NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 4, 2020: Proven model backing Cowboys, Ravens - CBS Sports

On Saturday, news broke that Patriots quarterback Cam Newton tested positive for COVID-19, postponing Chiefs vs. Patriots on Sunday. The game could be made up Monday or Tuesday. The Chiefs were favored by a touchdown in the NFL odds from William Hill, but the game’s delay still leaves several sizable favorites in the current NFL spreads. The Ravens are favored by 13, almost two touchdowns, against Washington, one of the largest NFL Vegas lines of the season.

In addition, the Rams are laying 13 points to the visiting Giants. All of the Week 4 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 4 NFL picks now.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,500 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago.

It’s off to a strong 7-2 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 4 on an incredible 103-67 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has examined the latest Week 4 NFL odds and NFL betting lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.

Top NFL predictions for Week 4

One of the top Week 4 NFL predictions the model recommends: The Cowboys (-4.5) cover at home against the Browns. Dallas is off to a disappointing 1-2 straight-up start with an 0-3 mark against the spread. That’s the worst start against the spread for the Cowboys since 1989, when they began 0-6.

However, the Browns have only covered once this season and own a minus-4.3 point differential. The Browns failed to cover their only road game so far as well as their only game as an underdog. SportsLine’s model is calling for a convincing 10-point Cowboys win that covers the spread in 60 percent of simulations. There’s also value on the under (56), which hits 56 percent of the time.

Another one of the top Week 4 NFL picks from the model: The San Francisco 49ers (-7) cover as home favorites against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday Night Football. San Francisco is 2-1, having defeated the New York Giants and New York Jets following a season-opening loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers have been riddled with injuries, but will likely get tight end George Kittle (knee) and wide receiver Deebo Samuel (foot) back from injury.

The Eagles are 0-2-1, having tied the Bengals last Sunday. Quarterback Carson Wentz has thrown for 737 yards in three games, but he has also thrown twice as many interceptions (six) as he has touchdowns (three). SportsLine’s model projects that Wentz will struggle against San Francisco’s defense, throwing for just over 200 yards and one touchdown with an interception. The model also says the Niners cover in well over 50 percent of simulations. The over (45) also hits well over 50 percent of the time.

How to make Week 4 NFL picks

The model also has made the call on the huge Chiefs vs. Patriots matchup as well as every other game on the Week 4 NFL schedule. It’s also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 4? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,500 on its top-rated NFL picks.