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Steelers vs. Bills odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 116-76 roll – CBS Sports

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It’s a battle between two of the AFC’s top teams when the Buffalo Bills host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football. The Steelers (11-1) suffered their first loss last Monday, a 23-17 setback against Washington, but quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has been in top form and the defense remains among the best in the NFL. The Bills (9-3) have won five of their past six and sit atop the AFC East standings. They are led by emerging star quarterback Josh Allen and an opportunistic defense.

Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Buffalo as a 1.5-point favorite in its latest Steelers vs. Bills odds, with the over-under for total points scored set at 48. Before making any Bills vs. Steelers picks or NFL predictions, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 20-11 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning almost $800. The model also enters Week 14 on an incredible 116-76 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has broken down Steelers vs. Bills. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the latest NFL odds and trends for Bills vs Steelers:

  • Steelers vs. Bills spread: Buffalo -1.5
  • Steelers vs. Bills over-under: 48
  • Steelers vs. Bills money line: Pittsburgh +110, Buffalo -130
  • PIT: WR Diontae Johnson has at least six receptions in five straight games
  • BUF: WR Stefon Diggs has topped 85 receiving yards in eight games this season

Why the Bills can cover

Buffalo is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games as a home favorite, and Allen has the offense humming. He threw for 375 yards and four TDs in a 34-24 win against San Francisco on Monday night and was named AFC Offensive Player of the Week for the third time this season.

Allen is fifth in the NFL with 3,403 passing yards and has 26 TD passes. The addition of receiver Stefon Diggs has been critical, as he has 90 catches (tied for the NFL lead) and 1,037 yards.

The Bills have covered the spread in four straight games, winning by exactly 10 points in three and losing by two on a Hail Mary in the other. The defense’s strength is in the secondary, and it faces a weary team playing its third game in 12 days. All-Pro cornerback Tre’Davious White has three interceptions and safety Jordan Poyer has two sacks, two picks and a team-high 100 tackles.

Why the Steelers can cover

Pittsburgh is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings between these teams, and the defense has been dominant. It leads the league in sacks (44) and takeaways (23) and allows a league-low 17.6 points per game. T.J. Watt leads the NFL with 12 sacks, and Stephon Tuitt has eight. Safety Minkah Fitzpatrick is a ball-hawk on the back end, picking off four passes and recovering a fumble. He also has forced a fumble and returned one of the picks for a score. 

The Steelers are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven conference games, and Roethlisberger has returned with a vengeance after having elbow surgery and missing most of last season. He has thrown for 3,105 yards and 27 TDs (fifth-most in NFL). He has a bevy of talented targets, with wide receiver Dionate Johnson leading the team with 654 yards, Chase Claypool leading with eight TDs and JuJu Smith Schuster posting a team-high 73 receptions.

How to make Steelers vs. Bills picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, with the model suggesting both teams will struggle to move the ball on the ground. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick here

So who wins Bills vs. Steelers on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Bills vs. Steelers spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 116-76 run.

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Canada’s Marina Stakusic falls in Guadalajara Open quarterfinals

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GUADALAJARA, Mexico – Canada’s Marina Stakusic fell 6-4, 6-3 to Poland’s Magdalena Frech in the quarterfinals of the Guadalajara Open tennis tournament on Friday.

The 19-year-old from Mississauga, Ont., won 61 per cent of her first-serve points and broke on just one of her six opportunities.

Stakusic had upset top-seeded Jelena Ostapenko of Latvia 6-3, 5-7, 7-6 (0) on Thursday night to advance.

In the opening round, Stakusic defeated Slovakia’s Anna Karolína Schmiedlová 6-2, 6-4 on Tuesday.

The fifth-seeded Frech won 62 per cent of her first-serve points and converted on three of her nine break point opportunities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Kirk’s walk-off single in 11th inning lifts Blue Jays past Cardinals 4-3

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TORONTO – Alejandro Kirk’s long single with the bases loaded provided the Toronto Blue Jays with a walk-off 4-3 win in the 11th inning of their series opener against the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday.

With the Cardinals outfield in, Kirk drove a shot off the base of the left-field wall to give the Blue Jays (70-78) their fourth win in 11 outings and halt the Cardinals’ (74-73) two-game win streak before 30,380 at Rogers Centre.

Kirk enjoyed a two-hit, two-RBI outing.

Erik Swanson (2-2) pitched a perfect 11th inning for the win, while Cardinals reliever Ryan Fernandez (1-5) took the loss.

Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman enjoyed a seven-inning, 104-pitch outing. He surrendered his two runs on nine hits and two walks and fanned only two Cardinals.

He gave way to reliever Genesis Cabrera, who gave up a one-out homer to Thomas Saggese, his first in 2024, that tied the game in the eighth.

The Cardinals started swiftly with four straight singles to open the game. But they exited the first inning with only two runs on an RBI single to centre from Nolan Arendao and a fielder’s choice from Saggese.

Gausman required 28 pitches to escape the first inning but settled down to allow his teammates to snatch the lead in the fourth.

He also deftly pitched out of threats from the visitors in the fifth, sixth and seventh thanks to some solid defence, including Will Wagner’s diving stop, which led to a double play to end the fifth inning.

George Springer led off with a walk and stole second base. He advanced to third on Nathan Lukes’s single and scored when Vladimir Guerrero Jr. knocked in his 95th run with a double off the left-field wall.

Lukes scored on a sacrifice fly to left field from Spencer Horwitz. Guerrero touched home on Kirk’s two-out single to right.

In the ninth, Guerrero made a critical diving catch on an Arenado grounder to throw out the Cardinals’ infielder, with reliever Tommy Nance covering first. The defensive gem ended the inning with a runner on second base.

St. Louis starter Erick Fedde faced the minimum night batters in the first three innings thanks to a pair of double plays. He lasted five innings, giving up three runs on six hits and a walk with three strikeouts.

ON DECK

Toronto ace Jose Berrios (15-9) will start the second of the three-game series on Saturday. He has a six-game win streak.

The Cardinals will counter with righty Kyle Gibson (8-6).

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Stampeders return to Maier at QB eyeing chance to get on track against Alouettes

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CALGARY – Mired in their first four-game losing skid in 20 years, the Calgary Stampeders are going back to Jake Maier at quarterback on Saturday after he was benched for a game.

It won’t be an easy assignment.

Visiting McMahon Stadium are the Eastern Conference-leading Montreal Alouettes (10-2) who own the CFL’s best record. The Stampeders (4-8) have fallen to last in the Western Conference.

“Six games is plenty of time, but also it is just six games,” said Maier. “We’ve got to be able to get on the right track.”

Calgary is in danger of missing the playoffs for the first time since 2004.

“I do still believe in this team,” said Stampeders’ head coach and general manager Dave Dickenson. “I want to see improvement, though. I want to see guys on a weekly basis elevating their game, and we haven’t been doing that.”

Maier is one of the guys under the microscope. Two weeks ago, the second-year starter threw four interceptions in a 35-20 home loss to the Edmonton Elks.

After his replacement, rookie Logan Bonner, threw five picks in last week’s 37-16 loss to the Elks in Edmonton, the football is back in Maier’s hands.

“Any time you fail or something doesn’t go your way in life, does it stink in the moment? Yeah. But then the days go on and you learn things about yourself and you learn how to prepare a little bit better,” said Maier. “It makes you mentally tougher.”

Dickenson wants to see his quarterback making better decisions with the football.

“Things are going to happen, interceptions will happen, but try to take calculated risks, rather than just putting the ball up there and hoping that we catch it,” said Dickenson.

A former quarterback himself, he knows the importance of that vital position.

“You cannot win without good quarterback play,” Dickenson said. “You’ve got to be able to make some plays — off-schedule plays, move-around plays, plays that break down, plays that aren’t designed perfectly, but somehow you found the right guy, and then those big throws where you’re taking that hit.”

But it’s going to take a team effort, and that includes the club’s receiving corp.

“We always have to band together because we need everything to go right for our receivers to get the ball,” said Nik Lewis, the Stampeders’ receivers coach. “The running back has to pick up the blitz, the o-line has to block, the quarterback has to make the right reads, and then give us a catchable ball.”

Lewis brings a unique perspective to this season’s frustrations as he was a 22-year-old rookie in Calgary in 2004 when the Stamps went 4-14 under coach Matt Dunigan. They turned it around the next season and haven’t missed the playoffs since.”

“Thinking back and just looking at it, there’s just got to be an ultimate belief that you can get it done. Look at Montreal, they were 6-7 last year and they’ve gone 18-2 since then,” said Lewis.

Montreal is also looking to rebound from a 37-23 loss to the B.C. Lions last week. But for head coach Jason Maas, he says his team’s mindset doesn’t change, regardless of what happened the previous week.

“Last year when we went through a four-game losing streak, you couldn’t tell if we were on a four-game winning streak or a four-game losing streak by the way the guys were in the building, the way we prepared, the type of work ethic we have,” said Maas. “All our standards are set, so that’s all we focus on.”

While they may have already clinched a playoff spot, Alouettes’ quarterback Cody Fajardo says this closing stretch remains critical because they want to finish the season strong, just like last year when they won their final five regular-season games before ultimately winning the Grey Cup.

“It doesn’t matter about what you do at the beginning of the year,” said Fajardo. “All that matters is how you end the year and how well you’re playing going into the playoffs so that’s what these games are about.”

The Alouettes’ are kicking off a three-game road stretch, one Fajardo looks forward to.

“You understand what kind of team you have when you play on the road because it’s us versus the world mentality and you can feel everybody against you,” said Fajardo. “Plus, I always tend to find more joy in silencing thousands of people than bringing thousands of people to their feet.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

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