Apple stock (NASDAQ: AAPL) has gained almost 4% over the last week at near all-time highs of about $154 per share, driven by anticipation surrounding the launch of the company’s next generation of iPhones, which are likely due around the third week of September, and possibility of updates to other products including MacBooks, Apple Watches, and AirPods in the coming months. Bloomberg previously reported that Apple’s suppliers are prepping to build as many as 90 million new iPhones this year, a 20% bump over its initial production run for the iPhone 12, indicating that Apple anticipates robust demand for the device, despite it likely being an incremental upgrade over the iPhone 12 which saw a design overhaul.
So will Apple stock continue to trend higher over the coming weeks and months, or is a correction looking more likely? According to the Trefis Machine Learning Engine, which identifies trends in a company’s historical stock price data, returns for Apple stock average 2.4% in the next month (21 trading days) period after experiencing a 3.8% rally over the last five trading days.
But how would these numbers change if you are interested in holding Apple stock for a shorter or a longer time period? You can test the answer and many other combinations on the Trefis Machine Learning to test AAPL Stock Chances Of Rise After A Fall And Vice-Versa. You can test the chance of recovery over different time intervals of a quarter, month, or even just one day!
MACHINE LEARNING ENGINE – try it yourself:
IF AAPL stock moved by -5% over 5 trading days, THEN over the next 21 trading days, AAPL stock moves an average of 1.7%, with a 54% probability of a positive return over this period.
Also, given a -5% movement for the stock over 5 trading days, it has historically witnessed an excess return of 2.9% compared to the S&P500 over the next 21 trading days, with a 64.4% percent probability of a positive excess return.
Some Fun Scenarios, FAQs & Making Sense of AAPL Stock Movements:
Question 1: Is the average return for Apple stock higher after a drop?
Consider two situations,
Case 1: Apple stock drops by -5% or more in a week
Case 2: Apple stock rises by 5% or more in a week
Is the average return for Apple stock higher over the subsequent month after Case 1 or Case 2?
AAPL stock fares better after Case 2, with an average return of 1.7% over the next month (21 trading days) under Case 1 (where the stock has just suffered a 5% loss over the previous week), versus, an average return of 2.2% for Case 2.
In comparison, the S&P 500 has an average return of 3.1% over the next 21 trading days under Case 1, and an average return of just 0.5% for Case 2 as detailed in our dashboard that details the average return for the S&P 500 after a fall or rise.
Try the Trefis machine learning engine above to see for yourself how Apple stock is likely to behave after any specific gain or loss over a period.
Question 2: Does patience pay?
If you buy and hold Apple stock, the expectation is over time the near-term fluctuations will cancel out, and the long-term positive trend will favor you – at least if the company is otherwise strong.
Overall, according to data and Trefis machine learning engine’s calculations, patience absolutely pays for most stocks!
For AAPL stock, the returns over the next N days after a -5% change over the last five trading days is detailed in the table below, along with the returns for the S&P500:
Question 3: What about the average return after a rise if you wait for a while?
The average return after a rise is understandably lower than after a fall as detailed in the previous question. Interestingly, though, if a stock has gained over the last few days, you would do better to avoid short-term bets for most stocks.
AAPL’s returns over the next N days after a 5% change over the last five trading days is detailed in the table below, along with the returns for the S&P500:
It’s pretty powerful to test the trend for yourself for Apple stock by changing the inputs in the charts above.
What if you’re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here’s a high-quality portfolio that’s beaten the market since 2016
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Hands-on: Baseus MagSafe Battery Pack & Power Bank [Video] – 9to5Mac
The Baseus MagSafe Wireless Power Bank is one of the more unique and functional MagSafe battery accessories I’ve come across. There aren’t too many useful MagSafe accessories out there, so this one is definitely cool to see.
The Baseus MagSafe battery pack was designed to be a convenient MagSafe charger for your iPhone 12 or 12 Pro. The 10,000mAh capacity it boasts will allow you to fully charge an iPhone 12 up to 2.4 times. This capacity is far larger than Apples’ very own MagSafe battery. Apple’s charger is more so meant to top you off. But the Baseus battery pack will give you a 0-100 charge a few times over.
Secure Magnetic Connection
If you’ve got an iPhone 12 or later, you’re going to get the secure magnetic connection that MagSafe provides. And I’m very pleased with how strong the magnetic connection is. My iPhone 12 Pro Max isn’t necessarily the lightest phone ever. But the Baseus Battery pack can easily hold the weight of the 12 Pro Max.
The LED screen is easily one of the most unique features of this battery pack. This entire gloss black area features a display that can show you the percentage of the battery pack and its state of charge. The convenience of being able to see the battery’s exact percentage is something you simply don’t get with a lot of other chargers.
USB-A & USB-C Ports
The Baseus battery comes with an 18W USB-A port that supports quick charging 3.0. You’ve also got a 20W USB-C port that supports Power Delivery 3.0 and Quick charging 3.0. So you don’t have to worry about waiting an eternity to charge the battery pack.
Overall, this is a very handy & functional MagSafe accessory. And if you’ve got an iPhone 12 or any wireless charging phone, this is a great option for the price. We’re teaming up with Baseus to giveaway a purple iPhone 12. So be sure to check out the giveaway page if you’re interested.
What do you think about the Baseus MagSafe battery? Sound off in the comments below!
How to Migrate your WhatsApp Data from iPhone to Android (Samsung Galaxy phones) – XDA Developers
WhatsApp is one of the most widely used instant messaging services all over the world. While it has improved over the years with new features and additions, one major caveat was the inability to transfer chats across platforms. WhatsApp does offer backup and restore functionality but it only works when switching from one Android to another, or one iPhone to another.
If you’re switching from an Android device to an iPhone or vice-versa, there was no official way to transfer your chat and media history from one phone to the other. Fortunately, that has now changed with WhatsApp’s official announcement at the Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 3 launch last month.
For now, WhatsApp has rolled out the ability to transfer chats from an iPhone to an Android device. However, only Samsung phones are currently supported, but the feature will be made available to all Android devices in the near future. If the new foldables from Samsung convinced you to switch to Android from an iPhone, here’s how you can transfer all your WhatsApp data, including chats and media, from your old iPhone to your new Android device.
While WhatsApp has published a support article with instructions to transfer WhatsApp data from your old iPhone to your new Android, we found that the steps mentioned in that article are inaccurate, and following them will not help you migrate your data. So we decided to make the process simpler for you by breaking down the steps we followed to successfully carry out the migration process.
We performed the migration from an iPhone 12 Pro to a Samsung Galaxy S21 Ultra. However, the process should work on any Samsung device running Android 10 and above.
How to Transfer WhatsApp data from iPhone to Android
Before we begin, there are a few things to note here. The Android phone to which you want to transfer the data must be in a brand new state. Meaning it either needs to be just unboxed and not set up, or if it’s a phone you’ve already been using, you’ll have to factory reset it. We tried performing the steps on a phone that was already set up and in use, but it failed to work. Once we wiped the phone, we were able to transfer the data.
You’ll also need a USB-C to lightning cable for this process to work since the transfer happens via a wired connection and not wirelessly. The last thing you’ll need is some patience since the transfer process is painfully slow. Depending on how large your WhatsApp data is, the process may take even up to an hour.
Now we have all this out of the way, let’s get to the steps:
- When your Android phone is in a brand new state, or once you’ve factory reset it, connect it to an iPhone via the USB-C to lightning cable. Keep this cable plugged into both phones until the entire process is completed.
- The iPhone will give you a pop-up asking if you want to Trust this Computer. Select Trust.
- Begin the setup process on the Android phone by agreeing to the terms and conditions and connect it to your Wi-Fi network.
- You’ll then see a screen asking if you want to transfer data from an existing device. Tap on yes, and the phone should now download the latest version of Smart Switch.
- Once Smart Switch has been launched, select Transfer from iPhone or iPad. You’ll now get an option to transfer WhatsApp chats from your iPhone accompanied by a QR code.
- Scan this QR code with your iPhone, or launch WhatsApp on your iPhone and navigate to Settings > Chats > Move Chats to Android.
- Tap on the option and your iPhone will start preparing your chats and other data to be transferred. Once done, it will ask you to continue on the new phone.
- On the Android device, you’ll now see the option to transfer other data from your iPhone like contacts, messages, photos, etc. You can select these options based on whether you want that data to be transferred to your new phone.
- Smart Switch will now ask you to install WhatsApp on the new phone to which you need to agree. You can also choose to install the other apps that were previously on your iPhone.
- Once you have performed these steps, the transfer process will begin. Depending on the data you’re transferring, this process may take anywhere between 30-60 minutes.
- After the setup is complete, open WhatsApp on your Android device and log in with the same phone number that was used to log into WhatsApp on your iPhone.
- When you log in, you should see the prompt asking you whether you want to transfer your chat history from the iPhone.
- Select Start and the transfer should take place in a few minutes.
- You’ll now have all your chats, images, videos, audio files, and just about everything from WhatsApp on your iPhone transferred to your Android device.
You have now successfully migrated your WhatsApp data from your iPhone to your new Android device!
You can install the rest of your apps and transfer any other data you may need and continue to use the phone. The chat transfer process for WhatsApp is slightly complex and involves a lot of work and time, but hopefully, it gets more seamless once the feature is rolled out to all Android devices.
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