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More than a quarter of Canadians at higher risk of severe COVID-19 illness: study – CTV News

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TORONTO —
More than one-quarter of Canadians have an underlying health condition that would increase the possibility of severe COVID-19 symptoms, according to a new study out of the U.K.

Researchers estimated that nearly 27 per cent of people in the country — or more than nine million Canadians — have a chronic condition identified as a risk factor for severe infection, including such ailments as cardiovascular disease and diabetes.

About 1.8 million of that group, or roughly five per cent of the population, would require hospitalization if infected, the study said.

While the data suggests that illness would likely be mild for most with underlying health conditions, it also suggests that in the absence of a vaccine and containment measures, the burden on hospitals could worsen. As of June 15, health officials have recorded more than 99,000 COVID-19 infections and more than 8,100 deaths in Canada.

The new modelling study, published in The Lancet Global Health Journal on Monday, used population estimates for 2020 and data from 188 countries compiled in the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 to develop the estimated figures. 

Globally, the researchers estimated that 1.7 billion people, or 22 per cent of the world population, had health factors that increased the possibility of severe infection, and about 349 million of them would need to be hospitalized if infected. Of those at risk of hospitalization, less than one per cent are under 20 and nearly 20 per cent are 70 and older.

“We hope our estimates will provide useful starting points for designing measures to protect those at increased risk of severe disease,” said Andrew Clark, an associate professor with the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, in a news release. “This might involve advising people with underlying conditions to adopt social distancing measures appropriate to their level of risk, or (prioritizing) them for vaccination in the future,” he added. 

The estimates are not exhaustive, the news release cautioned, but could serve as a “starting point for policy-makers,” it said. While the research focused on underlying chronic health conditions, it left out some elements considered by many to be contributing risk factors, such as ethnicity and “socioeconomic deprivation,” which are not included in all guidelines. 

The research noted that while regions with younger populations, such as Africa, have fewer people with underlying health conditions than other areas, such as Europe, this information needs to be communicated clearly “to avoid complacency about risk in Africa” since there are compounding factors not reflected in the numbers. 

“The share of the population at increased risk of severe COVID-19 is generally lower in Africa than elsewhere due to much younger country populations, but a much higher proportion of severe cases could be fatal in Africa than elsewhere,” said Clark. 

In a commentary about the new research, a public health professor said an understanding of who is most at risk can provide an opportunity to “target mitigation strategies” and can help dispel the misconception that “everyone is at equal risk of severe illness.”

“As the authors note, it is time to evolve from a one-size-fits-all approach to one that centres on those most at risk,” wrote Nina Schwalbe with the Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health. “This will need to happen at both the individual and community level.” 

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TIFF audience prizes for ‘Life of Chuck,’ Hip doc; Rankin among Canadian winners

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TORONTO – “The Life of Chuck,” an offbeat drama from writer-director Mike Flanagan, is the People’s Choice Award winner at this year’s Toronto International Film Festival.

The top TIFF award, which is voted on by audiences, was handed out Sunday as the 11-day festival rolled into its final hours. Other prizes were bestowed on Matthew Rankin’s “Universal Language,” Sophie Deraspe’s “Shepherds” and a Tragically Hip docuseries.

Flanagan is best known for his Netflix horror fare, including “The Haunting of Hill House” and “Midnight Mass.” His latest, which is adapted from a Stephen King story, strays from that genre with a quirky portrait of a divorced man, played by Chiwetel Ejiofor, who can’t escape a looming presence that’s infiltrated every corner of his life.

In announcing the award, TIFF CEO Cameron Bailey read a thank-you note from Flanagan who said he was “absolutely overwhelmed” and never expected to win the prize, which is considered a bellwether for Oscar attention.

Last year’s People’s Choice winner “American Fiction” went on to nab five Academy Award nominations and won best adapted screenplay, while other past People’s Choice picks include best picture winners “Green Book,” “12 Years a Slave” and “The King’s Speech.”

Runners-up for this year’s People’s Choice award were Jacques Audiard’s Spanish-language musical crime thriller “Emilia Pérez” and Sean Baker’s Palme d’Or winner “Anora.”

Coralie Fargeat’s twisted body-horror feature “The Substance,” starring Demi Moore as a washed-up Hollywood star who goes to extremes to keep her youth, won the audience award for best Midnight Madness film.

The People’s Choice for best documentary went to “The Tragically Hip: No Dress Rehearsal,” a four-hour docuseries directed by Mike Downie about his late brother Gord’s influential Canadian rock band.

The Hip doc, which debuts Friday on Prime Video, helped launch TIFF a little more than a week ago when a congregation of the band’s fans gathered for a singalong to “Bobcaygeon” and several of their other hits on a street near the TIFF Lightbox.

“It’s been a great ride,” Downie said as he reflected on the experience while clutching his award.

“(The Hip was) beloved in this country…. People believed in this band, and the band never did anything to jeopardize that trust. So yeah, the People’s Choice award seems very appropriate.”

“The Life of Chuck” is in an unusual position for a TIFF People’s Choice honouree.

Unlike many past winners, its producers came to the festival still seeking a distributor, which means it has no release date and may not be out in time for awards season.

However, like many past winners, TIFF’s CEO said “The Life of Chuck” has certain qualities that give audiences “big feels” that stick with them long after the film ends.

“With ‘The Life of Chuck,’ people reflect on their own lives and the lives of people they’re close to,” Bailey said.

“When you come out of a movie having that kind of emotional reaction, that’s what often prompts a vote.”

The Best Canadian Discovery Award, worth $10,000, went to Rankin’s second feature “Universal Language,” set in a Canada where Farsi and French are the two official languages and the two cultures coexist in a dreamlike alternate universe.

“This is a movie which we really did by our heart,” said Ila Firouzabadi, co-writer of the film.

“The message is really about solidarity and friendship. It’s something between a Tehran, Winnipeg (and) Montreal intersection and I hope from that intersection we are passing our compassion.”

The Best Canadian Feature Award, also worth $10,000, went to Sophie Deraspe’s “Shepherds,” about a young Montrealer frustrated with the emptiness of his marketing job who flees to the French Alps for a new life.

The juried FIPRESCI Award, from the International Federation of Film Critics, went to Somalia’s “Mother Mother,” directed by Somali-Canadian recording artist K’naan Warsame.

The $20,000 Platform Award, selected by an in-person international jury, went to “They Will Be Dust,” a co-production between Spain, Italy and Switzerland directed by Carlos Marques-Marcet.

The filmmaker has been caught in a whirlwind experience over the past week. He premiered his film at TIFF on its opening weekend and then returned to Madrid, only to get a call from TIFF organizers urging him to make his way back to Toronto for a big announcement.

“I was so tired, but I was so excited — and I wanted to meet Atom Egoyan,” he said of the Canadian director sitting on the three-person jury that unanimously selected his film.

Marques-Marcet’s “They Will Be Dust” is inspired by a real couple’s wish to embark on assisted death together. The film is also part contemporary-dance musical.

He recognizes those elements might make it a tough sell for some audiences, yet he’s hopeful the TIFF recognition will give his unconventional film a chance at greater exposure.

“Movies are not sports. It’s not about, ‘Who is the winner?'” he said.

“But obviously these things help a lot to try to push the barriers.”

Several awards introduced in recent years to elevate projects made by Black and Indigenous creators were not awarded at this year’s festival.

TIFF’s Amplify Voices awards, which honoured both the Best BIPOC Canadian Feature as well as the Best BIPOC Canadian First Feature, were removed from this year’s event.

Also missing was the Changemaker Award, which celebrated a festival film that tackled issues of social change.

Representatives for the festival declined to outline their decision to remove the awards.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 15, 2024.



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Nova Scotia premier repeats calls for Ottawa to pay for protecting Chignecto Isthmus

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia’s premier is repeating his government’s calls for Ottawa to foot the full bill to protect a vital strip of land that connects the province to the rest of the country ahead of a new parliamentary session.

Tim Houston sent a letter Sunday to the seven Liberal members of Parliament in Nova Scotia urging Ottawa to fully fund the expensive work needed to protect the Chignecto Isthmus against rising sea levels.

The letter says the isthmus is vulnerable to the effects of climate change and one severe weather event could disconnect the province from the rest of Canada, stopping ground or rail transport of goods and services.

Both the Nova Scotia and New Brunswick governments want Ottawa to pay for the estimated $650-million infrastructure project to strengthen a dike system and rail lines, but the federal government has said it will only cover half the cost.

The squabble ramped up after the Nova Scotia government began legal proceedings in July 2023 to determine whether the federal government has exclusive responsibility to maintain structures along the corridor.

The letter sent a day before Parliament returns Monday says the Chignecto Isthmus sees about $100 million worth of trade pass through it each day, making it “remarkable” that Ottawa “continues to deny its responsibility” in protecting the corridor.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 15, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Emir of Qatar to visit Ottawa on what will be his first official trip to Canada

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OTTAWA – The Prime Minister’s Office says the Emir of Qatar will arrive in Ottawa for a two-day visit this week.

Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani is set to meet with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on what will be his first official trip to Canada.

The PMO says the two leaders will discuss the ongoing situation in Gaza, as well as Afghanistan and Ukraine.

The United States, Qatar and Egypt have spent months trying to mediate a ceasefire in Gaza between Israel and Hamas.

The PMO says Al Thani’s visit is also a chance to work on other priorities, including increasing trade and investment.

Trudeau says in a statement the two countries are “important partners.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 15, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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