ever talks to him about.

But there is no question some of his closest advisers believe it could be in the party’s best interest to figure out a way to dissolve the agreement with the BC Greens and force an election in 2020.

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It’s an election Horgan says neither he nor the the public is interested in. But minority governments don’t often last more than two-and-a-half years, let alone the four years it would be if British Columbians go to the polls during the fall of 2021, the next fixed election date.

Legislature scandal

Sergeant-at-Arms Gary Lenz (L) and Clerk of the Legislative Assembly Craig James make a statement to media in Vancouver, B.C., on Monday November 26, 2018. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ben Nelms

Sergeant-at-Arms Gary Lenz (L) and Clerk of the Legislative Assembly Craig James make a statement to media in Vancouver, B.C., on Monday November 26, 2018. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ben Nelms


THE CANADIAN PRESS/Ben Nelms

The legislature spending scandal started in 2018, occupied a lot of time in 2019 and could come to a close in 2020. Speaker Darryl Plecas expects the RCMP to complete its investigation in 2020.

Two special prosecutors have been looking at whether former clerk Craig James and former sergeant-at-arms Gary Lenz broke the law.

“In what has been brought forward by whistleblowers, myself and my chief of staff, I am very confident there will be charges,” Plecas said.

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“I’m not privy to every nuance, but my understanding of criminal law makes me feel there is more than enough for charges. It’s taken a long time, but of course it is because they have to be absolutely careful on how they move forward.”






23:36
Focus BC: Friday, December 13, 2019


Focus BC: Friday, December 13, 2019

Permanent Daylight Saving Time

A visitor looks through the clock of the Orsay museum, overlooking Paris, Thursday, Oct. 16, 2014. THE CANADIAN PRESS/AP, Michel Euler

A visitor looks through the clock of the Orsay museum, overlooking Paris, Thursday, Oct. 16, 2014. THE CANADIAN PRESS/AP, Michel Euler

The province now has the power to get rid of seasonal time changes, but will they put a permanent time out on the practice in 2020?

Premier Horgan is hoping Washington, Oregon and California will get congressional approval to move to Daylight Saving Time before November.

But if they don’t, B.C. will have to decide if the province wants to go at it alone.

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© 2019 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

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Politics Briefing: Labour leader targets Poilievre, calls him 'anti-worker politician' – The Globe and Mail

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Hello,

Pierre Poilievre is a fraud when it comes to empowering workers, says the president of Canada’s largest labour organization.

Bea Bruske, president of the Canadian Labour Congress, targeted the federal Conservative Leader in a speech in Ottawa today as members of the labour movement met to develop a strategic approach to the next federal election, scheduled for October, 2025.

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“Whatever he claims today, Mr. Poilievre has a consistent 20-year record as an anti-worker politician,” said Bruske, whose congress represents more than three million workers.

She rhetorically asked whether the former federal cabinet minister has ever walked a picket line, or supported laws to strengthen workers’ voices.

“Mr. Poilievre sure is fighting hard to get himself power, but he’s never fought for worker power,” she said.

“We must do everything in our power to expose Pierre Poilievre as the fraud that he is.”

The Conservative Leader, whose party is running ahead of its rivals in public-opinion polls, has declared himself a champion of “the common people,” and been courting the working class as he works to build support.

Mr. Poilievre’s office today pushed back on the arguments against him.

Sebastian Skamski, media-operations director, said Mr. Poilievre, unlike other federal leaders, is connecting with workers.

In a statement, Skamski said NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh has sold out working Canadians by co-operating with the federal Liberal government, whose policies have created challenges for Canadian workers with punishing taxes and inflation.

“Pierre Poilievre is the one listening and speaking to workers on shop floors and in union halls from coast to coast to coast,” said Mr. Skamski.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mr. Singh are scheduled to speak to the gathering today. Mr. Poilievre was not invited to speak.

Asked during a post-speech news conference about the Conservative Leader’s absence, Bruske said the gathering is focused on worker issues, and Poilievre’s record as an MP and in government shows he has voted against rights, benefits and wage increases for workers.

“We want to make inroads with politicians that will consistently stand up for workers, and consistently engage with us,” she said.

This is the daily Politics Briefing newsletter, written by Ian Bailey. It is available exclusively to our digital subscribers. If you’re reading this on the web, subscribers can sign up for the Politics newsletter and more than 20 others on our newsletter signup page. Have any feedback? Let us know what you think.

TODAY’S HEADLINES

Pierre Poilievre’s top adviser not yet contacted in Lobbying Commissioner probe: The federal Lobbying Commissioner has yet to be in touch with Jenni Byrne as the watchdog probes allegations of inappropriate lobbying by staff working both in Byrne’s firm and a second one operating out of her office.

Métis groups will trudge on toward self-government as bill faces another setback: Métis organizations in Ontario and Alberta say they’ll stay on the path toward self-government, despite the uncertain future of a contentious bill meant to do just that.

Liberals buck global trend in ‘doubling down’ on foreign aid, as sector urges G7 push: The federal government pledged in its budget this week to increase humanitarian aid by $150-million in the current fiscal year and $200-million the following year.

Former B.C. finance minister running for the federal Conservatives: Mike de Jong says he will look to represent the Conservatives in Abbotsford-South Langley, which is being created out of part of the Abbotsford riding now held by departing Tory MP Ed Fast.

Ottawa’s new EV tax credit raises hope of big new Honda investment: The proposed measure would provide companies with a 10-per-cent rebate on the costs of constructing new buildings to be used in the electric-vehicle supply chain. Story here.

Sophie Grégoire Trudeau embraces uncertainty in new memoir, Closer Together: “I’m a continuous, curious, emotional adventurer and explorer of life and relationships,” Grégoire Trudeau told The Globe and Mail during a recent interview. “I’ve always been curious and interested and fascinated by human contact.”

TODAY’S POLITICAL QUOTES

“Sometimes you’re in a situation. You just can’t win. You say one thing. You get one community upset. You say another. You get another community upset.” – Ontario Premier Doug Ford, at a news conference in Oakville today, commenting on the Ontario legislature Speaker banning the wearing in the House of the traditional keffiyeh scarf. Ford opposes the ban, but it was upheld after the news conference in the provincial legislature.

“No, I plan to be a candidate in the next election under Prime Minister Trudeau’s leadership. I’m very happy. I’m excited about that. I’m focused on the responsibilities he gave me. It’s a big job. I’m enjoying it and I’m optimistic that our team and the Prime Minister will make the case to Canadians as to why we should be re-elected.” – Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc, before Question Period today, on whether he is interested in the federal Liberal leadership, and succeeding Justin Trudeau as prime minister.

THIS AND THAT

Today in the Commons: Projected Order of Business at the House of Commons, April. 18, accessible here.

Deputy Prime Minister’s Day: Private meetings in Burlington, Ont., then Chrystia Freeland toured a manufacturing facility, discussed the federal budget and took media questions. Freeland then travelled to Washington, D.C., for spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group. Freeland also attended a meeting of the Five Eyes Finance Ministers hosted by U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, and held a Canada-Ukraine working dinner on mobilizing Russian assets in support of Ukraine.

Ministers on the Road: Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly is on the Italian island of Capri for the G7 foreign ministers’ meeting. Heritage Minister Pascale St-Onge, in the Quebec town of Farnham, made an economic announcement, then held a brief discussion with agricultural workers and took media questions. Privy Council President Harjit Sajjan made a federal budget announcement in the Ontario city of Welland. Families Minister Jenna Sudds made an economic announcement in the Ontario city of Belleville.

Commons Committee Highlights: Treasury Board President Anita Anand appeared before the public-accounts committee on the auditor-general’s report on the ArriveCan app, and Karen Hogan, Auditor-General of Canada, later appeared on government spending. Crown-Indigenous Relations Minister Gary Anandasangaree appears before the status-of-women committee on the Red Dress Alert. Competition Bureau Commissioner Matthew Boswell and Yves Giroux, the Parliamentary Budget Officer, appeared before the finance committee on Bill C-59. Former Prince Edward Island premier Robert Ghiz, now the president and chief executive officer of the Canadian Telecommunications Association, is among the witnesses appearing before the human-resources committee on Bill C-58, An act to amend the Canada Labour Code. Caroline Maynard, Canada’s Information Commissioner, appears before the access-to-information committee on government spending. Michel Patenaude, chief inspector at the Sûreté du Québec, appeared before the public-safety committee on car thefts in Canada.

In Ottawa: Governor-General Mary Simon presented the Governor-General’s Literary Awards during a ceremony at Rideau Hall, and, in the evening, was scheduled to speak at the 2024 Indspire Awards to honour Indigenous professionals and youth.

PRIME MINISTER’S DAY

Justin Trudeau met with Ottawa Mayor Mark Sutcliffe at city hall. Sutcliffe later said it was the first time a sitting prime minister has visited city hall for a meeting with the mayor. Later, Trudeau delivered remarks to a Canada council meeting of the Canadian Labour Congress.

LEADERS

Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet held a media scrum at the House of Commons ahead of Question Period.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre attends a party fundraising event at a private residence in Mississauga.

Green Party Leader Elizabeth May attended the House of Commons.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, in Ottawa, met with Saskatchewan’s NDP Leader, Carla Beck, and, later, Ken Price, the chief of the K’ómoks First Nation,. In the afternoon, he delivered a speech to a Canadian Labour Congress Canadian council meeting.

THE DECIBEL

On today’s edition of The Globe and Mail podcast, Sanjay Ruparelia, an associate professor at Toronto Metropolitan University and Jarislowsky Democracy Chair, explains why India’s elections matter for democracy – and the balance of power for the rest of the world. The Decibel is here.

PUBLIC OPINION

Declining trust in federal and provincial governments: A new survey finds a growing proportion of Canadians do not trust the federal or provincial governments to make decisions on health care, climate change, the economy and immigration.

OPINION

On Haida Gwaii, an island of change for Indigenous land talks

“For more than a century, the Haida Nation has disputed the Crown’s dominion over the land, air and waters of Haida Gwaii, a lush archipelago roughly 150 kilometres off the coast of British Columbia. More than 20 years ago, the First Nation went to the Supreme Court of Canada with a lawsuit that says the islands belong to the Haida, part of a wider legal and political effort to resolve scores of land claims in the province. That case has been grinding toward a conclusion that the B.C. government was increasingly convinced would end in a Haida victory.” – The Globe and Mail Editorial Board.

The RCMP raid the home of ArriveCan contractor as Parliament scolds

“The last time someone was called before the bar of the House of Commons to answer MPs’ inquiries, it was to demand that a man named R.C. Miller explain how his company got government contracts to supply lights, burners and bristle brushes for lighthouses. That was 1913. On Wednesday, Kristian Firth, the managing partner of GCStrategies, one of the key contractors on the federal government’s ArriveCan app, was called to answer MPs’ queries. Inside the Commons, it felt like something from another century.” – Campbell Clark

First Nations peoples have lost confidence in Thunder Bay’s police force

“Thunder Bay has become ground zero for human-rights violations against Indigenous Peoples in Canada. Too many sudden and suspicious deaths of Indigenous Peoples have not been investigated properly. There have been too many reports on what is wrong with policing in the city – including ones by former chair of the Truth and Reconciliation Commission Murray Sinclair and former Toronto Police board chair Alok Mukherjee, and another one called “Broken Trust,” in which the Office of the Independent Police Review Director said the Thunder Bay Police Service (TBPS) was guilty of “systemic racism” in 2018. – Tanya Talaga.

The failure of Canada’s health care system is a disgrace – and a deadly one

“What can be said about Canada’s health care system that hasn’t been said countless times over, as we watch more and more people suffer and die as they wait for baseline standards of care? Despite our delusions, we don’t have “world-class” health care, as our Prime Minister has said; we don’t even have universal health care. What we have is health care if you’re lucky, or well connected, or if you happen to have a heart attack on a day when your closest ER is merely overcapacity as usual, and not stuffed to the point of incapacitation.” – Robyn Urback.

Got a news tip that you’d like us to look into? E-mail us at tips@globeandmail.com. Need to share documents securely? Reach out via SecureDrop.

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GOP strategist reacts to Trump’s ‘unconventional’ request – CNN

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GOP strategist reacts to Trump’s ‘unconventional’ request

Donald Trump’s campaign is asking Republican candidates and committees using the former president’s name and likeness to fundraise to give at least 5% of what they raise to the campaign, according to a letter obtained by CNN. CNN’s Steve Contorno and Republican strategist Rina Shah weigh in.


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Anger toward federal government at 6-year high: Nanos survey – CTV News

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Most Canadians in March reported feeling angry or pessimistic towards the federal government than at any point in the last six years, according to a survey by Nanos Research.

Nanos has been measuring Canadians’ feelings of optimism, satisfaction, disinterest, anger, pessimism and uncertainty toward the federal government since November 2018.

The latest survey found that optimism had crept up slightly to 10 per cent since hitting an all-time low of eight per cent in September 2023.

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However, 62 per cent of Canadians said they feel either pessimistic or angry, with respondents equally split between the two sentiments.

(Nanos Research)

“What we’ve seen is the anger quotient has hit a new record,” Nik Nanos, CTV’s official pollster and Nanos Research founder, said in an interview with CTV News’ Trend Line on Wednesday.

Only 11 per cent of Canadians felt satisfied, while another 11 per cent said they were disinterested.

Past survey results show anger toward the federal government has increased or held steady across the country since March 2023, while satisfaction has gradually declined.

Will the budget move the needle?

Since the survey was conducted before the federal government released its 2024 budget, there’s a chance the anger and pessimism of March could subside a little by the time Nanos takes the public’s temperature again. They could also stick.

The five most important issues to Canadians right now that would influence votes, according to another recent Nanos survey conducted for Bloomberg, include inflation and the cost of living, health care, climate change and the environment, housing affordability and taxes.

(Nanos Research)

With this year’s budget, the federal government pledged $52.9 billion in new spending while promising to maintain the 2023-24 federal deficit at $40.1 billion. The federal deficit is projected to be $39.8 billion in 2024-25.

The budget includes plans to boost new housing stock, roll out a national disability benefit, introduce carbon rebates for small businesses and increase taxes on Canada’s top-earners.

However, advocacy groups have complained it doesn’t do enough to address climate change, or support First Nations communities and Canadians with disabilities.

“Canada is poised for another disastrous wildfire season, but this budget fails to give the climate crisis the attention it urgently deserves,” Keith Brooks, program director for Environmental Defence, wrote in a statement on the organization’s website.

Meanwhile, when it comes to a promise to close what the Assembly of First Nations says is a sprawling Indigenous infrastructure gap, the budget falls short by more than $420 billion. And while advocacy groups have praised the impending roll-out of the Canada Disability Benefit, organizations like March of Dimes Canada and Daily Bread Food Bank say the estimated maximum benefit of $200 per month per recipient won’t be enough to lift Canadians with disabilities out of poverty.

According to Nanos, if Wednesday’s budget announcement isn’t enough to restore the federal government’s favour, no amount of spending will do the trick.

“If the Liberal numbers don’t move up after this, perhaps the listening lesson for the Liberals will be (that) spending is not the political solution for them to break this trend line,” Nanos said. “It’ll have to be something else.”

Conservatives in ‘majority territory’

While the Liberal party waits to see what kind of effect its budget will have on voters, the Conservatives are enjoying a clear lead when it comes to ballot tracking.

(Nanos Research)

“Any way you cut it right now, the Conservatives are in the driver’s seat,” Nanos said. “They’re in majority territory.”

According to Nanos Research ballot tracking from the week ending April 12, the Conservatives are the top choice for 40 per cent of respondents, the Liberals for 23.7 per cent and the NDP for 20.6 per cent.

Whether the Liberals or the Conservatives form the next government will come down, partly, to whether voters believe more government spending is, or isn’t, the key to helping working Canadians, Nanos said.

“Both of the parties are fighting for working Canadians … and we have two competing visions for that. For the Liberals, it’s about putting government support into their hands and creating social programs to support Canadians,” he said.

“For the Conservatives, it’s very different. It’s about reducing the size of government (and) reducing taxes.”

Watch the full episode of Trend Line in our video player at the top of this article. You can also listen in our audio player below, or wherever you get your podcasts. The next episode comes out Wednesday, May 1.

Methodology

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,069 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between March 31 and April 1, 2024, as part of an omnibus survey. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone using live agents and administered a survey online. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest census information and the sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. The margin of error for this survey is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

With files from The Canadian Press, CTV News Senior Digital Parliamentary Reporter Rachel Aiello and CTV News Parliamentary Bureau Writer, Producer Spencer Van Dyke

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