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Blue Jays betting guide: Lean on Guerrero, Gausman after emotional opener – Sportsnet.ca

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The Toronto Blue Jays kicked off their 2022 season in dramatic fashion by storming back to beat the Texas Rangers 10-8 last night in their series opener from Rogers Centre. Hopefully this piece will help you make an informed decision if you’re in the mood to put down a couple bucks on the game.

Editor’s note: All betting lines are courtesy of Bet365 and are current as of the time of publication.

Money Line: Blue Jays -200 | Rangers +170

Run Line: Blue Jays -1.5 (-105) | Rangers +1.5 (-115)

Total: 9.5 – Over (+105) | 9.5 – Under (-125)

Toronto: The Blue Jays had to work hard to avoid yet another home opening loss to begin their season at Rogers Centre after going into last night’s game 1-9 over their last 10 true openers. But what about the second game of the season? Toronto is 3-5 with a +4 run differential in their last eight games following their home opener in Toronto. The Jays, though, are a scorching 7-1 in their last eight meetings with Texas at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are also 5-0 in their last five against the American League West and 12-4 in their last 16 games as a home favourite.

Texas: The Rangers blew a seven-run lead which has been to script lately when they’re the underdog. Texas has been brutal lately as the doggie by going an abysmal 16-42 in their last 56 games as a road underdog. Oh, it gets worse! The Rangers are a putrid 15-50 in their last 65 road games overall. They’ve also had their struggles against the American League East recently by going 3-13 in their last 16 against the division.

My pick: If you’re into momentum, the Blue Jays have it heading into today’s game after last night’s comeback victory. Kevin Gausman makes his Toronto debut and was lights out in his only Spring Training appearance last week and has had some success versus Texas in his career. I’ll ride the wave of the comeback win from last night, and the fact that the Jays own the Rangers lately and take the Blue Jays here at -1.5 at -105.

Total: The Blue Jays and Rangers pounded out 17 hits and 18 total runs in last night’s season and series opener flying over the closing total of 9.0. Although the Jays were one of the best teams to the under last season, overs have been the play lately when they face Texas. The over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams at Rogers Centre. The over is 7-1 in Texas’ last eight games as an underdog and 22-10-2 in their last 34 road games with the total set at 9.0-to-10.5.

Pitching matchup: RHP Kevin Gausman (14-6, 2.81 ERA) makes his first start as a Blue Jay while RHP Dane Dunning (5-10, 4.51 ERA) counters for Texas. Gausman has a 3-2 record with a 2.83 ERA and 38 strikeouts in seven career appearances versus the Rangers. The Toronto righty last faced Texas on July 29th, 2017, while with Baltimore and tossed 8.2 innings of seven hit shutout. Gausman dazzled in his only Spring appearance last week by giving up just three hits and two earned runs in 6.0 innings against the Tigers.

Dunning, meanwhile, allowed one run on three hits with six strikeouts in five innings in his only career start against the Blue Jays which was last April in Arlington. The right-hander, though, rode the struggle bus on the road last season by going 0-7 with a 6.39 ERA away from home in 12 starts.    

Player props: Player total bases

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1.5 – Over -155 | 1.5 – Under -125)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. got off to a solid start to his 2022 season by going 2-for-4 with two RBI in last night’s win over Texas. Guerrero Jr., though, is 0-2 in two plate appearances against Dane Dunning in his career.

Corey Seager (1.5 – Over +100 | 1.5 – Under -140)

Corey Seager was 2-for-4 with a walk in his Rangers debut last night. Seager has had success against Kevin Gausman in his career by slashing an eye-popping .429/.600/.571. The Texas shortstop is 3-for-7 with an RBI in 10 plate appearances against Toronto’s righty.

My Pick: I think there is value here on Corey Seager with his previous success against Kevin Gausman in his career. Seager’s .600 on-base percentage when facing Gausman is the reason why I’ll bite and take Seager and his total bases prop to go over 1.5 at +110.

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Hockey’s Battle Of Alberta Is Back And As Entertaining As Ever – FiveThirtyEight

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The path to the Stanley Cup is going through one of hockey’s signature rivalries this spring, with the Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers squaring off in the NHL’s Western Conference semifinals. (The Flames took Game 1 in a wild 9-6 shootout on Wednesday night; Game 2 is Friday night in Calgary.) Not only will the series determine who carries the banner for all of Canada in hopes of ending its painful 29-year Cup drought,<a class="espn-footnote-link" data-footnote-id="1" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/hockeys-battle-of-alberta-is-back-and-as-entertaining-as-ever/#fn-1" data-footnote-content="

Before the Montreal Canadiens in 1993, Edmonton and Calgary were the second- and third-most recent Canadian teams to win it all (in 1990 and 1989, respectively).

“>1 but it represents a fierce clash between provincial neighbors with almost as much history, and hostility, on the ice as off.

So with the help of our Elo ratings, let’s take a tour through the history of the rivalry, tracing the rise and fall — and rise again — of Western Canada’s most bitter foes.

Though the two franchises started out at the same time, they took very different paths to what would eventually become an iconic rivalry. The Oilers first played in 1972 as a charter member of the upstart World Hockey Association and were known at the time as the Alberta Oilers, under an early plan (which never materialized) to split home games between Edmonton and Calgary.<a class="espn-footnote-link" data-footnote-id="2" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/hockeys-battle-of-alberta-is-back-and-as-entertaining-as-ever/#fn-2" data-footnote-content="

After the WHA’s initial Calgary franchise (the Broncos) ran into funding problems and moved to Cleveland before playing a single game in Alberta.

“>2 Rooting itself explicitly in Edmonton — and changing to a more familiar name — starting in 1973, the team still found little success in the WHA … until it bought the rights to a skinny 17-year-old prospect named Wayne Gretzky. With Gretzky leading the way as a rookie in 1978-79, Edmonton nearly won the WHA’s last Avco Cup title, and his Oilers were absorbed into the NHL when the leagues merged in 1979.

Meanwhile, the Flames were born in 1972 as well, beginning their NHL life in the unconventional hockey market of Atlanta. Though largely forgotten now, the Atlanta Flames had some pretty good seasons in the mid-to-late 1970s — and in a certain sense, they can be seen as an early audition for the NHL’s later, more successful forays into the American South. But when financial losses mounted for Flames ownership in 1980, the team was sold to Canadian investors and moved northwest. Thus it came to be that the NHL had two Alberta-based franchises, destined to battle across the deep cultural divide that has always separated Edmontonians from Calgarians.

The conflict was fierce from the start, with one of the most penalty-filled games in the history of the rivalry taking place in just the second Edmonton-Calgary game ever. The teams avoided playoff confrontation early in their time as neighbors — until 1983 and 1984, that is, as the Oilers eliminated the Flames en route to the Stanley Cup final both years. (Game 7 of the 1984 division finals was a particularly wild affair, with Calgary taking a 4-3 lead midway through before Edmonton scored four unanswered goals to advance — a stepping stone on the path to the Oilers’ first Cup.) While the two teams had been on the same level in Elo at the beginning of the 1980s, the emergence of Gretzky and Edmonton’s high-scoring offense gave the Oilers a dynasty — and a clear edge in the Battle of Alberta by the middle of the decade.

But things got more competitive as the Flames began building a strong talent base of their own. Calgary improved from minus-3 in goal differential in 1984 to plus-61 in 1985 on the strength of the NHL’s second-best offense, trailing only Edmonton. And when the two teams matched up again in the playoffs in 1986, Oilers defenseman Steve Smith scored an infamous own-goal in Game 7 — accidentally banking the puck off netminder Grant Fuhr’s skate on a pass from behind the net — providing Calgary the margin to finally beat their rivals in the division finals. (The Flames would go on to lose to Montreal in an all-Canadian Cup final.)

That was a rare miscue for Edmonton: It marked the only time from 1984 through 1988 that the Oilers didn’t win the Cup. As much as Calgary improved over the course of the ’80s, Edmonton usually was a step ahead; even when the Flames finished a franchise-best No. 2 in Elo in 1987-88, the Oilers were No. 1. But Gretzky’s shocking departure for Los Angeles in August 1988 changed the rivalry — and the Flames seized on the opportunity to surpass their rivals, closing out the decade with the franchise’s first (and, for now, only) Stanley Cup triumph.

Somewhat surprisingly, the Oilers bounced back from their post-Gretzky downturn to begin the 1990s, capitalizing on their former captain’s own first-round win (with the L.A. Kings) over Calgary to then sweep Los Angeles in the following round and ultimately win yet another Cup. For those counting, that meant either Edmonton or Calgary had won four consecutive championships and six of the previous seven. The Battle of Alberta was effectively the battle to control the entire NHL.

But little did the teams know that would be the last Cup for either franchise in three decades and counting. As the economics of the NHL shifted during the 1990s to favor higher-payroll teams — and, relatedly, the American dollar — the Flames and Oilers fell behind. From 1992-93 through 2002-03, the teams combined to win only two playoff series: Edmonton’s pair of improbable seven-game victories over No. 2 seeds in 1997 (the Dallas Stars) and 1998 (the Colorado Avalanche). But while Oilers goalie Curtis “Cujo” Joseph was brilliant in both upsets, the decade as a whole was a time of decline and mediocrity in Alberta.

That trend carried over into the 2000s at first, reaching its nadir when neither team made the playoffs at all in 2001-02 — the first time that was true in the rivalry’s history. But each franchise was due for a moment of excitement, however brief.

The Flames had their turn first, improving by nearly 20 points in the standings under former (and, incidentally, current) coach Darryl Sutter in 2003-04. Hall of Fame winger Jarome Iginla finally had the goaltending help — in the form of Miikka Kiprusoff — to power a deep postseason run, and Calgary even held a 3-2 lead over the Tampa Bay Lightning in the Cup final before losing a double-OT heartbreaker at home in Game 6 and another tight contest in Game 7.

After a lockout torpedoed the entire 2004-05 season — and radically changed the economics of the league yet again — Edmonton went on a run of its own behind the standout play of defenseman Chris Pronger and journeyman goalie Dwayne Roloson (a former Flame!). Falling behind three-games-to-one against the Carolina Hurricanes in the 2006 Stanley Cup final, the Oilers rallied to force a Game 7, though they lost on the road to match their rivals’ fate from two years earlier.

The Battle of Alberta had seen both of its competitors come close to winning championships in the mid-2000s. But instead of serving as the prelude to another era of 1980s-style dominance, those Cup final runs were mostly a mirage. Edmonton would miss each of the next 10 postseasons, and Calgary failed to muster another series win for nearly as long.

Which brings us to the current era of the rivalry. The Flames have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league since the mid-2010s, bouncing between decent seasons and bad ones across multiple coaches and an influx of younger talent such as Johnny Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk and Elias Lindholm. The Oilers spent most of the 2010s squandering draft picks, making horrible transactions or generally wasting their chances to build around the once-in-a-generation talent of Connor McDavid.

And yet, both franchises have been on the rise recently. Calgary was one of the NHL’s best teams throughout the 2021-22 regular season, with a deep roster, plenty of star power and a rock-solid goalie in Jacob Markstrom. Edmonton received its typical 1-2 superstar punch from McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, but the Oilers also finished the regular season as the best stretch-run team in the league according to Elo. Along those lines, both clubs were among the top three in goal differential over the second half of the schedule. These teams were in good form for their first playoff meeting since 1991, despite both requiring seven games to dispatch lower-seeded opponents in Round 1, and that showed with 15 total goals in Game 1.

After Calgary’s win, our model gives the Flames a 69 percent chance of winning the series and moving on to the Western Conference final. But if the history between these teams is any indication, anything can happen from here on out. In many ways, this series has been decades in the making — and not just because of the cartoonish, 1980s-style scoreline of the opener. While Alberta is no longer the center of the hockey universe it once was, the path to the Stanley Cup will still run through the province. And that means this rivalry is officially back as one of hockey’s best.

Check out our latest NHL predictions.

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Oilers’ Nurse named finalist for King Clancy Trophy alongside Getzlaf and Subban – Sportsnet.ca

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Edmonton Oilers defenceman Darnell Nurse has been named as one of the finalists for the King Clancy Memorial Trophy, awarded annually to the NHL player who “best exemplifies leadership qualities on and off the ice and has made a noteworthy humanitarian contribution in his community.”

Ryan Getzlaf of the Anaheim Ducks and P.K. Subban of the New Jersey Devils are the other two finalists who were announced Friday.

The winner will be announced on June 7 and chosen by a committee of senior NHL executives, led by commissioner Gary Bettman and deputy commissioner Bill Daly.

Nurse has served as an ambassador for Free Play for Kids — providing marginalized children the ability to play sports in a safe, accessible and inclusive environment — and Right To Play — protecting, educating and empowering kids to rise above adversity through sports. He created the Darnell Nurse Excellence Scholarship last year partnering with his old high school, St. Thomas More Catholic Secondary School, to award a pair of scholarships to students pursuing post-secondary education.

Getzlaf called it a career at the end of the regular season after 17 years with Anaheim including the past 12 as Ducks’ captain. He helped found the “Anaheim Ducks Learn to Play powered by Ryan Getzlaf” providing first-time hockey players the opportunity to get on the ice and receive equipment for free. Getzlaf has also provided 9,500 kids with a complimentary first-time full set of equipment for completing a Learn to Play program and signing up for in-house league play. He has also raised more than $4.25 million over the past decade through the Getzlaf Golf Shootout to benefit CureDuchenne, which aims to save the lives of children affected by the muscular dystrophy disease.

Subban, who is a four-time finalist, launched the P.K. Subban Foundation in 2014, made a $10-million pledge to the Montreal’s Children’s Hospital in 2015 plus donations for Ukrainian cancer patients who have been displaced due to the ongoing war in their country. He also serves as the co-chair of the NHL’s Player Inclusion Committee.

Former Nashville Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne won the award last season.

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Elks release quarterback Jones – TSN

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The Cardale Jones era with the Edmonton Elks isn’t going to happen after all.

The team announced the release of the former Ohio State National Championship-winning quarterback on Friday among a series of transactions.

Offensive lineman Chris Gangarossa was placed on the retired list, while wide receiver Michael Walker was placed on the suspended list.

Running back Sherman Badie was added to the active roster.

Jones, 29, was signed by the team on Apr. 26 on the same day the Elks released his former teammate, QB J.T. Barrett.

The Cleveland native appeared in one NFL game for the Buffalo Bills in 2016 and later played the 2020 season with the DC Defenders of the XFL after having spent time on the roster of the Los Angeles Chargers and the practice roster of the Seattle Seahawks.

Elks training camp continues through the next week with the team’s first preseason game scheduled for May 27 against the Grey Cup champion Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

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