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Last Chance Value Picks for Betting Patriots vs. Jets – Sportsbook Review

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Last Chance Value Picks for Betting Patriots vs. Jets

Jamison Crowder #82 of the New York Jets makes a catch for a touchdown. Photo by Will Newton/Getty Images/AFP

The Patriots and Jets square off on Monday Night Football. Let’s take advantage of the prop betting opportunities offered by the top sports betting sites.

New England Patriots vs. New England Jets

Monday, November 9, 2020 – 8:15 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium

Jamison Crowder – Over/Under 49.5 Receiving Yards & At Least 6 Receptions

Consistency 

Jamison Crowder is New York’s most valuable wide receiver. With relatively few pass-catching options and with the 0-8 Jets often behind in games, Crowder is always sure to get a lot of attention from his quarterback.

Defenses must be aware of Crowder’s emphatic role by now. But it doesn’t seem to matter. Crowder has played in four games this season. In every game, he’s caught at least seven passes and has been targeted at least 10 times.

With your NFL Picks, you can eat up a bit more chalk and take Crowder over 4.5 receptions. I prefer to stick to the trend and expect him to accrue at least six catches. He eclipsed 100 receiving yards in three of his four games. In the one exception, he accrued 48 receiving yards at Miami.

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Staying Upright

New York’s offense was shut out by the Dolphins in what was a uniquely low point for Adam Gase’s offense. The unique problem was pass protection. New York necessarily became a pass-first team.

However, quarterback Joe Flacco faced relentless pressure. In that game, the Dolphins accrued 10 quarterback hits and three sacks. New England, though, ranks 10 spots behind the Dolphins in adjusted sack rate. So Flacco will have more opportunities by staying upright more often.

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Cornerbacks 

One extra piece of good news for Crowder is that he won’t have to deal with cornerback Stephon Gilmore. New England’s top coverage guy has been ruled ‘out.’ Gilmore admittedly does not prefer to man the slot, where Crowder prefers to line up. But his absence rules him out completely from doing so.

Instead, Jonathan Jones will focus on Crowder. Jones is an easier cover opponent than Miami’s Nik Needham as their clear disparity in metrics like opposing passer rating when targeted shows.

Jones is consistently vulnerable. In his past two games, he’s stayed on San Francisco’s’ Kendrick Bourne and Buffalo’s Cole Beasley. He’s seen seven targets in those two games and has allowed seven receptions.

Neither wide receiver is regularly targeted much. So Crowder, in being targeted heavily, will magnify Jones’ problems with opposing catch rate.

Best Bet: Crowder Over 49.5 Receiving Yards at -114 with Bovada + Crowder At Least 6 Receptions at -110 with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Damiere Byrd #10 of the New England Patriots. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

Damiere Byrd – Over/Under 42 Receiving Yards 

Snaps

Patriot wide receiver Damiere Byrd certainly benefits from the absence of fellow pass-catcher N’Keal Harry, who has been ruled ‘out’ for this game. He also benefits from the fact that the Jets own the NFL’s second-worst pass defense in terms of DVOA, which is a metric that adjusts for the quality of the opponent.

Byrd takes the fourth-highest rate of snaps in the NFL. He’ll continue to be on the field for at least 97 percent of his team’s snaps as the Patriots look to exploit a uniquely horrible pass defense.

Match-up

One may want to stay away from Patriot wide receivers because one lacks trust in the passing ability of quarterback Cam Newton. But NFL Oddsmakers really aren’t asking for much.

They are also underrating Cam because they are not accounting for the uptick in RPO plays that the Patriots are performing. This uptick in RPO plays signifies an attempt to make Cam more comfortable as a passer.

Byrd, too, is an obvious candidate to help Newton be more comfortable because he was already Newton’s teammate in Carolina. He’s great at getting open quickly, using his speed to do so. He owns the NFL’s 20th-best average distance of separation from the nearest opposing defensive back.

RPO plays will work great against a Jet defense that is aggressive — the Jets execute blitzes at the 10th-highest rate — and that plays a lot of zone defense. With zone defense, defenders are forced to leave their assigned area in order to guard against the possibility of a run. With blitzes, too, defenders leave coverage spaces in order to attack the opposing quarterback.

So, Cam will flex the possibility that he hands the ball off in order to create scenarios where wide receivers are open. He will have no trouble finding Byrd to help us cash at the best sportsbooks.

Best Bet: Byrd Over 42 Receiving Yards at -114 with Bovada

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Report: Raptors reach deal with C Len – TSN

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The Toronto Raptors have reached a deal with free agent centre Alex Len, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.

ESPN reports the one-year deal is worth $2.3 million.

Len was traded in February from the Atlanta Hawks to the Sacramento Kings. He averaged eight points, 5.8 rebounds and 0.9 assists in 60 games between the two teams.

The 27-year-old was selected fifth overall by the Phoenix Suns in 2013 NBA Draft out of Maryland. He spent the first five seasons of his career with the Suns before joining the Hawks in 2018.

A veteran of 467 NBA games, Len has a career average of eight points and 6.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game.

The move helps to boost the frontcourt of the Raptors after the team lost Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol in free agency over the weekend.

Len is coming off of a two-year, $8.5 million deal signed with the Hawks.

The Antratsyt, Ukraine native becomes the third addition to the Raptors’ frontcourt in the past 48 hours with the team also signing free agent centre Aron Baynes and forward DeAndre Bembry.

The Dinos also agreed to terms on a two-year, $13.5 million deal with restricted free agent and Montreal native Chris Boucher to return to the club.

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NBPA delegation meets with Pope Francis to discuss social justice issues – Sportsnet.ca

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While much of the basketball world’s attention may be fixed on last week’s free-agent frenzy, players haven’t lost sight of the social issues that prompted them to bring the league to a standstill over the summer.

On Monday, a delegation from the National Basketball Player Association — consisting of Marco Belinelli, Sterling Brown, Jonathan Isaac, Kyle Korver and Anthony Tolliver — met with Pope Francis at the Vatican to discuss efforts to address social and economic injustice and inequality in their communities.

“We are extremely honoured to have had this opportunity to come to the Vatican and share our experiences with Pope Francis,” said Korver in a press release.

“His openness and eagerness to discuss these issues was inspiring and a reminder that our work has had a global impact and must continue moving forward.”

Korver has been outspoken in his desire to help fight anti-Black racism and was part of the Milwaukee Bucks team that sat out a post-season game to protest the shooting of Jacob Blake by police in Kenosha, Wis., prompting strikes in solidarity across the NBA and other major sports leagues.

Earlier this month, Brown, who was also on that Bucks team but has since signed with the Houston Rockets, agreed to a $750,000 settlement of a lawsuit filed against Milwaukee police after getting taken to the ground, shocked with a Taser and arrested during a 2018 encounter.

Pope Francis, who has gained a reputation for being progressive and modernizing the Vatican, spoke out after the death of George Floyd at the hands of a Minneapolis police officer in May, saying, “We cannot tolerate or turn a blind eye to racism and exclusion in any form and yet claim to defend the sacredness of every human life.”

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Report: Raptors agree to deal with free-agent centre Alex Len – Sportsnet.ca

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The Toronto Raptors have agreed to a deal with free-agent centre Alex Len, according to The Athletic’s Shams Charania.

Len, 27, finished the 2019-20 season with the Sacramento Kings after a trade sent him and Jabari Parker to California from Atlanta in exchange for Dewayne Dedmon.

The Antratsit, Ukraine native averaged 5.9 points and 6.1 rebounds with the Kings — over the course of the 2019-20 season as a whole, he averaged eight points and 5.8 rebounds in 17.6 minutes per game.

Prior to his brief 15-game spell in Sacramento, Len spent a season and a half in Atlanta, and five seasons with the Phoenix Suns, who drafted him fifth overall back in 2013.

Len’s reported agreement with the Raptors comes a day after the team was linked to Aron Baynes, reportedly signing the fellow centre to a two-year, $14.3-million deal. The moves come after Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka both departed Toronto as free agents, the former joining the Los Angeles Lakers and the latter reuniting with Kawhi Leonard on the Los Angeles Clippers.

More to come.

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