US Dollar Could Lose Most of Its Value in 5 Years, Investment Manager WarnS
Investment manager Larry Lepard has warned that the U.S. dollar could lose most of its value within five to 10 years. Following the onset of the Russia-Ukraine war, “the U.S. did something which I perceived to be very stupid, which is it seized $600 billion of Russian currency reserves, and that sent the message to every other country in the world that ‘Hey if the U.S. doesn’t like what you’re doing, they can grab your money,’” the executive described.
Investment Manager Expects U.S. Dollar to Lose Most of Its Value in 5-10 Years
Larry Lepard, investment manager and founder of Equity Management Associates (EMA), shared his prediction about the demise of the U.S. dollar in an interview with Kitco News, published Wednesday. He said:
I’m very comfortable saying the dollar will effectively be restructured or have lost most of its value within 10 years, and I think, frankly, it could even be shorter than that. My kind of median guess is about five years.
The executive then explained how he came up with his prediction: “I base that on looking at history and other currency events in other countries and kind of watching the patterns of how long it takes.”
Lepard detailed that following the onset of the Russia-Ukraine war, “the U.S. did something which I perceived to be very stupid, which is it seized $600 billion of Russian currency reserves, and that sent the message to every other country in the world that ‘Hey if the U.S. doesn’t like what you’re doing, they can grab your money.’” He added:
That kind of started us on what I view as the next round of currency debasement … and we’re now seeing the everything bubble slowly but surely deflate.
The investment manager proceeded to discuss inflation. “We have a lot of inflation and sadly it’s only going to get worse,” he stressed. For safe haven assets, he recommends gold and bitcoin, seeing them both as “sound money.”
Lepard continued: “The average investor in the United States has been told: ‘Buy stocks, buy bonds, don’t worry about the currency.’ I think that’s a big blind spot because I think the currency has a great, great risk of serious debasement, and that the average investor who’s in a 60-40 portfolio, if they don’t hold gold and they don’t hold bitcoin, they’re going to really suffer in the next 10 or 15 years.” He further cautioned: “If they hold a lot of bonds, they’re going to get wiped out because I think the odds of the bonds maintaining their real purchasing power are extremely low.”
Noting that politicians change rules to suit themselves, such as when they bailed out failed Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, Lepard warned that “you can’t trust a word” those in control of the fiat currency say “because everything they do is crafted to keep themselves in power, to keep the system which puts money in their pocket running.” However, he stressed that each time those in power change the rules, “more and more people are waking up” and finding alternatives to the U.S. dollar.
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Investment grade will boost realty
The local property market stands to reap significant benefits, both short-term and long-term, from a likely credit rating upgrade to investment level for Greece.
Industry executives say that would be a very positive development, as, after 14 years, the Greek real estate market will return to the “elite” of investment destinations and it will become easier to attract foreign investment groups and funds.
“There is an objective problem right now regarding the implementation of investments by a number of institutional investors, as there are rules that prohibit the placement of funds in countries below investment grade. In other words, even if there was an investment opportunity and they were willing to take the risk, such an investment would be cut off by the investment committee of the respective group, because it is not allowed to invest in countries that do not have a positive credit rating,” Tassos Kotzanastassis, ULI global management committee executive and CEO of international real estate investment management company 8G Group, tells Kathimerini.
Securing investment grade means the Greek property market will get back on the “radar” of large institutional investors and state groups that have a long-term investment horizon. This is a development that contradicts speculative moves by a portion of institutions that have been placed in Greece, with a purely short-term horizon, aiming to secure a quick profit and exit from the country.
However, as Kotzanastassis warns, new investments from large foreign funds should not be expected, at least not immediately. “In this period, at the international level, there is significant uncertainty and investors appear restrained. Many are looking for investment opportunities in the form of distressed assets,” he emphasizes.
One of the market’s perennial problems is it is shallow, so it is difficult to create economies of scale that maximize the return on an investment. Another key point is that all foreign investors of this scope are looking for properties with green characteristics, in the context of the ESG policy they follow. Such properties are still rare in this market, constituting a very small minority in relation to the total stock.
Fidelity has cut Reddit valuation by 41% since 2021 investment
Fidelity, the lead investor in Reddit’s most recent funding round in 2021, has slashed the estimated worth of its equity stake in the popular social media platform by 41% since the investment.
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund’s stake in Reddit was valued at $16.6 million as of April 28, according to the fund’s monthly disclosure released over the weekend. That’s down 41.1% cumulatively since August 2021 when the asset manager spent $28.2 million to acquire the Reddit shares, according to disclosures the firm has made in its annual and semi-annual reports.
Reddit was valued at $10 billion when the social media giant attracted funds in August 2021. Fidelity — which has marked down its stakes in many startups including Stripe and Reddit in recent quarters — also slashed the value of its Twitter stake, it disclosed in the filing, valuing Elon Musk’s firm at about $15 billion.
The substantial markdown of Reddit’s value by Fidelity predominantly occurred by the previous year. Nevertheless, it merits pointing out that Fidelity has persistently implemented minor reductions in the worth of Reddit’s shares in the ensuing months. Fidelity, also an investor in Indian startups such as Meesho and Pine Labs, has effected considerably less dramatic valuation cuts in these holdings in the past two years.
Reddit declined to comment.
This devaluation, part of a broader trend that has hit a variety of growth stage startups across the globe in the past year, raises uncertainties about whether Reddit will maintain its initial intent to reportedly go public at a valuation around $15 billion.
Reddit, which has raised over $1 billion to date, counts Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz among its backers. The firm was valued at as high as $15 billion in secondary markets late 2021, according to people familiar with the matter.
The current wave of valuation cutbacks sheds new light on the impact of deteriorating worldwide economic conditions on fledgling startups. Despite the diminished funding activities for startups globally over the past year, valuations of numerous larger startups have stayed constant.
First Nations Technical Institute receives $3.5 million investment
The Federal Economic Development Agency for Southern Ontario is investing $3.5 million in the First Nations Technical Institute in Tyendinaga Mohawk Territory.
The funding is planned to be used as part of the aviation recovery plan, after a disastrous 2022 fire destroyed a hangar and an entire fleet of planes.
Part of the funds is also going to support the institute’s green energy initiative, by developing solar panels and battery storage intended to power their buildings and offset greenhouse gas emissions.
Suzanne Brant, President of the First Nations Technical Institute, thanked the government of Canada for their help in recovering after the incident.
“FTNI is grateful that the Government of Canada is investing in Indigenous initiatives in
our region, providing benefits to Indigenous learners and communities across Ontario
and Canada,” said Brant.
Brant also applauded FedDev Ontario‘s decision to launch a support team with dedicated resources to help indigenous businesses in southern Ontario. The new task force is connecting with indigenous lead businesses and has a new web page to show what resources are available to help them.
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